BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
ABC
Match Timeline
Maguary PE
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
Igor Bahia · Assist: Igor Bahia
ABC
80'
Edson
ABC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.66
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.3%
1.66
BTTS No
60.3%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
1.56
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-0
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
ABC Win 72.3%
Draw 6.3%
Maguary PE Win 21.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
ABC1.11
Maguary PE0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
ABC ABC
WWDLW
14 GF / 6 GA
Maguary PE Maguary PE
WLDWL
8 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
0.89
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.44
3
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ABC ABC 9 matches
Maguary PE Maguary PE 9 matches
ABC Statistic Maguary PE
6 Wins 3
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 2
14 Goals For 8
6 Goals Against 4
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.44
3 BTTS Yes 1
7 Over 1.5 5
3 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Maguary PE. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maguary PE having the stronger overall control. ABC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 20 points compared to Maguary PE in 3 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

ABC Analysis

ABC approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 20 points after 9 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 14:6 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Wellington Carvalho (3 goals), Igor Bahia (2 goals), Joao Pedro (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Maguary PE Analysis

Placed 3 with 13 points from 9 outings, Maguary PE continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:4 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Eduardo (2 goals), Renato Henrique (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, ABC won 1 times, Maguary PE won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from ABC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
H2H summary: ABC wins 1, draws 0, Maguary PE wins 1
Last matches: ABC
31.05.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
0
3
L
Last matches: Maguary PE
01.06.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Sousa
2
0
W
25.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Sousa
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
ABC
3
0
W
H2H: ABC vs Maguary PE
14.06.26
H2H
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
Maguary PE
ABC
3
0
L
Last matches: ABC
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
H2H at home: ABC
14.06.26
H2H
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
Last matches: Maguary PE
25.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Laguna
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Central SC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Maguary PE
America-RN
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Maguary PE
Sousa
0
1
L
H2H away: Maguary PE
14.06.26
H2H
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.83
Draw 3.15
Home 1.66
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 1.75 1.48
Over 2.0 1.66
Over 2.25 1.98
Over 2.5 2.21
Over 2.75 2.56
Over 3.0 3.23
Under 1.5 2.64
Under 1.75 2.33
Under 2.0 2.03
Under 2.25 1.75
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 2.75 1.40
Under 3.0 1.26
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 3.30
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.50
Draw 2.05
Home 2.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 2.38
Home 2.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.40
Over 2.5 2.20
Over 3.5 4.00
Over 4.5 7.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 8.00
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.22
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 5.36
Draw 3.24
Home 1.65
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.38
Draw 1.92
Home 2.31
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.38
Draw 2.33
Home 2.02
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.0 1.08
Over 1.25 1.22
Over 1.5 1.36
Over 1.75 1.47
Over 2.0 1.64
Over 2.25 1.94
Over 2.5 2.21
Over 2.75 2.52
Over 3.0 3.20
Over 3.25 3.58
Over 3.5 3.96
Over 4.0 7.20
Over 4.5 9.00
Over 5.5 21.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 6.94
Under 1.0 5.70
Under 1.25 3.50
Under 1.5 2.69
Under 1.75 2.35
Under 2.0 2.02
Under 2.25 1.76
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 2.75 1.41
Under 3.0 1.26
Under 3.25 1.21
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.0 1.03
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.90
Draw 3.45
Home 1.63
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.37
Over 2.5 2.18
Over 3.5 4.00
Under 1.5 2.70
Under 2.5 1.56
Under 3.5 1.17

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
ABC Home
10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)