NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Color Line Stadion
Referee: S. Sletner
Aalesund
Match Timeline
Viking
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
E. Austbo
Viking
45+1'
K. Askildsen
Viking
46'
M. Christensen · Assist: K. Lonebu
Aalesund
🔄
64'
E. Osenbroch ↔ D. Johannsson
Aalesund
🔄
68'
S. Kvia-Egeskog ↔ R. Alte
Viking
🔄
68'
S. Bjorshol ↔ H. J. Haugen
Viking
🔄
68'
J. Bell ↔ T. Moi
Viking
🔄
71'
M. Andresen ↔ K. Nesso
Aalesund
🟨
76'
M. Christensen
Aalesund
🟨
78'
G. Stensness
Viking
🔄
82'
M. Christensen ↔ H. Melland
Aalesund
🔄
82'
K. Lonebu ↔ E. Myrlid
Aalesund
🔄
84'
N. Fuglestad ↔ A. Cosic
Viking
🟨
86'
O. Gudmundsson
Aalesund
🔄
87'
V. Auklend ↔ K. Haugen
Viking
🟨
87'
T. Moi
Viking
🟨
90+6'
K. Askildsen
Viking
🟨
90+6'
H. Melland
Aalesund

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.42
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.1%
1.53
BTTS Yes
86%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.42
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.11
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Aalesund Win 32%
Draw 3.9%
Viking Win 64.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aalesund1.37
Viking2.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalesund Aalesund
WWDLW
35 GF / 41 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
55 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
15
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
15
4.69
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aalesund Aalesund 21 matches
Viking Viking 22 matches
Aalesund Statistic Viking
6 Wins 17
6 Draws 3
9 Losses 2
35 Goals For 55
41 Goals Against 20
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
15 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 1
4.69 Shots On Goal 5.5
14.31 Total Shots 14.58
4.54 Corners 6.33
43.8% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Viking's more proactive style and Aalesund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Viking. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aalesund expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Viking in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Viking look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Aalesund sit 14 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Aalesund Analysis

Aalesund sit 14 with 12 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 18:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (3 goals), Mathias Christensen (3 goals), Henrik Melland (3 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (2 assists), Uba Charles (2 assists), Mathias Christensen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Viking Analysis

