Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
69.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- |
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Zorya Luhansk
23 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
41 matches
| Zorya Luhansk | Statistic | Shakhtar Donetsk |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 26 |
| 8 | Draws | 12 |
| 7 | Losses | 3 |
| 32 | Goals For | 88 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.39 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.15 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.68 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 25 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 2.7 | Shots On Goal | 4.03 |
| 7.7 | Total Shots | 10.18 |
| 3.55 | Corners | 3.74 |
| 33% | Ball Possession | 41.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zorya Luhansk expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Shakhtar Donetsk in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shakhtar Donetsk having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shakhtar Donetsk look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Shakhtar Donetsk. Shakhtar Donetsk carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 54 points while Zorya Luhansk sit 9 on 32, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
From their first 23 matches, Zorya Luhansk have collected 32 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 31:27 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Budkivsky (10 goals), N. Andjusic (7 goals), Jordan (3 goals), with creative support from A. Slesar (4 assists), Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior (4 assists), N. Andjusic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Operating from 1 place with 54 points from 23 games, Shakhtar Donetsk bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 51:12, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Eguinaldo (7 goals), Kaua Elias (6 goals), Pedrinho (6 goals), with creative support from Pedrinho (5 assists), P. Henrique (5 assists), A. Bondarenko (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Zorya Luhansk won 2 times, Shakhtar Donetsk won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:25 from Zorya Luhansk's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.
Lineups
Zorya Luhansk
HNK Gorica
Zorya Luhansk
Shkendija
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
Zorya Luhansk
Veres Rivne
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
Obolon'-Brovar
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
Kryvbas KR
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
Zorya Luhansk
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
Andijan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
Veres Rivne
Shakhtar Donetsk
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
Zorya Luhansk
Shkendija
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
Veres Rivne
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
Auda
Zorya Luhansk
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
Andijan
Zorya Luhansk
FK Sarajevo
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
Zorya Luhansk
Oleksandria
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
Obolon'-Brovar
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
Zorya Luhansk
Kryvbas KR
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kryvbas KR
Shakhtar Donetsk
SK Poltava
Shakhtar Donetsk
Crystal Palace
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kudrivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
Lech Poznan
Shakhtar Donetsk
Oleksandria
Shakhtar Donetsk
Rustavi
Shakhtar Donetsk
LNZ Cherkasy
Shakhtar Donetsk
Hamrun Spartans
Shakhtar Donetsk
Kolos Kovalivka
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shamrock Rovers
Shakhtar Donetsk
Obolon'-Brovar
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Shakhtar Donetsk
Aberdeen
Shakhtar Donetsk
Ruh Lviv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
Servette FC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
Away
|
30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 71:21 | 50 | 72 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 39:17 | 22 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 51:21 | 30 | 59 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:36 | 30 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 36:19 | 17 | 51 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 49 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 53:46 | 7 | 48 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 |
Zorya Luhansk
Home
|
30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 46 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 36:45 | -9 | 32 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 26:40 | -14 | 31 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 28:49 | -21 | 31 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 32:48 | -16 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 21 | 20:51 | -31 | 21 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 24:58 | -34 | 17 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 23:74 | -51 | 13 |
D
L
L
L
D
|