CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Letna
Referee: K. Roucek
Zlin
Match Timeline
Dukla Praha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Eric Hunal
Dukla Praha
23'
K. Milla
Dukla Praha
VAR
33'
Marián Pišoja
Zlin
35'
J. Cernin
Zlin
🟨
45+2'
Tomáš Poznar
Zlin
🟨
47'
Michal Cupak
Zlin
🔄
59'
L. Penxa ↔ B. Unusic
Dukla Praha
🟨
65'
Cletus Nombil
Zlin
🔄
70'
D. Machalik ↔ L. Bartosak
Zlin
🔄
70'
J. Didiba ↔ K. Penkevics
Zlin
74'
T. Poznar
Zlin
🔄
75'
T. Poznar ↔ M. Koubek
Zlin
🔄
78'
J. Svozil ↔ D. Gilbert
Dukla Praha
🔄
79'
M. Hanousek ↔ D. Velasquez
Dukla Praha
🔄
84'
Z. Sehovic ↔ D. Kreiker
Dukla Praha
🔄
85'
P. Gaszczyk ↔ T. Pekhart
Dukla Praha
🔄
86'
J. Kolar ↔ A. Krapka
Zlin
🔄
86'
J. Pesek ↔ T. Ulbrich
Zlin
🟨
90+2'
Tomáš Pekhart
Dukla Praha

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.8%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zlin Win 53%
Draw 11.7%
Dukla Praha Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zlin1.3
Dukla Praha1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zlin Zlin
WWDLW
37 GF / 48 GA
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
WLDWL
20 GF / 42 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
16
BTTS Yes
12
17
Over 2.5
8
2.97
Shots on Goal
2.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zlin Zlin 30 matches
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 matches
Zlin Statistic Dukla Praha
9 Wins 4
7 Draws 11
14 Losses 15
37 Goals For 20
48 Goals Against 42
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
16 BTTS Yes 12
22 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 8
12 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 7
9 Failed To Score 15
2.97 Shots On Goal 2.93
10.83 Total Shots 9.27
3.9 Corners 3.43
40.4% Ball Possession 42.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Zlin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dukla Praha. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Zlin Analysis

Zlin approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 34 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 37:48 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Cupak (7 goals), S. Kanu (5 goals), T. Poznar (5 goals), with creative support from S. Kanu (4 assists), M. Cupak (3 assists), Tom Ulbrich (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dukla Praha Analysis

