SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Ibercaja Estadio
Referee: J. A. Gonzalez Esteban
Zaragoza
Match Timeline
Sporting Gijon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
Y. Saidu
Zaragoza
29'
L. Perrin · Assist: P. Vazquez
Sporting Gijon
VAR
37'
Álex Corredera
Sporting Gijon
🟨
39'
Adrián Rodríguez
Zaragoza
41'
A. Corredera
Sporting Gijon
🔄
46'
M. A. Cuenca ↔ F. Moyano
Zaragoza
🔄
46'
A. Radovanovic ↔ K. Kodro
Zaragoza
🔄
54'
G. Rosas ↔ K. Vazquez
Sporting Gijon
🟨
60'
Pablo García
Sporting Gijon
🟨
65'
Rubén Yáñez
Sporting Gijon
🔄
69'
J. Smith ↔ A. Coundoul
Sporting Gijon
🔄
69'
C. Gelabert Pina ↔ J. Bernal
Sporting Gijon
🔄
74'
D. Tasende ↔ J. Larios
Zaragoza
🔄
74'
J. Sebastian ↔ A. Gomes
Zaragoza
🔄
78'
H. Pinilla ↔ J. Tobajas
Zaragoza
🟨
79'
Jesús Bernal
Sporting Gijon
🔄
86'
P. Garcia ↔ D. Sanchez
Sporting Gijon
90'
A. Coundoul · Assist: G. Campos
Sporting Gijon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zaragoza Win 63.1%
Draw 0%
Sporting Gijon Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zaragoza1.03
Sporting Gijon1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zaragoza Zaragoza
WWDLW
36 GF / 55 GA
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
WLDWL
55 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
20
BTTS Yes
22
14
Over 2.5
20
3.65
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zaragoza Zaragoza 41 matches
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 42 matches
Zaragoza Statistic Sporting Gijon
9 Wins 17
11 Draws 7
21 Losses 18
36 Goals For 55
55 Goals Against 53
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
20 BTTS Yes 22
26 Over 1.5 27
14 Over 2.5 20
8 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 13
16 Failed To Score 9
3.65 Shots On Goal 4.2
12.03 Total Shots 11.05
4.8 Corners 4.59
47.4% Ball Possession 44.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sporting Gijon's more proactive style and Zaragoza's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sporting Gijon carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 13 with 52 points while Zaragoza sit 21 on 35, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sporting Gijon.

Zaragoza Analysis

Zaragoza sit 21 with 35 points after 39 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 33:53, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through D. Gomez (9 goals), K. Kodro (7 goals), J. El Yamiq (2 goals), with creative support from D. Tasende (4 assists), Martín Aguirregabiria (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sporting Gijon Analysis

With 52 points from 39 games and a place of 13, Sporting Gijon still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 17 defeats with a 52:51 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Dubasin (16 goals), J. Otero (13 goals), C. Gelabert Pina (8 goals), with creative support from J. Otero (12 assists), G. Rosas (7 assists), J. Dubasin (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Zaragoza won 6 times, Sporting Gijon won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Zaragoza's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Zaragoza 4-2-3-1 / Sporting Gijon 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Zaragoza wins 6, draws 3, Sporting Gijon wins 6
Stats
Zaragoza Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
0
9 Corner Kicks 2
10 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 2
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 7
8 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 0
8 Shots insidebox 10
8 Shots outsidebox 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
421 Total passes 356
359 Passes accurate 282
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Zaragoza
Formation
Sporting Gijon
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
J. Sebastian
J. Sebastian
J. El Yamiq
J. El Yamiq
A. Radovanovic
A. Radovanovic
D. Tasende
D. Tasende
Y. Saidu
Y. Saidu
M. A. Cuenca
M. A. Cuenca
T. Moya
T. Moya
K. Bare
K. Bare
H. Pinilla
H. Pinilla
D. Gomez
D. Gomez
R. Yanez
R. Yanez
P. Vazquez
🎯
P. Vazquez
L. Perrin
L. Perrin
A. Cuenca
A. Cuenca
G. Rosas
G. Rosas
M. Rodriguez
M. Rodriguez
J. Smith
J. Smith
A. Corredera
A. Corredera
P. Garcia
P. Garcia
C. Gelabert Pina
C. Gelabert Pina
G. Campos
🎯
G. Campos
Zaragoza 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
13
A. Rodriguez
🟨 39'
G
2
J. Sebastian
↓ 74'
D
18
J. El Yamiq
D
16
A. Radovanovic
↓ 46'
D
3
D. Tasende
↓ 74'
D
33
Y. Saidu
⚽ 23'
M
23
M. A. Cuenca
↓ 46'
M
8
T. Moya
M
6
K. Bare
M
31
H. Pinilla
↓ 78'
M
9
D. Gomez
F
Substitutes
35
Obon
G
17
F. Moyano
↑ 46'
F
19
K. Kodro
↑ 46'
F
24
P. Akouokou
M
22
W. Agada
F
32
H. Barrachina
D
25
N. Cumic
F
27
J. Larios
↑ 74'
D
26
M. Mensah
M
34
L. Terrer
M
29
J. Tobajas
↑ 78'
M
36
A. Gomes
↑ 74'
D
Sporting Gijon 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
R. Yanez
🟨 65'
G
15
P. Vazquez
🎯 29'
D
4
L. Perrin
⚽ 29'
D
44
A. Cuenca
D
2
G. Rosas
↓ 54'
M
36
M. Rodriguez
M
24
J. Smith
↓ 69'
M
14
A. Corredera
⚽ 41'
M
3
P. Garcia
↓ 86' 🟨 60'
M
10
C. Gelabert Pina
↓ 69'
F
7
G. Campos
🎯 90'
F
Substitutes
13
C. Joel
G
30
I. Venteo
G
20
K. Vazquez
↑ 54'
D
18
A. Coundoul
⚽ 90' ↑ 69'
F
23
E. Curbelo
D
8
J. Bernal
↑ 69' 🟨 79'
M
5
D. Sanchez
↑ 86'
D
48
D. Paul
F
49
M. Fernandez
F
Last matches: Zaragoza
31.05.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Malaga
0
2
L
24.05.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Las Palmas
1
1
D
09.05.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Valladolid
0
2
L
01.05.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Granada CF
0
1
L
26.04.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Huesca
0
1
L
18.04.26
Seg
Zaragoza
AD Ceuta FC
2
2
D
11.04.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Cordoba
0
1
L
05.04.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Mirandes
1
2
L
02.04.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Leganes
1
1
D
29.03.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Racing Santander
2
0
W
21.03.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Deportivo La Coruna
1
2
L
14.03.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Almeria
2
0
W
06.03.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Cadiz
1
0
W
28.02.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Burgos
0
1
L
22.02.26
Seg
Zaragoza
FC Andorra
1
2
L
14.02.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Cultural Leonesa
0
0
D
07.02.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Eibar
1
1
D
31.01.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Albacete
0
2
L
25.01.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Castellón
0
0
D
17.01.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Real Sociedad II
1
1
D
Last matches: Sporting Gijon
30.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
2
1
W
24.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
3
1
W
09.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
1
2
L
03.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
AD Ceuta FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cordoba
2
3
L
19.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cadiz
3
0
W
11.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Burgos
0
1
L
06.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Real Sociedad II
1
0
W
01.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
1
3
L
28.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
22.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
0
1
L
15.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Castellón
4
1
W
08.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
0
1
L
02.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Leganes
0
0
D
22.02.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
2
2
D
15.02.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Albacete
1
1
D
08.02.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Huesca
2
1
W
01.02.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Eibar
0
1
L
24.01.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
3
0
W
17.01.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cultural Leonesa
4
2
W
H2H: Zaragoza vs Sporting Gijon
17.05.26
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
1
3
L
26.10.25
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
1
0
L
01.03.25
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
1
0
L
05.02.24
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
3
0
W
14.10.23
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
1
0
L
17.09.22
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
1
0
W
27.02.22
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
1
2
W
07.11.21
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
2
0
W
23.04.21
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
0
0
D
13.12.20
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
1
0
L
07.01.20
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
2
0
W
27.10.19
H2H
Sporting Gijon
Zaragoza
4
0
L
17.05.19
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
4
2
W
Last matches: Zaragoza
31.05.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Malaga
0
2
L
01.05.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Granada CF
0
1
L
18.04.26
Seg
Zaragoza
AD Ceuta FC
2
2
D
05.04.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Mirandes
1
2
L
29.03.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Racing Santander
2
0
W
14.03.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Almeria
2
0
W
28.02.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Burgos
0
1
L
07.02.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Eibar
1
1
D
25.01.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Castellón
0
0
D
17.01.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Real Sociedad II
1
1
D
04.01.26
Seg
Zaragoza
Las Palmas
1
2
L
13.12.25
Seg
Zaragoza
Cadiz
1
2
L
04.12.25
Cop
Zaragoza
Burgos
0
1
L
30.11.25
Seg
Zaragoza
Leganes
3
2
W
16.11.25
Seg
Zaragoza
Huesca
1
0
W
02.11.25
Seg
Zaragoza
Deportivo La Coruna
0
2
L
18.10.25
Seg
Zaragoza
Cultural Leonesa
0
5
L
05.10.25
Seg
Zaragoza
Cordoba
0
1
L
15.09.25
Seg
Zaragoza
Albacete
0
0
D
06.09.25
Seg
Zaragoza
Valladolid
1
1
D
H2H at home: Zaragoza
17.05.26
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
1
3
L
01.03.25
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
1
1
D
05.02.24
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
3
0
W
17.09.22
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
1
0
W
07.11.21
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
2
0
W
23.04.21
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
0
0
D
07.01.20
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
2
0
W
17.05.19
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
4
2
W
Last matches: Sporting Gijon
30.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Granada CF
2
1
W
09.05.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Malaga
1
2
L
26.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cordoba
2
3
L
11.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Burgos
0
1
L
01.04.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Racing Santander
1
3
L
22.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Las Palmas
0
1
L
08.03.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
0
1
L
15.02.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Albacete
1
1
D
01.02.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Eibar
0
1
L
17.01.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cultural Leonesa
4
2
W
09.01.26
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Cadiz
2
3
L
20.12.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Leganes
1
0
W
06.12.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Real Sociedad II
1
0
W
03.12.25
Cop
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
2
0
W
23.11.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Huesca
0
2
L
07.11.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Mirandes
1
2
L
29.10.25
Cop
Sporting Gijon
Caudal
1
0
W
19.10.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Valladolid
3
2
W
05.10.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Castellón
1
3
L
20.09.25
Seg
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
1
2
L
H2H away: Sporting Gijon
17.05.26
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
1
3
W
01.03.25
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
1
1
D
05.02.24
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
3
0
L
17.09.22
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
1
0
L
07.11.21
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
2
0
L
23.04.21
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
0
0
D
07.01.20
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
2
0
L
17.05.19
H2H
Zaragoza
Sporting Gijon
4
2
L

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation