GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
21.05.2026 16:00
Panetolikos Stadium
Referee: G. Kokkinos
Panetolikos
Match Timeline
Asteras Tripolis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
Esteban Diego ↔ G. Satsias
Panetolikos
🟨
12'
Dimitrios Grammenos
Asteras Tripolis
⚽
28'
J. Bartolo
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
46'
C. Sielis ↔ G. Granath
Panetolikos
🔄
61'
A. Bregou ↔ J. Aguirre
Panetolikos
🟨
62'
Nikola Šipčić
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
66'
J. Bartolo ↔ B. Perez
Asteras Tripolis
VAR
68'
Youssouph Badji
Panetolikos
🟨
68'
Dimitrios Grammenos
Asteras Tripolis
🟥
68'
Dimitrios Grammenos
Asteras Tripolis
⚽
70'
Lenny Lobato
Panetolikos
🔄
78'
T. Tzandaris ↔ C. Gromitsaris
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
78'
F. Macheda ↔ G. Charalampoglou
Asteras Tripolis
🟨
80'
Charis Mavrias
Panetolikos
⚽
82'
G. Charalampoglou · Assist: C. Gromitsaris
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
83'
A. Bouchalakis ↔ E. Nikolaou
Panetolikos
🔄
84'
C. Mavrias ↔ C. Belevonis
Panetolikos
🔄
84'
N. Alho ↔ D. Emmanouilidis
Asteras Tripolis
🔄
84'
J. Mendieta ↔ C. Almyras
Asteras Tripolis
🟨
90+6'
Alexandros Tereziou
Asteras Tripolis
🟨
90+5'
Vasilis Chatziemmanouil
Asteras Tripolis

Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 35.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 28%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 48.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
35.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
28%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
48.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Panetolikos Win 31%
Draw 35.9%
Asteras Tripolis Win 33.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Panetolikos1.13
Asteras Tripolis1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Panetolikos Panetolikos
WWDLW
34 GF / 49 GA
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
WLDWL
34 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.37
16
BTTS Yes
17
15
Over 2.5
16
2.97
Shots on Goal
3.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Panetolikos Panetolikos 35 matches
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 35 matches
Panetolikos Statistic Asteras Tripolis
9 Wins 7
9 Draws 12
17 Losses 16
34 Goals For 34
49 Goals Against 48
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.37
16 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 8
7 Clean Sheets 9
16 Failed To Score 14
2.97 Shots On Goal 3.26
9.09 Total Shots 9.89
3.6 Corners 4.8
45.3% Ball Possession 45.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Asteras Tripolis. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Panetolikos expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Asteras Tripolis in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Asteras Tripolis having the stronger overall control.

Panetolikos Analysis

Panetolikos come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 36 points from 35 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 9 draws, and 17 losses, while the 34:49 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alexandru Mățan (5 goals), K. Aleksic (5 goals), Béni Nkololo (4 goals), with creative support from Y. Badji (4 assists), Alexandru Mățan (3 assists), Konrad Michalak (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Asteras Tripolis Analysis

Placed 4 with 33 points from 35 outings, Asteras Tripolis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 12 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 34:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Bartolo (11 goals), F. Macheda (8 goals), K. Ketu (3 goals), with creative support from K. Ketu (5 assists), J. Bartolo (2 assists), F. Macheda (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Panetolikos won 3 times, Asteras Tripolis won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Panetolikos's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (69%)
Predicted formations: Panetolikos 4-1-4-1 / Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3
H2H summary: Panetolikos wins 3, draws 6, Asteras Tripolis wins 6

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 6 2 49:17 32 60
D D W D W
2 26 17 7 2 45:11 34 58
D W D L W
3 26 17 6 3 52:17 35 57
D D D W L
4 26 14 7 5 44:26 18 49
D L L D L
5 26 12 6 8 51:37 14 42
L W W W L
6 26 10 2 14 34:45 -11 32
W L L L W
7 26 9 4 13 26:38 -12 31
L L L L L
8 26 6 12 8 20:27 -7 30
W W W W W
9 26 7 8 11 26:30 -4 29
W L W L L
10 26 6 9 11 32:42 -10 27
W D L W W
11 26 7 5 14 24:38 -14 26
L D D W L
12 26 4 11 11 22:39 -17 23
L W D D D
13 26 4 5 17 16:55 -39 17
L D L L D
14 26 3 8 15 22:41 -19 17
W D W D W
Championship round
Qualifying round
Relegation Round