11.01.2026 15:15
Estadio La Rosaleda
Referee: Eder Mallo Fernandez, Spain
Malaga
Match Timeline
AD Ceuta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
K. Zalazar · Assist: C. Rodriguez
AD Ceuta FC
🟨
6'
Dani Lorenzo
Malaga
🟨
19'
Kuki Zalazar
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
26'
Jamelli ↔ Y. Bodiger
AD Ceuta FC
⚽
43'
Chupe
Malaga
🟨
45+6'
Carlos Dotor
Malaga
🟨
45+4'
Diego González
AD Ceuta FC
⚽
45'
Chupe
Malaga
🔄
65'
C. Dotor ↔ A. Ochoa
Malaga
🔄
65'
A. Ahmed ↔ A. Bassinga
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
65'
Youness ↔ S. Sanchez
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
65'
C. Rodriguez ↔ M. Domenech
AD Ceuta FC
⚽
71'
Chupete
Malaga
🔄
78'
D. Lorenzo ↔ A. Nino
Malaga
🔄
78'
J. Munoz ↔ R. Rodriguez
Malaga
🔄
78'
K. Kone ↔ J. Ortuno
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
85'
D. Larrubia ↔ H. Abaida
Malaga
🔄
85'
Chupe ↔ J. Lobete
Malaga
🟨
87'
Rafa Rodriguez
Malaga
🟨
90+1'
Aarón Ochoa
Malaga

Malaga vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Malaga Win 0%
Draw 0%
AD Ceuta FC Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malaga1.36
AD Ceuta FC1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malaga Malaga
WWDLW
33 GF / 28 GA
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
WLDWL
26 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
14
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
9
4.41
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malaga Malaga 22 matches
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 22 matches
Malaga Statistic AD Ceuta FC
9 Wins 10
5 Draws 5
8 Losses 7
33 Goals For 26
28 Goals Against 25
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
14 BTTS Yes 10
17 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 6
4.41 Shots On Goal 3.38
11.45 Total Shots 10.24
3.59 Corners 4.14
46.5% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Malaga won 2 times, AD Ceuta FC won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from Malaga's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Malaga 4-1-3-2 / AD Ceuta FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Malaga wins 2, draws 1, AD Ceuta FC wins 2

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
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