NORWAY ELITESERIEN
26.07.2026 17:15
Color Line Stadion
Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner, Norway
Aalesund
Match Timeline
Viking
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
25'
Edvin Austbø
Viking
45'
K. Askildsen
Viking
46'
M. Christensen · Assist: K. Lonebu
Aalesund
🔄
64'
E. Osenbroch ↔ D. Johannsson
Aalesund
🔄
68'
S. Bjorshol ↔ H. J. Haugen
Viking
🔄
68'
S. Kvia-Egeskog ↔ R. Alte
Viking
🔄
68'
J. Bell ↔ T. Moi
Viking
🔄
71'
M. Andresen ↔ K. Nesso
Aalesund
🟨
76'
Mathias Christensen
Aalesund
🟨
78'
Gianni Stensness
Viking
🔄
82'
M. Christensen ↔ H. Melland
Aalesund
🔄
82'
K. Lonebu ↔ E. Myrlid
Aalesund
🔄
84'
N. Fuglestad ↔ A. Cosic
Viking
🟨
86'
Ólafur Guðmundsson
Aalesund
🟨
87'
Tobias Moi
Viking
🔄
87'
V. Auklend ↔ K. Haugen
Viking
🟨
90+6'
Henrik Melland
Aalesund
🟨
90+6'
Kristoffer Askildsen
Viking

Aalesund vs Viking Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.1%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aalesund Win 32%
Draw 3.9%
Viking Win 64.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aalesund1.37
Viking2.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aalesund Aalesund
WWDLW
35 GF / 41 GA
Viking Viking
WLDWL
55 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
15
BTTS Yes
13
14
Over 2.5
15
4.77
Shots on Goal
5.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aalesund Aalesund 21 matches
Viking Viking 22 matches
Aalesund Statistic Viking
6 Wins 17
6 Draws 3
9 Losses 2
35 Goals For 55
41 Goals Against 20
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
15 BTTS Yes 13
19 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 1
4.77 Shots On Goal 5.62
14.46 Total Shots 15
4.54 Corners 6.31
43.8% Ball Possession 50.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Viking's more proactive style and Aalesund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Viking. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aalesund expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Viking in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Viking having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Viking look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Viking carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Aalesund sit 14 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Aalesund Analysis

Aalesund sit 14 with 12 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats with a 18:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (3 goals), Mathias Christensen (3 goals), Henrik Melland (3 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (2 assists), Uba Charles (2 assists), Mathias Christensen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Viking Analysis

Viking approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 30 points after 12 outings. The return of 10 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 31:12, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Peter Christiansen (6 goals), Simen Kvia-Egeskog (5 goals), Zlatko Tripić (4 goals), with creative support from Zlatko Tripić (11 assists), Peter Christiansen (2 assists), Henrik Heggheim (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 5 times, Viking won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:27 from Aalesund's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Aalesund 5-3-2 / Viking 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Aalesund 6, Viking 7
H2H summary: Aalesund wins 5, draws 4, Viking wins 6

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 2 2 52:17 35 50
W W W W W
2 20 15 2 3 51:20 31 47
W D W L W
3 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
4 20 10 5 5 37:27 10 35
L L D L W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 20 10 2 8 28:26 2 32
W W L D L
7 20 8 3 9 24:31 -7 27
D L W W W
8 20 8 2 10 37:31 6 26
L L D W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 20 6 5 9 27:41 -14 23
L L D L D
12 20 6 4 10 33:42 -9 22
L D L D L
13 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
14 20 5 5 10 18:27 -9 20
L D D W L
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 20 4 4 12 22:41 -19 16
W L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen