01.02.2026 13:00
UD Almeria Stadium
Referee: A. Ojaos
Almeria
Match Timeline
AD Ceuta FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
16'
Jon Morcillo
Almeria
⚽
17'
S. Arribas
Almeria
⚽
23'
Leo Baptistao · Assist: S. Arribas
Almeria
⚽
36'
J. Morcillo
Almeria
🟨
45+6'
Miguel de la Fuente
Almeria
🟨
45+6'
José Campaña
AD Ceuta FC
🟨
45+5'
Salvi Sánchez
AD Ceuta FC
⚽
45'
K. Zalazar
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
46'
J. Campana ↔ Y. Bodiger
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
46'
S. Sanchez ↔ A. Bassinga
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
46'
Youness ↔ A. Ahmed
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
57'
Leo Baptistao ↔ A. Embarba
Almeria
🔄
66'
A. Horta ↔ Gui Guedes
Almeria
🔄
66'
M. de la Fuente ↔ Thalys
Almeria
🔄
66'
M. Luna ↔ D. Chirino
Almeria
🔄
71'
K. de la Fuente ↔ K. Kone
AD Ceuta FC
🔄
74'
J. Morcillo ↔ A. Puigmal
Almeria
⚽
79'
M. Fernandez Sanchez
AD Ceuta FC
🟨
82'
Stefan Džodić
Almeria
🟨
84'
Jose Matos
AD Ceuta FC
⚽
85'
A. Embarba
Almeria
🔄
86'
K. Zalazar ↔ M. Illescas
AD Ceuta FC

Almeria vs AD Ceuta FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Almeria Win 0%
Draw 0%
AD Ceuta FC Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almeria1.55
AD Ceuta FC1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almeria Almeria
WWDLW
44 GF / 35 GA
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
WLDWL
30 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
17
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
12
5.46
Shots on Goal
3.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almeria Almeria 25 matches
AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC 25 matches
Almeria Statistic AD Ceuta FC
11 Wins 11
6 Draws 5
8 Losses 9
44 Goals For 30
35 Goals Against 31
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
17 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 17
17 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 5
7 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 7
5.46 Shots On Goal 3.71
14.88 Total Shots 10.71
4.88 Corners 4.42
52.2% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Almeria won 1 times, AD Ceuta FC won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Almeria's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Almeria 4-2-3-1 / AD Ceuta FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Almeria wins 1, draws 0, AD Ceuta FC wins 1

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
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