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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
09.10.2026 12:00
Hangzhou Dragon Stadium
Referee: Xin He, China
Hangzhou Greentown
Match Timeline
SHANGHAI SIPG
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Wei Zhen
SHANGHAI SIPG
⚽
7'
A. Yang
Hangzhou Greentown
⚽
13'
O. Melendo
SHANGHAI SIPG
⚽
18'
P. O. Ampem · Assist: Jean Claude
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
46'
Sun Guowen ↔ Tong Lei
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
46'
Tao Qianglong ↔ Y. Wang
Hangzhou Greentown
⚽
47'
Liu Zhurun · Assist: Li Shuai
SHANGHAI SIPG
🟨
50'
A. Yang
SHANGHAI SIPG
⚽
52'
M. Tolic · Assist: M. Tolic
Hangzhou Greentown
🟨
53'
Yusup Umidjan
SHANGHAI SIPG
🟨
54'
A. Mitrita
Hangzhou Greentown
⚽
56'
Leonardo · Assist: O. Melendo
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
65'
Fang Hao ↔ Wu Wei
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
65'
Cheng Jin ↔ Bao Shengxin
Hangzhou Greentown
🟨
67'
K. Muscat
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
70'
A. Yang ↔ Wang Zhenao
SHANGHAI SIPG
⚽
72'
A. Mitrita
Hangzhou Greentown
🔄
82'
Yusup Umidjan ↔ Zhang Linpeng
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
82'
Liu Zhurun ↔ X. Li
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
88'
Leonardo ↔ Wu Lei
SHANGHAI SIPG
🔄
88'
P. O. Ampem ↔ Kuai Jiwen
SHANGHAI SIPG
🟨
90+5'
M. Tolic
Hangzhou Greentown

Hangzhou Greentown vs SHANGHAI SIPG Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.9%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.27
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.9%
1.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.33 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.27 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Hangzhou Greentown Win 49.3%
Draw 11.1%
SHANGHAI SIPG Win 39.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hangzhou Greentown1.64
SHANGHAI SIPG1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown
WWDLW
48 GF / 48 GA
SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG
WLDWL
41 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.54
19
BTTS Yes
19
19
Over 2.5
17
5.23
Shots on Goal
4.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hangzhou Greentown Hangzhou Greentown 28 matches
SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG 28 matches
Hangzhou Greentown Statistic SHANGHAI SIPG
10 Wins 10
7 Draws 8
11 Losses 10
48 Goals For 41
48 Goals Against 43
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.54
19 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 22
19 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 5
5.23 Shots On Goal 4.08
13.69 Total Shots 11.77
5.38 Corners 5.77
52% Ball Possession 58.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward SHANGHAI SIPG.

Hangzhou Greentown Analysis

Hangzhou Greentown sit 10 with 31 points after 26 league matches. The record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 45:43 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alexandru Mitriță (7 goals), Marko Tolić (7 goals), Wang Yudong (6 goals), with creative support from Alexandru Mitriță (9 assists), Wang Yudong (4 assists), Cheng Jin (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

SHANGHAI SIPG Analysis

SHANGHAI SIPG sit 7 with 33 points after 26 league matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 40:33 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Leonardo (5 goals), Wu Lei (4 goals), Mateus Vital (2 goals), with creative support from Mateus Vital (3 assists), Liu Zhurun (3 assists), Leonardo (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Hangzhou Greentown won 2 times, SHANGHAI SIPG won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:22 from Hangzhou Greentown's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.85 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.9%)
Predicted formations: Hangzhou Greentown 4-2-3-1 / SHANGHAI SIPG 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hangzhou Greentown wins 2, draws 5, SHANGHAI SIPG wins 6

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 27 12 10 5 52:33 19 41
W D D D W
3 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 27 11 8 8 44:35 9 36
W D W W D
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 27 10 6 11 47:47 0 31
L W L W D
11 27 8 5 14 36:47 -11 29
D D L D W
12 27 8 10 9 35:37 -2 28
D D D D D
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 27 6 3 18 34:56 -22 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation