RUSSIA › PREMIER LEAGUE

09.08.2026 14:00

Zenit

1 - 2

Rodina Moskva

Gazprom Arena

Referee: Igor Kaplenkov, Russia

Zenit

Match Timeline

Rodina Moskva

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Zenit vs Rodina Moskva Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 87.7%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 58.8%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 72%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	87.7%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	58.8%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	85%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Zenit Win 87.7%

Draw 5.3%

Rodina Moskva Win 7%

Expected Goals (xG)

Zenit2.34

Rodina Moskva0.74

Recent Form (Last 5)

Zenit

WWDLW

41 GF / 11 GA

Rodina Moskva

WLDWL

10 GF / 26 GA

Key Stats

2.56

Average Goals Scored

0.77

0.69

Average Goals Conceded

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

7.5

Shots on Goal

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zenit 16 matches

Rodina Moskva 13 matches

Zenit	Statistic	Rodina Moskva
12	Wins	1
3	Draws	4
1	Losses	8
41	Goals For	10
11	Goals Against	26
2.56	Avg Goals Scored	0.77
0.69	Avg Goals Conceded	2
7	BTTS Yes	6
14	Over 1.5	9
10	Over 2.5	7
7	Over 3.5	5
8	Clean Sheets	3
1	Failed To Score	6
7.5	Shots On Goal	3
16	Total Shots	7.5
3.5	Corners	3
58.5%	Ball Possession	44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Zenit won 0 times, Rodina Moskva won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Zenit's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)

Predicted formations: Zenit 4-2-3-1 / Rodina Moskva 4-4-2

Missing players: Zenit 0, Rodina Moskva 1

H2H summary: Zenit wins 0, draws 0, Rodina Moskva wins 1

Standings

Premier League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14:7	7	21	D D D W W
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14:8	6	19	W W W W W
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15:9	6	19	W D W D W
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16:7	9	19	W W L D W
5	Zenit Home	9	6	0	3	19:9	10	18	W W L W L
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12:11	1	12	D D D W D
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15:16	-1	12	L L W L L
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14:12	2	11	L D L W D
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13:14	-1	11	D W D D W
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13:13	0	10	L W D D W
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7:10	-3	9	D L D D D
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10:17	-7	8	L L W L L
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11:18	-7	8	W D D D L
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8:11	-3	7	D L W L L
15	Rodina Moskva Away	9	1	2	6	10:22	-12	5	D L L L L
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6:13	-7	3	L D L L D

Premier League (Relegation)

Relegation - FNL