Dukla Praha approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 23 points from 30 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats with a 20:42 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Cermak (4 goals), D. Kreiker (2 goals), M. Kroupa (2 goals), with creative support from M. Cermak (5 assists), J. Kadak (2 assists), Samuel Isife (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Zlin won 2 times, Dukla Praha won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Zlin's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.3%)
Predicted formations: Zlin 4-2-3-1 / Dukla Praha 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Zlin wins 2, draws 3, Dukla Praha wins 0
Stats
Zlin Zlin
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
6
3 Corner Kicks 6
15 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 0
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 6
7 Shots insidebox 11
3 Shots outsidebox 5
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
212 Total passes 332
142 Passes accurate 260
1.67 expected_goals 2.12
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Zlin
Formation
Dukla Praha
S. Dostal
S. Dostal
M. Kopecny
M. Kopecny
J. Cernin
J. Cernin
J. Kolar
J. Kolar
M. Pisoja
M. Pisoja
J. Didiba
J. Didiba
C. Nombil
C. Nombil
D. Machalik
D. Machalik
M. Cupak
M. Cupak
J. Pesek
J. Pesek
T. Poznar
T. Poznar
H. Backovsky
H. Backovsky
D. Hasek
D. Hasek
J. Svozil
J. Svozil
M. Traore
M. Traore
L. Penxa
L. Penxa
P. Gaszczyk
P. Gaszczyk
M. Hanousek
M. Hanousek
Z. Sehovic
Z. Sehovic
M. Cermak
M. Cermak
R. Mikus
R. Mikus
K. Milla
K. Milla
Zlin 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
17
S. Dostal
G
23
M. Kopecny
D
24
J. Cernin
⚽ 35'
D
28
J. Kolar
↓ 86'
D
82
M. Pisoja
6
J. Didiba
↓ 70'
M
19
C. Nombil
🟨 65'
M
8
D. Machalik
↓ 70'
M
26
M. Cupak
🟨 47'
M
10
J. Pesek
↓ 86'
M
88
T. Poznar
⚽ 74' ↓ 75' 🟨 45+2'
F
Substitutes
34
M. Knobloch
G
91
J. Kalabiska
D
31
L. Bartosak
↑ 70'
D
15
M. Koubek
↑ 75'
F
14
S. Kanu
F
39
A. Krapka
↑ 86'
D
4
T. Ulbrich
↑ 86'
M
22
M. Fukala
D
5
K. Penkevics
↑ 70'
M
53
T. Hellebrand
M
Dukla Praha 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
59
H. Backovsky
G
18
D. Hasek
D
23
J. Svozil
↓ 78'
D
22
M. Traore
6
L. Penxa
↓ 59'
M
8
P. Gaszczyk
↓ 85'
M
25
M. Hanousek
↓ 79'
M
3
Z. Sehovic
↓ 84'
M
19
M. Cermak
F
10
R. Mikus
F
11
K. Milla
⚽ 23'
F
Substitutes
31
A. Jagrik
17
T. Pekhart
↑ 85' 🟨 90+2'
F
39
D. Kozma
M
28
B. Unusic
↑ 59'
37
M. Pourzitidis
D
95
M. Cernak
M
15
D. Gilbert
↑ 78'
M
5
D. Velasquez
↑ 79'
M
14
S. Tijani
M
47
D. Kreiker
↑ 84'
M
4
E. Hunal
🟨 -5'
D
Last matches: Zlin
18.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Slask Wroclaw
1
3
L
15.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Polonia Warszawa
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1
2
L
03.07.26
Fri
Zlin
AS Trencin
3
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Skalica
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Hanácká
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Petržalka
3
3
D
23.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Slovácko
1
0
W
16.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
0
2
L
12.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
2
4
L
09.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Pardubice
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
3
2
W
11.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Bohemians 1905
1
2
L
04.04.26
Cze
Zlin
FK Jablonec
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Zlin
Vysočina Jihlava
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
08.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
2
6
L
01.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Plzen
3
0
W
Last matches: Dukla Praha
17.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Ústí nad Labem
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Sparta Praha II
4
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Slovan Liberec
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
3
2
W
23.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
0
3
L
16.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
2
L
12.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
0
1
L
25.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Karviná
1
2
L
12.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
04.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Pardubice
0
2
L
27.03.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
FK Jablonec
2
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
0
D
27.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
22.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Bohemians 1905
0
1
L
14.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
0
0
D
H2H: Zlin vs Dukla Praha
02.05.26
H2H
Zlin
Dukla Praha
2
1
W
14.02.26
H2H
Dukla Praha
Zlin
0
0
D
13.09.25
H2H
Zlin
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
09.03.19
H2H
Zlin
Dukla Praha
2
1
W
29.09.18
H2H
Dukla Praha
Zlin
1
1
D
Last matches: Zlin
10.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Zlin
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Skalica
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Hanácká
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Zlin
Petržalka
3
3
D
23.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Slovácko
1
0
W
12.05.26
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
2
4
L
18.04.26
Cze
Zlin
Teplice
3
2
W
04.04.26
Cze
Zlin
FK Jablonec
0
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Zlin
Vysočina Jihlava
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Slavia Praha
1
3
L
01.03.26
Cze
Zlin
Plzen
3
0
W
08.02.26
Cze
Zlin
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
20.01.26
Fri
Zlin
Vojvodina
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Zlin
FC BW Linz
0
0
D
14.12.25
Cze
Zlin
Sigma Olomouc
5
0
W
29.11.25
Cze
Zlin
Karviná
1
3
L
08.11.25
Cze
Zlin
Bohemians 1905
0
1
L
25.10.25
Cze
Zlin
Pardubice
2
2
D
05.10.25
Cze
Zlin
Baník Ostrava
1
1
D
H2H at home: Zlin
02.05.26
H2H
Zlin
Dukla Praha
2
1
W
13.09.25
H2H
Zlin
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
09.03.19
H2H
Zlin
Dukla Praha
2
1
W
Last matches: Dukla Praha
17.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Ústí nad Labem
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Slovan Liberec
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
2
L
26.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
0
2
L
20.06.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
3
2
W
16.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
2
L
12.05.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
2
1
W
25.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slovácko
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Mlada Boleslav
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
Vlašim
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Teplice
0
0
D
22.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Bohemians 1905
0
1
L
08.02.26
Cze
Dukla Praha
Hradec Králové
0
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Dukla Praha
FC Liefering
1
1
D
14.12.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Plzen
0
2
L
29.11.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Baník Ostrava
1
3
L
01.11.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Pardubice
1
1
D
19.10.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
FK Jablonec
0
0
D
26.09.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
13.09.25
Cze
Dukla Praha
Zlin
1
1
D
H2H away: Dukla Praha
02.05.26
H2H
Zlin
Dukla Praha
2
1
L
13.09.25
H2H
Zlin
Dukla Praha
1
1
D
09.03.19
H2H
Zlin
Dukla Praha
2
1
L

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2
Zlin Home
35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation