GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
RheinEnergieStadion
Referee: Sven Jablonski, Germany
1. FC Köln
Match Timeline
1. FC Heidenheim
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
J. Schoppner · Assist: A. Ibrahimovic
1. FC Heidenheim
10'
M. Bulter · Assist: T. Krauss
1. FC Köln
28'
A. Ibrahimovic
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
30'
Eren Dinkçi
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
37'
Budu Zivzivadze
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
55'
Said El Mala
1. FC Köln
🔄
58'
T. Krauss ↔ L. Waldschmidt
1. FC Köln
🔄
71'
L. Maina ↔ F. Kainz
1. FC Köln
🔄
71'
J. Schmied ↔ A. Castro-Montes
1. FC Köln
72'
J. Schoppner
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
76'
O. H. Traore ↔ L. Stergiou
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
76'
A. Ibrahimovic ↔ C. Conteh
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
83'
E. Dinkci ↔ M. Honsak
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
83'
B. Zivzivadze ↔ L. Kerber
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
89'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
1. FC Köln
🔄
89'
C. Ozkacar ↔ D. Heintz
1. FC Köln
🔄
89'
K. Lund ↔ Y. Niang
1. FC Köln
🔄
89'
M. Pieringer ↔ S. Schimmer
1. FC Heidenheim

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
1. FC Köln Win 81.3%
Draw 0%
1. FC Heidenheim Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Köln1.75
1. FC Heidenheim1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
WWDLW
47 GF / 55 GA
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
WLDWL
38 GF / 69 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
2.16
25
BTTS Yes
20
20
Over 2.5
22
4.63
Shots on Goal
3.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 32 matches
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 32 matches
1. FC Köln Statistic 1. FC Heidenheim
7 Wins 5
11 Draws 8
14 Losses 19
47 Goals For 38
55 Goals Against 69
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 2.16
25 BTTS Yes 20
27 Over 1.5 29
20 Over 2.5 22
14 Over 3.5 13
3 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 11
4.63 Shots On Goal 3.53
13.38 Total Shots 11.31
4.56 Corners 4.5
47% Ball Possession 42.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors 1. FC Heidenheim. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1. FC Köln expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and 1. FC Heidenheim in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Heidenheim having the stronger overall control.

1. FC Köln Analysis

1. FC Köln approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 32 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 47:55 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. El Mala (12 goals), J. Kaminski (7 goals), R. Ache (7 goals), with creative support from S. El Mala (5 assists), R. Ache (4 assists), L. Waldschmidt (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1. FC Heidenheim Analysis

1. FC Heidenheim sit 18 with 23 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats with a 38:69 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Budu Zivzivadze (6 goals), S. Schimmer (5 goals), M. Pieringer (4 goals), with creative support from Marnon Busch (5 assists), Arijon Ibrahimović (3 assists), Jan Schöppner (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 12 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1 times, 1. FC Heidenheim won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:11 from 1. FC Köln's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: 1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1 / 1. FC Heidenheim 3-4-3
Missing players: 1. FC Köln 4, 1. FC Heidenheim 4
H2H summary: 1. FC Köln wins 1, draws 3, 1. FC Heidenheim wins 2

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation