SPAIN › LA LIGA
28.02.2026 13:00
Campo de Futbol de Vallecas
Referee: V. Garcia
Rayo Vallecano
Match Timeline
Athletic Club
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
35'
J. de Frutos
Rayo Vallecano
VAR
36'
Álvaro García
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
39'
Mikel Jauregizar
Athletic Club
🟨
40'
Isi Palazón
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
46'
U. Gomez ↔ A. Berenguer
Athletic Club
⚽
47'
I. Williams · Assist: A. Berenguer
Athletic Club
🔄
59'
I. Ruiz de Galarreta ↔ A. Rego
Athletic Club
🔄
61'
G. Gumbau ↔ U. Lopez
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
61'
A. Garcia ↔ F. Perez
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
61'
N. Mendy ↔ O. Valentin
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
65'
Oihan Sancet
Athletic Club
🔄
69'
I. Palazon ↔ P. Diaz
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
71'
Daniel Vivian
Athletic Club
🔄
73'
J. Areso ↔ A. Gorosabel
Athletic Club
🟨
85'
Ilias Akhomach
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
86'
I. Akhomach ↔ Alemao
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
86'
M. Jauregizar ↔ M. Vesga
Athletic Club
🔄
86'
O. Sancet ↔ S. Sanchez
Athletic Club

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Rayo Vallecano Win 0%
Draw 0%
Athletic Club Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rayo Vallecano1.44
Athletic Club1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
WWDLW
51 GF / 43 GA
Athletic Club Athletic Club
WLDWL
45 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
17
BTTS Yes
19
19
Over 2.5
18
4.58
Shots on Goal
4.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 36 matches
Athletic Club Athletic Club 37 matches
Rayo Vallecano Statistic Athletic Club
15 Wins 15
9 Draws 6
12 Losses 16
51 Goals For 45
43 Goals Against 54
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
17 BTTS Yes 19
27 Over 1.5 26
19 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 13
4.58 Shots On Goal 4.35
14 Total Shots 14.03
6.25 Corners 5.27
55.4% Ball Possession 47.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Rayo Vallecano won 1 times, Athletic Club won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:26 from Rayo Vallecano's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1 / Athletic Club 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Rayo Vallecano wins 1, draws 3, Athletic Club wins 11

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2