SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
26.09.2026 14:00
Jarfallavallen

Järfälla vs AFC Eskilstuna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 85%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
85%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Järfälla Win 11.5%
Draw 3.5%
AFC Eskilstuna Win 85%
Expected Goals (xG)
Järfälla1.33
AFC Eskilstuna2.09
Recent Form (Last 5)
Järfälla Järfälla
WWDLW
35 GF / 59 GA
AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna
WLDWL
65 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.97
2.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
16
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Järfälla Järfälla 26 matches
AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna 33 matches
Järfälla Statistic AFC Eskilstuna
5 Wins 21
4 Draws 4
17 Losses 8
35 Goals For 65
59 Goals Against 43
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
2.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
16 BTTS Yes 20
24 Over 1.5 27
19 Over 2.5 22
15 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around AFC Eskilstuna's more proactive style and Järfälla's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Eskilstuna having the stronger overall control. AFC Eskilstuna look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward AFC Eskilstuna. AFC Eskilstuna carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 43 points while Järfälla sit 14 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Järfälla Analysis

Järfälla sit 14 with 18 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 29:47, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

AFC Eskilstuna Analysis

AFC Eskilstuna come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 43 points after 22 matches. They have recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a 41:29 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Järfälla won 0 times, AFC Eskilstuna won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Järfälla's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
H2H summary: Järfälla wins 0, draws 1, AFC Eskilstuna wins 0

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 16 3 4 55:19 36 51
W W W W W
2 23 13 4 6 41:30 11 43
L W W W W
3 23 12 6 5 48:22 26 42
L D W L D
4 23 12 6 5 40:27 13 42
W W L L W
5 23 11 6 6 35:23 12 39
D D L L D
6 23 11 6 6 36:32 4 39
D D W W W
7 23 12 3 8 37:38 -1 39
D W W W L
8 23 9 5 9 42:40 2 32
W L L W W
9 23 9 3 11 29:41 -12 30
W L W L D
10 23 8 5 10 31:37 -6 29
W W L W W
11 23 8 4 11 29:38 -9 28
L L W L D
12 23 5 9 9 21:31 -10 24
D L L W L
13 23 6 6 11 34:48 -14 24
L D L L L
14 23 4 6 13 27:44 -17 18
W L L W L
15 23 5 3 15 30:50 -20 18
L W L L L
16 23 3 5 15 43:58 -15 14
L L W L L