Penarol
Match Timeline
Corinthians
Penarol vs Corinthians Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
90.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
69.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Penarol Win 32.4%
Draw 22.4%
Corinthians Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Penarol1.22
Corinthians1.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Penarol
WWDLW
28 GF / 23 GA
Corinthians
WLDWL
21 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.15
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
13
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
5
4.25
Shots on Goal
3.35
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Penarol
20 matches
Corinthians
20 matches
| Penarol | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 28 | Goals For | 21 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.4 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 3.35 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 11.25 |
| 3 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 40% | Ball Possession | 55.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Penarol won 2 times, Corinthians won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Penarol's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
Predicted formations: Penarol 5-4-1 / Corinthians 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Penarol wins 2, draws 1, Corinthians wins 1
Standings
Group E
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Corinthians
Away
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 |
Penarol
Home
|
6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals