Aalesund vs Valerenga Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
62.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Aalesund
Valerenga
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aalesund
24 matches
Valerenga
26 matches
| Aalesund | Statistic | Valerenga |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 12 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 10 | Losses | 10 |
| 39 | Goals For | 47 |
| 49 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 2.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 5.38 |
| 14.94 | Total Shots | 15.69 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 6.94 |
| 43.9% | Ball Possession | 47.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aalesund expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Valerenga in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valerenga having the stronger overall control. Valerenga arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Valerenga. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Aalesund sit 14 with 13 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 21:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (4 goals), Mathias Christensen (4 goals), Kristian Lonebu (3 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (2 assists), Uba Charles (2 assists), Mathias Christensen (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Valerenga approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 20 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 23:29 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Lucas Haren (6 goals), Filip Thorvaldsen (3 goals), Mathias Grundetjern (2 goals), with creative support from Henrik Bjørdal (6 assists), Mathias Grundetjern (3 assists), Kolbeinn Finnsson (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Aalesund won 1 times, Valerenga won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:38 from Aalesund's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 52:17 | 35 | 50 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 51:20 | 31 | 47 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 36 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 37:27 | 10 | 35 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 39:30 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 37:31 | 6 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 25 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27:41 | -14 | 23 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Valerenga
Away
|
20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 33:42 | -9 | 22 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 13 |
Aalesund
Home
|
21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 33:46 | -13 | 21 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 20 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21:40 | -19 | 19 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 22:41 | -19 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|