CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
02.05.2026 13:00
Stadion Letna
Referee: K. Roucek
Zlin
Match Timeline
Dukla Praha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Eric Hunal
Dukla Praha
23'
K. Milla
Dukla Praha
VAR
33'
Marián Pišoja
Zlin
35'
J. Cernin
Zlin
🟨
45+2'
Tomáš Poznar
Zlin
🟨
47'
Michal Cupak
Zlin
🔄
59'
L. Penxa ↔ B. Unusic
Dukla Praha
🟨
65'
Cletus Nombil
Zlin
🔄
70'
D. Machalik ↔ L. Bartosak
Zlin
🔄
70'
J. Didiba ↔ K. Penkevics
Zlin
74'
T. Poznar
Zlin
🔄
75'
T. Poznar ↔ M. Koubek
Zlin
🔄
78'
J. Svozil ↔ D. Gilbert
Dukla Praha
🔄
79'
M. Hanousek ↔ D. Velasquez
Dukla Praha
🔄
84'
Z. Sehovic ↔ D. Kreiker
Dukla Praha
🔄
85'
P. Gaszczyk ↔ T. Pekhart
Dukla Praha
🔄
86'
J. Kolar ↔ A. Krapka
Zlin
🔄
86'
J. Pesek ↔ T. Ulbrich
Zlin
🟨
90+2'
Tomáš Pekhart
Dukla Praha

Zlin vs Dukla Praha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zlin Win 53%
Draw 11.7%
Dukla Praha Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zlin1.3
Dukla Praha1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zlin Zlin
WWDLW
37 GF / 48 GA
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
WLDWL
20 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
16
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
8
2.97
Shots on Goal
2.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zlin Zlin 30 matches
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 matches
Zlin Statistic Dukla Praha
9 Wins 4
7 Draws 11
14 Losses 15
37 Goals For 20
48 Goals Against 42
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
16 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 8
12 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 15
2.97 Shots On Goal 2.93
10.83 Total Shots 9.27
3.9 Corners 3.43
40.4% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Zlin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dukla Praha. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Zlin Analysis

Zlin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 34 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 37:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Cupak (7 goals), S. Kanu (5 goals), T. Poznar (5 goals), with creative support from S. Kanu (4 assists), M. Cupak (3 assists), Tom Ulbrich (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dukla Praha Analysis

Dukla Praha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 23 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats with a 20:42 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Cermak (4 goals), D. Kreiker (2 goals), M. Kroupa (2 goals), with creative support from M. Cermak (5 assists), J. Kadak (2 assists), Samuel Isife (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Zlin won 2 times, Dukla Praha won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Zlin's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Zlin 4-2-3-1 / Dukla Praha 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Zlin wins 2, draws 3, Dukla Praha wins 0

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2
Zlin Home
35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation