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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
09.10.2026 11:35
Shenzhen Stadium
Referee: Yangfan Zhang, China
Sichuan Jiuniu
Match Timeline
Henan Jianye
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
16'
Yu Rui
Sichuan Jiuniu
🟨
32'
Shinar Yeljan
Henan Jianye
🟨
39'
T. Chow
Sichuan Jiuniu
⚽
42'
Bruno Nazario · Assist: Gustavo
Henan Jianye
⚽
47'
Wesley Moraes · Assist: D. Owusu-Sekyere
Sichuan Jiuniu
⚽
52'
Wesley Moraes · Assist: Tang Miao
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
57'
Shinar Yeljan ↔ Zhong Yihao
Henan Jianye
🔄
57'
Haliq Ablahan ↔ A. Abudulam
Henan Jianye
🟨
66'
Zhong Yihao
Henan Jianye
🟨
70'
Z. Xuan
Sichuan Jiuniu
VAR
71'
D. Owusu-Sekyere
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
74'
Zheng Dalun ↔ Yang Yilin
Henan Jianye
🔄
74'
Wang Shangyuan ↔ Yin Congyao
Henan Jianye
⚽
76'
Yin Congyao · Assist: N. Muhmet
Henan Jianye
🔄
76'
Yao Junsheng ↔ Zhang Yufeng
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
85'
D. Owusu-Sekyere ↔ Li Long
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
85'
A. Ademi ↔ Dai Wai-Tsun
Sichuan Jiuniu
🔄
90+2'
N. Muhmet ↔ Liu Yixin
Henan Jianye

Sichuan Jiuniu vs Henan Jianye Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.1%
1.62 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.61 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sichuan Jiuniu Win 42.7%
Draw 26.4%
Henan Jianye Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sichuan Jiuniu1.33
Henan Jianye1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu
WWDLW
34 GF / 45 GA
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WLDWL
33 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
14
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
14
4.23
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sichuan Jiuniu Sichuan Jiuniu 26 matches
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 26 matches
Sichuan Jiuniu Statistic Henan Jianye
8 Wins 8
4 Draws 9
14 Losses 9
34 Goals For 33
45 Goals Against 35
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
14 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 8
4.23 Shots On Goal 4.15
12.31 Total Shots 12.81
4.92 Corners 5.73
45.5% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Henan Jianye. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sichuan Jiuniu expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Henan Jianye in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Henan Jianye having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Sichuan Jiuniu Analysis

Sichuan Jiuniu sit 11 with 28 points after 26 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 34:45 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Wesley Moraes (10 goals), E. Kartsev (4 goals), A. Ademi (3 goals), with creative support from Wesley Moraes (5 assists), Dai Wai-tsun (3 assists), Deabeas Owusu-Sekyere (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Henan Jianye Analysis

Henan Jianye are currently 12 in the standings with 27 points from 26 matches. The record of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 33:35 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through Gustavo (12 goals), Bruno Nazário (7 goals), Yihao Zhong (3 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (5 assists), Shangyuan Wang (4 assists), Gustavo (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Sichuan Jiuniu won 1 times, Henan Jianye won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:9 from Sichuan Jiuniu's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.6%)
Predicted formations: Sichuan Jiuniu 4-1-4-1 / Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sichuan Jiuniu wins 1, draws 3, Henan Jianye wins 3

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 27 12 10 5 52:33 19 41
W D D D W
3 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 27 11 8 8 44:35 9 36
W D W W D
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 27 10 6 11 47:47 0 31
L W L W D
11 27 8 5 14 36:47 -11 29
D D L D W
12 27 8 10 9 35:37 -2 28
D D D D D
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 27 6 3 18 34:56 -22 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation