FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
08.09.2026 16:00
Markku.fi Areena

Gnistan vs KuPS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.3%
Odds 4.00
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.64
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.3%
4.00
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.64
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
3.37
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Gnistan Win 42.3%
Draw 15.7%
KuPS Win 42.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gnistan1.28
KuPS1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gnistan Gnistan
WWDLW
41 GF / 39 GA
KuPS KuPS
WLDWL
49 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1
15
BTTS Yes
18
13
Over 2.5
12
2.7
Shots on Goal
2.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gnistan Gnistan 28 matches
KuPS KuPS 33 matches
Gnistan Statistic KuPS
11 Wins 16
7 Draws 10
10 Losses 7
41 Goals For 49
39 Goals Against 33
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1
15 BTTS Yes 18
23 Over 1.5 25
13 Over 2.5 12
8 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 6
2.7 Shots On Goal 2.18
7.85 Total Shots 4.68
2.4 Corners 2.11
31.1% Ball Possession 24.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Gnistan expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and KuPS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward KuPS having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KuPS.

Gnistan Analysis

Placed 4 with 36 points from 22 outings, Gnistan continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 36:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Akinyemi (1 goals), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

KuPS Analysis

KuPS come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 43 points from 22 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 38:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Luyeye-Lutumba (2 goals), G. Engvall (1 goals), with creative support from J. Luyeye-Lutumba (1 assists), G. Engvall (1 assists), C. Antwi (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Gnistan 3-4-2-1 / KuPS 4-2-3-1

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
KuPS Away
22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)