BELARUS 1. DIVISION
26.09.2026 11:30

Shakhter Soligorsk vs Minsk II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 46.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
46.5%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Shakhter Soligorsk Win 38.6%
Draw 14.9%
Minsk II Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shakhter Soligorsk1.91
Minsk II1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shakhter Soligorsk Shakhter Soligorsk
WWDLW
49 GF / 43 GA
Minsk II Minsk II
WLDWL
36 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
1.84
16
BTTS Yes
15
19
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shakhter Soligorsk Shakhter Soligorsk 25 matches
Minsk II Minsk II 25 matches
Shakhter Soligorsk Statistic Minsk II
10 Wins 9
6 Draws 3
9 Losses 13
49 Goals For 36
43 Goals Against 46
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 1.84
16 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 21
19 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 10
8 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Shakhter Soligorsk's more proactive style and Minsk II's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Minsk II having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Minsk II. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Shakhter Soligorsk Analysis

With 33 points from 24 games and a place of 10, Shakhter Soligorsk still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 46:43, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Minsk II Analysis

With 29 points from 24 games and a place of 12, Minsk II still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 2 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 35:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Shakhter Soligorsk won 1 times, Minsk II won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Shakhter Soligorsk's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
H2H summary: Shakhter Soligorsk wins 1, draws 0, Minsk II wins 0

Standings

1. Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 16 3 6 63:31 32 51
L W W W L
2 25 15 6 4 48:24 24 51
W W D W D
3 25 15 3 7 47:42 5 48
L W W W W
4 25 14 5 6 48:30 18 47
W L W W L
5 25 13 4 8 46:30 16 43
W D W L W
6 24 13 3 8 41:34 7 42
D W W W W
7 25 11 4 10 47:37 10 37
W L L L W
8 25 10 6 9 49:43 6 36
W W D L L
9 25 10 5 10 42:37 5 35
W D L W W
10 25 10 4 11 40:44 -4 34
L L W L L
11 24 8 9 7 33:34 -1 33
W W W W L
12 25 8 6 11 30:34 -4 30
W W D L L
13 25 9 3 13 36:46 -10 30
D L L L D
14 25 7 5 13 27:46 -19 26
L D L W L
15 25 6 7 12 24:34 -10 25
L L D L W
16 25 5 6 14 33:48 -15 21
L L L D L
17 25 5 6 14 34:58 -24 21
L W L D W
18 25 5 3 17 26:62 -36 18
D L L L W