FRANCE › LIGUE 1
15.02.2026 14:00
Stade Océane
Referee: J. Brisard
Le Havre
Match Timeline
Toulouse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
2'
Arouna Sangante
Le Havre
🔄
30'
R. Messali ↔ S. Hidalgo
Toulouse
⚽
43'
I. Soumare
Le Havre
⚽
45'
D. Sidibe · Assist: C. Cresswell
Toulouse
🔄
46'
M. Diaw ↔ L. Mpasi-Nzau
Le Havre
🟨
49'
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Toulouse
⚽
53'
I. Soumare · Assist: S. Boufal
Le Havre
🟨
54'
Guillaume Restes
Toulouse
🟨
55'
Simon Ebonog
Le Havre
🔄
62'
R. Nicolaisen ↔ D. Methalie
Toulouse
🔄
62'
C. Casseres ↔ M. Sauer
Toulouse
🔄
62'
Emersonn ↔ J. Russell-Rowe
Toulouse
🔄
65'
S. Boufal ↔ D. N. Mosengo
Le Havre
🔄
65'
S. Ebonog ↔ A. Samatta
Le Havre
🟨
70'
Dayann Methalie
Toulouse
VAR
76'
Santiago Hidalgo
Toulouse
🔄
83'
D. Sidibe ↔ J. Vignolo
Toulouse
🔄
84'
S. Zagadou ↔ T. Pembele
Le Havre
🟨
88'
Santiago Hidalgo
Toulouse
🟨
90+1'
Lionel M'Pasi
Le Havre
🔄
90+5'
R. Ndiaye ↔ Y. Kechta
Le Havre

Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Le Havre Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toulouse Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Le Havre0.92
Toulouse1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Le Havre Le Havre
WWDLW
18 GF / 28 GA
Toulouse Toulouse
WLDWL
35 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
10
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
11
3.68
Shots on Goal
4.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Le Havre Le Havre 22 matches
Toulouse Toulouse 24 matches
Le Havre Statistic Toulouse
5 Wins 10
8 Draws 7
9 Losses 7
18 Goals For 35
28 Goals Against 26
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
10 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 6
6 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 7
3.68 Shots On Goal 4.46
11.59 Total Shots 12.92
4.82 Corners 4.79
47.2% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Le Havre won 3 times, Toulouse won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:18 from Le Havre's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Le Havre 3-1-4-2 / Toulouse 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Le Havre wins 3, draws 2, Toulouse wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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