Viking approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 30 points after 12 outings. The return of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 31:12, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Peter Christiansen (6 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), Zlatko Tripić (4 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (2 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 5 times, Viking won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:27 from Aalesund's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Aalesund 5-3-2 / Viking 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Aalesund 6, Viking 7
H2H summary: Aalesund wins 5, draws 4, Viking wins 6
Stats
Aalesund Aalesund
Viking Viking
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
5
4 Corner Kicks 10
18 Fouls 8
3 Offsides 1
39% Ball Possession 61%
17 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Goal 7
6 Shots off Goal 9
4 Blocked Shots 5
7 Shots insidebox 16
10 Shots outsidebox 5
6 Goalkeeper Saves 6
341 Total passes 522
256 Passes accurate 429
1.50 expected_goals 1.70
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aalesund
Formation
Viking
Luca Podlech
Luca Podlech
Simen Haram
Simen Haram
Emil Engqvist
Emil Engqvist
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Marius Andresen
Marius Andresen
Mathias Christensen
Mathias Christensen
Hakon Butli Hammer
Hakon Butli Hammer
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
Uba Charles
Uba Charles
Kristian Lonebu
🎯
Kristian Lonebu
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
Ľubomír Belko
Ľubomír Belko
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness
Anders Baertelsen
Anders Baertelsen
Vetle Auklend
Vetle Auklend
Joe Bell
Joe Bell
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Edvin Austbø
Edvin Austbø
Peter Christiansen
Peter Christiansen
Aalesund 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
Luca Podlech
G
4
Simen Haram
D
22
Emil Engqvist
D
3
Ólafur Guðmundsson
🟨 86'
D
2
Marius Andresen
↓ 71'
M
21
Mathias Christensen
M
6
Hakon Butli Hammer
M
18
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen
M
14
Uba Charles
M
39
Kristian Lonebu
🎯 46' ↓ 82'
F
15
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
11
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
↑ 64'
M
7
Kristoffer Nessø
↑ 71'
M
8
Henrik Melland
↑ 82' 🟨 90+6'
M
17
Elias Heggland Myrlid
↑ 82'
F
26
Tor Erik Larsen
G
25
Ulrik Syversen
D
16
Jakob Nyland Örsahl
D
45
Philip Sandvik Aukland
D
20
Ivan Djantou
F
Viking 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
Ľubomír Belko
G
18
Sondre Flem Bjørshol
↓ 68'
D
6
Gianni Stensness
🟨 78'
D
21
Anders Baertelsen
D
24
Vetle Auklend
↓ 87'
D
8
Joe Bell
↓ 68'
M
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
⚽ 45+1' 🟨 90+6'
M
23
Niklas Kemp Fuglestad
↓ 84'
M
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
↓ 68'
M
17
Edvin Austbø
🟨 25'
M
20
Peter Christiansen
F
Substitutes
2
Herman Johan Haugen
↑ 68'
D
29
Tobias Moi
↑ 68' 🟨 87'
M
16
Ruben Alte
↑ 68'
M
19
Amin Cosic
↑ 84'
F
28
Kristoffer Haugen
↑ 87'
D
1
Arild Østbø
G
3
Viljar Vevatne
D
33
Jakob Segadal Hansen
M
15
Ola Visted
M
Last matches: Aalesund
16.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Valerenga
1
6
L
11.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Molde
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
29.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
25.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Tromso
1
1
D
20.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Rosenborg
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Sandefjord
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
21.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Start
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Molde
1
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
15.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Sirius
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
hodd
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
Last matches: Viking
22.07.26
Eli
Viking
Lillestrom
2
1
W
18.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sandefjord
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Viking
Start
6
3
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
01.05.26
Eli
Viking
Rosenborg
3
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
18.04.26
Eli
Viking
Brann
3
2
W
11.04.26
Eli
Viking
Bodo/Glimt
5
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
25.03.26
Fri
Viking
Haugesund
3
0
W
21.03.26
Eli
Viking
Molde
4
1
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
01.03.26
Fri
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
0
W
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
13.02.26
Fri
Viking
AIK Stockholm
4
1
W
06.02.26
Fri
Viking
Start
4
0
W
H2H: Aalesund vs Viking
26.07.26
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
18.03.26
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
2
W
25.06.25
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
0
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
0
4
L
24.07.23
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
3
1
L
02.10.22
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
2
1
W
10.04.22
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
0
L
20.09.20
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
5
2
L
09.08.20
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
2
2
D
26.09.19
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
23.10.18
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
3
L
22.05.18
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
0
2
W
13.08.17
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
16.05.17
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
1
2
W
21.10.16
H2H
Viking
Aalesund
2
3
W
Last matches: Aalesund
11.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Molde
2
2
D
29.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
20.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
hodd
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
0
2
L
H2H at home: Aalesund
26.07.26
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
25.06.25
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
0
1
L
26.11.23
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
0
4
L
02.10.22
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
2
1
W
09.08.20
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
2
2
D
26.09.19
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
23.10.18
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
3
L
13.08.17
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
Last matches: Viking
22.07.26
Eli
Viking
Lillestrom
2
1
W
12.07.26
Eli
Viking
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0
1
L
03.07.26
Fri
Viking
Sonderjyske
1
1
D
24.05.26
Eli
Viking
Kristiansund BK
2
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Viking
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Viking
Fredrikstad
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Viking
Valerenga
1
0
W
14.03.26
Eli
Viking
Ham-Kam
1
2
L
20.02.26
Fri
Viking
Tromso
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Viking
Molde
2
2
D
30.01.26
Fri
Viking
Sandnes ULF
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Viking
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
13.08.25
UEF
Viking
Başakşehir
1
1
D
31.07.25
UEF
Viking
Koper
5
3
W
H2H away: Viking
26.07.26
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
25.06.25
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
0
1
W
26.11.23
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
0
4
W
02.10.22
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
2
1
L
09.08.20
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
2
2
D
26.09.19
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
23.10.18
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
3
W
13.08.17
H2H
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.53
Draw 4.92
Home 5.66
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.96
Draw 2.88
Home 5.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.13
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.51
Over 3.0 1.64
Over 3.25 1.88
Over 3.5 2.08
Over 3.75 2.38
Over 4.0 2.72
Over 4.5 3.52
Over 5.5 6.52
Under 1.5 6.42
Under 2.5 2.95
Under 2.75 2.66
Under 3.0 2.34
Under 3.25 2.01
Under 3.5 1.79
Under 3.75 1.62
Under 4.0 1.47
Under 4.5 1.32
Under 5.5 1.13
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 4.33
Home 6.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.95
Draw 2.75
Home 5.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.73
Draw 3.00
Home 4.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.11
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 3.5 1.91
Over 4.5 3.40
Over 5.5 6.00
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 23.00
Over 8.5 51.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 6.50
Under 2.5 2.88
Under 3.5 1.80
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.54
Draw 4.71
Home 5.43
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.94
Draw 2.57
Home 5.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.75
Draw 3.10
Home 4.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 1.75 1.10
Over 2.0 1.12
Over 2.25 1.24
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 2.75 1.45
Over 3.0 1.57
Over 3.25 1.84
Over 3.5 2.04
Over 3.75 2.29
Over 4.0 2.59
Over 4.25 2.84
Over 4.5 3.08
Over 4.75 3.68
Over 5.0 4.75
Over 5.25 5.04
Over 5.5 5.30
Over 6.0 8.70
Over 6.5 13.00
Over 7.5 23.00
Over 8.5 50.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.0 12.00
Under 1.5 5.55
Under 1.75 5.15
Under 2.0 4.75
Under 2.25 3.34
Under 2.5 2.72
Under 2.75 2.48
Under 3.0 2.20
Under 3.25 1.98
Under 3.5 1.80
Under 3.75 1.64
Under 4.0 1.42
Under 4.25 1.33
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 4.75 1.20
Under 5.0 1.12
Under 5.25 1.10
Under 5.5 1.09
Under 6.0 1.01
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 1.50
Draw 4.35
Home 5.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 1.92
Draw 2.70
Home 4.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 1.80
Draw 3.05
Home 4.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 3.0 1.64
Over 3.5 2.05
Over 4.0 2.80
Over 4.25 3.05
Over 4.5 3.35
Over 5.0 5.20
Over 5.5 5.60
Under 1.5 5.10
Under 2.5 2.60
Under 3.0 2.08
Under 3.5 1.66
Under 4.0 1.37
Under 4.25 1.30
Under 4.5 1.26
Under 5.0 1.11
Under 5.5 1.09

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 2 2 41:11 30 38
W W W W W
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 15 8 1 6 22:18 4 25
L L W W L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 15 6 3 6 23:26 -3 21
W L L L D
8 15 6 2 7 22:27 -5 20
L W W L W
9 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
10 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Aalesund 6 missing
-
A. Kjelsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
D. Johannsson
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Kristensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Ngongo
Missing Fixture Surgery
OUT
-
M. Reed
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Seehusen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Viking 7 missing
-
H. Falchener
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
H. Heggheim
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
M. Roseth
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
V. Berisha
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Z. Tripic
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
R. Postema
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Cosic
Questionable Injury
OUT