1. FC Heidenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
53.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
1. FC Heidenheim
33 matches
FSV Mainz 05
45 matches
| 1. FC Heidenheim | Statistic | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 16 |
| 8 | Draws | 12 |
| 19 | Losses | 17 |
| 41 | Goals For | 58 |
| 70 | Goals Against | 63 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.29 |
| 2.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 30 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 3.58 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 11.3 | Total Shots | 12.4 |
| 4.48 | Corners | 5.24 |
| 41.9% | Ball Possession | 45.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FSV Mainz 05. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FSV Mainz 05 arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1. FC Heidenheim expected to line up in 4-2-2-2 and FSV Mainz 05 in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FSV Mainz 05 having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
1. FC Heidenheim approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 26 points from 33 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 41:70 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Budu Zivzivadze (6 goals), S. Schimmer (5 goals), M. Pieringer (4 goals), with creative support from Marnon Busch (5 assists), Arijon Ibrahimović (4 assists), Jan Schöppner (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
FSV Mainz 05 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 37 points from 33 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats with a 42:53 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on N. Amiri (11 goals), Paul Nebel (5 goals), Jae-sung Lee (4 goals), with creative support from Danny da Costa (3 assists), Sheraldo Becker (3 assists), B. Hollerbach (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 2 times, FSV Mainz 05 won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from 1. FC Heidenheim's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
FSV Mainz 05
Away
|
34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|