GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Voith-Arena
Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
Match Timeline
FSV Mainz 05
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
P. Tietz
FSV Mainz 05
43'
N. Amiri · Assist: P. Tietz
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
46'
M. Pieringer ↔ C. Conteh
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
46'
M. Busch ↔ O. H. Traore
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
46'
S. Posch ↔ D. da Costa
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
65'
A. Ibrahimovic ↔ S. Schimmer
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
68'
S. Widmer ↔ A. Caci
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
68'
N. Amiri ↔ Lee Jae-Sung
FSV Mainz 05
🟨
70'
Eren Dinkçi
1. FC Heidenheim
🟨
70'
Sheraldo Becker
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
73'
E. Dinkci ↔ M. Honsak
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
73'
N. Dorsch ↔ A. Beck
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
77'
S. Becker ↔ L. Maloney
FSV Mainz 05
🔄
84'
P. Tietz ↔ N. Weiper
FSV Mainz 05

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
1. FC Heidenheim Win 36.9%
Draw 10.1%
FSV Mainz 05 Win 53.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Heidenheim1.3
FSV Mainz 051.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
WWDLW
41 GF / 70 GA
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
WLDWL
58 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.29
2.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
21
BTTS Yes
25
23
Over 2.5
22
3.58
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 33 matches
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 45 matches
1. FC Heidenheim Statistic FSV Mainz 05
6 Wins 16
8 Draws 12
19 Losses 17
41 Goals For 58
70 Goals Against 63
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
2.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
21 BTTS Yes 25
30 Over 1.5 35
23 Over 2.5 22
14 Over 3.5 13
1 Clean Sheets 9
11 Failed To Score 13
3.58 Shots On Goal 4
11.3 Total Shots 12.4
4.48 Corners 5.24
41.9% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FSV Mainz 05. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FSV Mainz 05 arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1. FC Heidenheim expected to line up in 4-2-2-2 and FSV Mainz 05 in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FSV Mainz 05 having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

1. FC Heidenheim Analysis

1. FC Heidenheim approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 26 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 41:70 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Budu Zivzivadze (6 goals), S. Schimmer (5 goals), M. Pieringer (4 goals), with creative support from Marnon Busch (5 assists), Arijon Ibrahimović (4 assists), Jan Schöppner (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

FSV Mainz 05 Analysis

FSV Mainz 05 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 37 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats with a 42:53 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Amiri (11 goals), Paul Nebel (5 goals), Jae-sung Lee (4 goals), with creative support from Danny da Costa (3 assists), Sheraldo Becker (3 assists), B. Hollerbach (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 2 times, FSV Mainz 05 won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from 1. FC Heidenheim's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: 1. FC Heidenheim 4-2-2-2 / FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
Missing players: 1. FC Heidenheim 2, FSV Mainz 05 5
H2H summary: 1. FC Heidenheim wins 2, draws 1, FSV Mainz 05 wins 3
Stats
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
6 Corner Kicks 3
8 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 9
6 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 2
12 Shots insidebox 10
3 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 5
428 Total passes 389
345 Passes accurate 302
2.53 expected_goals 3.71
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

1. FC Heidenheim
Formation
FSV Mainz 05
F. Feller
F. Feller
M. Busch
M. Busch
P. Mainka
P. Mainka
J. Fohrenbach
J. Fohrenbach
H. Behrens
H. Behrens
E. Dinkci
E. Dinkci
J. Schoppner
J. Schoppner
N. Dorsch
N. Dorsch
A. Ibrahimovic
A. Ibrahimovic
M. Pieringer
M. Pieringer
B. Zivzivadze
B. Zivzivadze
D. Batz
D. Batz
D. Kohr
D. Kohr
S. Posch
S. Posch
K. Potulski
K. Potulski
S. Widmer
S. Widmer
P. Nebel
P. Nebel
K. Sano
K. Sano
N. Amiri
N. Amiri
P. Mwene
P. Mwene
P. Tietz
🎯
P. Tietz
S. Becker
S. Becker
1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-1-1
Starting XI
40
F. Feller
G
2
M. Busch
↓ 46'
D
6
P. Mainka
D
19
J. Fohrenbach
D
26
H. Behrens
D
8
E. Dinkci
↓ 73' 🟨 70'
M
3
J. Schoppner
M
30
N. Dorsch
↓ 73'
M
22
A. Ibrahimovic
↓ 65'
M
18
M. Pieringer
↓ 46'
F
11
B. Zivzivadze
F
Substitutes
41
D. Ramaj
G
9
S. Schimmer
↑ 65'
F
4
T. Siersleben
D
17
M. Honsak
↑ 73'
F
21
A. Beck
↑ 73'
M
10
C. Conteh
↑ 46'
F
23
O. H. Traore
↑ 46'
D
16
J. Niehues
M
20
L. Kerber
M
FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
Starting XI
33
D. Batz
G
31
D. Kohr
D
4
S. Posch
↓ 46'
D
48
K. Potulski
D
30
S. Widmer
↓ 68'
M
8
P. Nebel
M
6
K. Sano
M
10
N. Amiri
⚽ 43' ↓ 68'
M
2
P. Mwene
M
20
P. Tietz
⚽ 7' 🎯 43' ↓ 84'
F
23
S. Becker
↓ 77' 🟨 70'
F
Substitutes
27
R. Zentner
G
19
A. Caci
↑ 68'
D
15
L. Maloney
↑ 77'
M
11
A. Sieb
F
24
S. Kawasaki
M
21
D. da Costa
↑ 46'
D
7
Lee Jae-Sung
↑ 68'
M
22
N. Veratschnig
D
44
N. Weiper
↑ 84'
F
Last matches: 1. FC Heidenheim
10.05.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
3
1
W
02.05.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
3
3
D
25.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
2
0
W
19.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
11.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
3
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
2
D
21.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
14.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
2
4
L
28.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
0
2
L
22.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart
3
3
D
15.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC Augsburg
0
1
L
07.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
0
2
L
01.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
2
3
L
24.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
0
3
L
17.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
13.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
10.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
2
2
D
21.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
0
4
L
13.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
1
2
L
Last matches: FSV Mainz 05
10.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
1
3
L
03.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
25.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
3
4
L
19.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
0
4
L
12.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0
1
L
09.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
2
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
2
1
W
22.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
1
W
19.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
2
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
0
0
D
07.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
2
2
D
28.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
20.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
13.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
07.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
2
0
W
31.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
2
1
W
24.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
VfL Wolfsburg
3
1
W
17.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
H2H: 1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05
16.05.26
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
13.01.26
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
2
1
L
16.02.25
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
28.09.24
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
0
2
W
05.05.24
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
16.12.23
H2H
FSV Mainz 05
FC Heidenheim
0
1
W
Last matches: 1. FC Heidenheim
25.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
2
0
W
11.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
3
1
W
21.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
07.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
2
4
L
22.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart
3
3
D
07.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
0
2
L
24.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
0
3
L
10.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
2
2
D
21.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
0
4
L
06.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Freiburg
2
1
W
22.11.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
3
L
01.11.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
1
D
18.10.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
2
2
D
27.09.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC Augsburg
2
1
W
13.09.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
23.08.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
1
3
L
H2H at home: 1. FC Heidenheim
16.05.26
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
16.02.25
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
Last matches: FSV Mainz 05
03.05.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
19.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
16.04.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Strasbourg
0
4
L
04.04.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1899 Hoffenheim
2
1
W
15.03.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Werder Bremen
2
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
0
0
D
28.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
13.02.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
0
4
L
31.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
RB Leipzig
2
1
W
17.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
10.01.26
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Union Berlin
2
2
D
14.12.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Bayern München
2
2
D
11.12.25
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Lech Poznan
1
1
D
30.11.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
SC Freiburg
0
4
L
27.11.25
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Universitatea Craiova
0
1
L
09.11.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
26.10.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
VfB Stuttgart
1
2
L
05.10.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
Hamburger SV
0
4
L
02.10.25
UEF
FSV Mainz 05
Omonia Nicosia
1
0
W
20.09.25
Bun
FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
4
1
W
H2H away: FSV Mainz 05
16.05.26
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
W
16.02.25
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
W
05.05.24
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D

Missing Players

1. FC Heidenheim 2 missing
-
L. Paqarada
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
S. Conteh
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
FSV Mainz 05 5 missing
-
M. Dal
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
B. Hollerbach
Missing Fixture Achilles Tendon Injury
OUT
-
Silas
Missing Fixture Broken shinbone
OUT
-
M. Leitsch
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
D. da Costa
Questionable Injury
OUT