UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Valerija Lobanovskoho
Referee: K. Zabroda
Zorya Luhansk
Match Timeline
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
P. Itodo
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
10'
A. Slesar ↔ I. Gorbach
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
21'
I. Kogut ↔ D. Antyukh
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🟨
55'
Gabriel Eskinja
Zorya Luhansk
🟨
58'
Sebastian Castillo
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
59'
S. Castillo ↔ E. Rashica
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
59'
V. Kalitvintsev ↔ B. Zabergja
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
62'
↔ D. Jelavic
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
62'
J. Basic ↔ R. Verley
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
79'
B. Kushnirenko ↔ K. Dryshlyuk
Zorya Luhansk
🟨
80'
Petar Mićin
Zorya Luhansk
🔄
82'
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro ↔ V. Churko
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🔄
82'
P. Itodo ↔ C. Mba
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
🟨
85'
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk
Zorya Luhansk
🟨
89'
Dejan Popara
Zorya Luhansk
🟨
90+3'
Pylyp Budkivskyi
Zorya Luhansk
90'
R. Verley · Assist: P. Micin
Zorya Luhansk

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
84.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zorya Luhansk Win 36.5%
Draw 12.7%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Win 50.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zorya Luhansk1.08
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
WWDLW
37 GF / 33 GA
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
WLDWL
31 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.58
15
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
6
2.52
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 26 matches
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 26 matches
Zorya Luhansk Statistic Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10 Wins 12
8 Draws 9
8 Losses 5
37 Goals For 31
33 Goals Against 15
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.58
15 BTTS Yes 8
19 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 6
10 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 14
6 Failed To Score 9
2.52 Shots On Goal 2.71
7.35 Total Shots 9.63
3.22 Corners 4.54
31.5% Ball Possession 37.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Metalist 1925 Kharkiv. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zorya Luhansk expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Metalist 1925 Kharkiv having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Zorya Luhansk Analysis

From their first 26 matches, Zorya Luhansk have collected 38 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 37:33 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Budkivsky (11 goals), N. Andjusic (7 goals), Roman Vantukh (4 goals), with creative support from A. Slesar (4 assists), Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior (4 assists), N. Andjusic (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 45 points from 26 games, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 12 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a 31:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on P. Itodo (8 goals), D. Antyukh (4 goals), C. Mba (3 goals), with creative support from D. Antyukh (4 assists), Vladyslav Kalitvintsev (3 assists), Ilya Krupskyi (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Zorya Luhansk won 5 times, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:6 from Zorya Luhansk's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.57 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Zorya Luhansk 4-4-2 / Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Zorya Luhansk wins 5, draws 1, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv wins 1

