SCOTLAND › PREMIERSHIP
31.01.2026 15:00
Rugby Park
Referee: L. Wilson
Kilmarnock
Match Timeline
Aberdeen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Graeme Shinnie
Aberdeen
⚽
12'
B. Lyons · Assist: G. Kiltie
Kilmarnock
⚽
14'
B. Anderson · Assist: T. John-Jules
Kilmarnock
🔄
35'
M. Knoester ↔ S. Nilsen
Aberdeen
🟨
42'
David Watson
Kilmarnock
🟨
45+7'
Liam Morrison
Aberdeen
🔄
46'
K. Bilalovic ↔ T. Olusanya
Aberdeen
🟥
51'
Graeme Shinnie
Aberdeen
VAR
53'
Graeme Shinnie
Aberdeen
🔄
56'
K. Nisbet ↔ L. Clarkson
Aberdeen
🔄
58'
D. Watson ↔ R. McKenzie
Kilmarnock
⚽
59'
T. John-Jules · Assist: B. Anderson
Kilmarnock
🔄
63'
G. Kiltie ↔ F. Curtis
Kilmarnock
🔄
66'
T. Keskinen ↔ M. Lazetic
Aberdeen
🔄
66'
M. Frame ↔ A. Jensen
Aberdeen
🔄
66'
L. Cameron ↔ K. Kjartansson
Aberdeen
🔄
79'
L. Polworth ↔ J. Thomson
Kilmarnock
🔄
79'
B. Anderson ↔ J. Hugill
Kilmarnock
🟨
83'
Dominic Thompson
Kilmarnock
🟨
84'
Kjartan Mar Kjartansson
Aberdeen
🔄
88'
T. John-Jules ↔ M. Dackers
Kilmarnock
🟨
90+4'
Ethan Brown
Kilmarnock

Kilmarnock vs Aberdeen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Kilmarnock Win 0%
Draw 0%
Aberdeen Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Kilmarnock1.15
Aberdeen1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WWDLW
20 GF / 43 GA
Aberdeen Aberdeen
WLDWL
31 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1
1.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
13
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
12
3.48
Shots on Goal
3.74

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 23 matches
Aberdeen Aberdeen 31 matches
Kilmarnock Statistic Aberdeen
2 Wins 8
8 Draws 7
13 Losses 16
20 Goals For 31
43 Goals Against 49
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
13 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 15
3.48 Shots On Goal 3.74
10.26 Total Shots 11.94
4.26 Corners 4.74
39.2% Ball Possession 45.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Kilmarnock won 6 times, Aberdeen won 9 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Kilmarnock's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Kilmarnock 4-3-1-2 / Aberdeen 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Kilmarnock wins 6, draws 0, Aberdeen wins 9

Standings

Premiership
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 21 7 5 58:28 30 70
L W D W W
2 33 19 12 2 66:31 35 69
W L L L L
3 33 21 4 8 59:35 24 67
W W W W W
4 33 14 12 7 52:29 23 54
W L D L W
5 33 13 12 8 51:37 14 51
L W W L L
6 33 13 7 13 45:48 -3 46
L L L W L
7 33 9 13 11 45:54 -9 40
D D L L W
8 33 9 6 18 33:48 -15 33
L L W D W
9 33 8 9 16 34:53 -19 33
W L W W L
10 33 7 9 17 27:48 -21 30
W D D W L
11 33 6 10 17 37:65 -28 28
W W W W L
12 33 1 13 19 35:66 -31 16
L D L D W
Championship round
Relegation Round