Lineups

Zorya Luhansk
Formation
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
O. Saputin
O. Saputin
I. Perduta
I. Perduta
A. Janjic
A. Janjic
G. Eskinja
G. Eskinja
R. Vantukh
R. Vantukh
B. Kushnirenko
B. Kushnirenko
A. Slesar
A. Slesar
P. Micin
🎯
P. Micin
J. Basic
J. Basic
D. Popara
D. Popara
P. Budkivsky
P. Budkivsky
D. Varakuta
D. Varakuta
V. Salyuk
V. Salyuk
Y. Pavlyuk
Y. Pavlyuk
A. Shabanov
A. Shabanov
I. Krupskyi
I. Krupskyi
I. Kaliuzhnyi
I. Kaliuzhnyi
V. Kalitvintsev
V. Kalitvintsev
I. Kogut
I. Kogut
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro
S. Castillo
S. Castillo
P. Itodo
P. Itodo
Zorya Luhansk 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
O. Saputin
G
44
I. Perduta
D
5
A. Janjic
D
4
G. Eskinja
🟨 55'
D
47
R. Vantukh
D
77
B. Kushnirenko
↓ 79'
M
9
A. Slesar
↓ 10'
M
22
P. Micin
🎯 90' 🟨 80'
M
21
J. Basic
↓ 62'
D
6
D. Popara
🟨 89'
M
28
P. Budkivsky
🟨 90+3'
F
Substitutes
31
V. Kosivskyi
G
12
M. Turbayevskyi
G
10
Juninho
D
88
S. Bah
8
K. Dryshlyuk
↑ 79' 🟨 85'
M
23
N. Malysh
M
17
F. Zadorozhnyi
F
11
I. Gorbach
↑ 10'
M
27
D. Jelavic
↑ 62'
M
70
R. Verley
⚽ 90' ↑ 62'
M
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
D. Varakuta
G
13
V. Salyuk
D
18
Y. Pavlyuk
D
31
A. Shabanov
D
27
I. Krupskyi
D
5
I. Kaliuzhnyi
M
45
V. Kalitvintsev
↓ 59'
M
17
I. Kogut
↓ 21'
M
16
J. N. Arevalo Chaparro
↓ 82'
M
8
S. Castillo
↓ 59' 🟨 58'
F
98
P. Itodo
⚽ 1' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
23
Y. Protsenko
37
V. Dubko
D
24
O. Martynyuk
D
77
Cauan Baptistella
M
11
V. Churko
↑ 82'
M
14
R. Gadzhyev
M
25
I. Lytvynenko
M
7
Ari Moura
M
19
E. Rashica
↑ 59'
M
15
D. Antyukh
↑ 21'
M
99
C. Mba
↑ 82'
F
26
B. Zabergja
↑ 59'
M
Last matches: Zorya Luhansk
23.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Göztepe
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Grimsby
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Konyaspor
1
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Slovácko
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
HNK Gorica
1
2
L
30.06.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Shkendija
2
2
D
23.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
2
1
W
18.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
0
D
12.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Oleksandria
2
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
2
1
W
27.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
17.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
1
3
L
12.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Obolon'-Brovar
3
3
D
28.03.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
2
2
D
24.03.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
2
4
L
15.03.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
1
1
D
08.03.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
01.03.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Kryvbas KR
1
3
L
Last matches: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
FC Schalke 04
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Fagiano Okayama
1
2
L
16.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Hradec Králové
3
3
D
15.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
FK Jablonec
0
1
L
10.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Wolfsberger AC
3
3
D
09.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Red Bull Salzburg
0
4
L
05.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
BSC Young Boys
0
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Qarabag
6
2
W
24.05.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
1
D
12.05.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Karpaty
2
2
D
03.05.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Polessya
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kudrivka
1
0
W
15.04.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
4
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Dynamo Kyiv
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
19.03.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
SK Poltava
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
09.03.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
H2H: Zorya Luhansk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
09.05.26
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
08.11.25
H2H
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
1
3
W
31.03.24
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
1
W
15.09.23
H2H
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
2
1
L
08.05.23
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3
0
W
28.10.22
H2H
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
0
3
W
07.05.22
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
0
D
31.10.21
H2H
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Zorya Luhansk
1
6
W
Last matches: Zorya Luhansk
23.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Göztepe
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Grimsby
1
1
D
15.07.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Konyaspor
1
2
L
30.06.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Shkendija
2
2
D
18.05.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Polessya
0
0
D
27.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Veres Rivne
2
0
W
23.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Shakhtar Donetsk
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Kolos Kovalivka
2
2
D
24.03.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Kudrivka
2
4
L
08.03.26
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
4
0
W
13.02.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Auda
3
0
W
09.02.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Gagra
2
0
W
05.02.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
Andijan
0
0
D
21.01.26
Fri
Zorya Luhansk
FK Sarajevo
0
0
D
05.12.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Karpaty
1
0
W
24.11.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Oleksandria
2
2
D
02.11.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Ruh Lviv
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
1
1
D
27.09.25
Pre
Zorya Luhansk
Obolon'-Brovar
0
0
D
H2H at home: Zorya Luhansk
09.05.26
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
31.03.24
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
1
W
08.05.23
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3
0
W
07.05.22
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
0
D
Last matches: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
15.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
FK Jablonec
0
1
L
10.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Wolfsberger AC
3
3
D
09.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Red Bull Salzburg
0
4
L
01.07.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Qarabag
6
2
W
24.05.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Veres Rivne
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kolos Kovalivka
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
1
L
09.03.26
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Ruh Lviv
3
0
W
12.02.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Molde
1
0
W
18.01.26
Fri
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Wolfsberger AC
0
1
L
12.12.25
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Obolon'-Brovar
3
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Karpaty
2
1
W
03.11.25
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Polessya
0
0
D
20.10.25
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kudrivka
1
1
D
05.10.25
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Dynamo Kyiv
1
1
D
21.09.25
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
SK Poltava
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Oleksandria
4
1
W
09.08.25
Pre
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kryvbas KR
0
2
L
H2H away: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
09.05.26
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1
1
D
31.03.24
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2
1
L
08.05.23
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3
0
L
07.05.22
H2H
Zorya Luhansk
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0
0
D

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga