POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
--.--.---- --:--
KGHM Zaglebie Arena
Referee: P. Malec
Zaglebie Lubin
Match Timeline
Pogon Szczecin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
11'
J. Kolan ↔ A. Radwanski
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
46'
M. Kosidis ↔ L. Szabo
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
46'
S. Kowalczyk ↔ T. Makowski
Zaglebie Lubin
🟨
71'
Attila Szalai
Pogon Szczecin
🟨
74'
Levente Szabó
Zaglebie Lubin
🔄
74'
P. Mukairu ↔ K. Grosicki
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
74'
L. Wahlqvist ↔ H. Ali
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
77'
↔ J. Sypek
Zaglebie Lubin
79'
H. Ali
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
83'
L. Koutris ↔ Leo Borges
Pogon Szczecin
🟨
85'
Hussein Ali
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
85'
M. Grzybek ↔ M. Mlinaric
Zaglebie Lubin
🟨
87'
Valentin Cojocaru
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
87'
M. Agger ↔ B. Mendy
Pogon Szczecin
🔄
87'
N. Lawa ↔ D. Loncar
Pogon Szczecin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Zaglebie Lubin Win 71%
Draw 0%
Pogon Szczecin Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Zaglebie Lubin1.45
Pogon Szczecin1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
WWDLW
45 GF / 36 GA
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
WLDWL
45 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
16
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
18
3.66
Shots on Goal
4.56

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 32 matches
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 32 matches
Zaglebie Lubin Statistic Pogon Szczecin
13 Wins 12
9 Draws 5
10 Losses 15
45 Goals For 45
36 Goals Against 48
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
16 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 18
10 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 7
3.66 Shots On Goal 4.56
12 Total Shots 14.56
3.72 Corners 5.03
39.9% Ball Possession 51.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Zaglebie Lubin's more proactive style and Pogon Szczecin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pogon Szczecin. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Zaglebie Lubin expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Pogon Szczecin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pogon Szczecin having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Zaglebie Lubin Analysis

Zaglebie Lubin come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 48 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 losses, while the 45:36 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Kosidis (6 goals), M. Regula (5 goals), A. Radwanski (4 goals), with creative support from A. Radwanski (6 assists), M. Regula (3 assists), Jakub Sypek (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Pogon Szczecin Analysis

So far, Pogon Szczecin have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 41 points from 32 matches. The record of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 15 defeats, together with a 45:48 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Paul Mukairu (8 goals), K. Grosicki (6 goals), F. Ulvestad (5 goals), with creative support from K. Grosicki (5 assists), F. Ulvestad (3 assists), Sam Greenwood (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Zaglebie Lubin won 4 times, Pogon Szczecin won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Zaglebie Lubin's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Zaglebie Lubin 4-2-3-1 / Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2
H2H summary: Zaglebie Lubin wins 4, draws 2, Pogon Szczecin wins 9
Stats
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
6
3 Corner Kicks 6
8 Fouls 12
6 Offsides 4
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Goal 5
6 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 9
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
237 Total passes 563
159 Passes accurate 496
0.56 expected_goals 1.97
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Zaglebie Lubin
Formation
Pogon Szczecin
J. Buric
J. Buric
M. Grzybek
M. Grzybek
F. Kocaba
F. Kocaba
M. Nalepa
M. Nalepa
D. Michalski
D. Michalski
J. Corluka
J. Corluka
M. Regula
M. Regula
J. Kolan
J. Kolan
D. Dabrowski
D. Dabrowski
S. Kowalczyk
S. Kowalczyk
M. Kosidis
M. Kosidis
V. Cojocaru
V. Cojocaru
L. Wahlqvist
L. Wahlqvist
D. Keramitsis
D. Keramitsis
A. Szalai
A. Szalai
L. Koutris
L. Koutris
M. Agger
M. Agger
F. Ulvestad
F. Ulvestad
J. Bieganski
J. Bieganski
P. Mukairu
P. Mukairu
F. Cuic
F. Cuic
N. Lawa
N. Lawa
Zaglebie Lubin 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
J. Buric
G
13
M. Grzybek
↓ 85'
D
39
F. Kocaba
D
25
M. Nalepa
D
4
D. Michalski
D
16
J. Corluka
D
44
M. Regula
M
26
J. Kolan
↓ 11'
M
8
D. Dabrowski
M
7
S. Kowalczyk
↓ 46'
M
9
M. Kosidis
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
12
R. Gikiewicz
G
35
L. Lucic
D
18
A. Radwanski
↑ 11'
M
19
J. Sypek
↑ 77'
M
88
M. Mlinaric
↑ 85'
F
31
I. Orlikowski
D
20
M. Dziewiatowski
M
84
J. Ligocki
M
11
A. Wozniak
M
17
L. Szabo
↑ 46' 🟨 74'
F
6
T. Makowski
↑ 46'
M
Pogon Szczecin 4-4-2
Starting XI
77
V. Cojocaru
🟨 87'
G
28
L. Wahlqvist
↓ 74'
D
13
D. Keramitsis
D
41
A. Szalai
🟨 71'
D
32
L. Koutris
↓ 83'
D
25
M. Agger
↓ 87'
M
8
F. Ulvestad
M
6
J. Bieganski
M
18
P. Mukairu
↓ 74'
M
10
F. Cuic
F
47
N. Lawa
↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
31
K. Kaminski
G
11
K. Grosicki
↑ 74'
M
24
K. Angielski
F
15
H. Ali
⚽ 79' ↑ 74' 🟨 85'
D
90
S. Greenwood
F
4
Leo Borges
↑ 83'
D
23
B. Mendy
↑ 87'
D
3
K. Acosta
M
22
D. Loncar
↑ 87'
D
30
J. Czaplinski
M
Last matches: Zaglebie Lubin
18.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Chrobry Głogów
3
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Baník Ostrava
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Podbrezová
3
2
W
26.06.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Miedz Legnica
3
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
0
1
L
09.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Gornik Zabrze
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
24.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Nieciecza
1
2
L
17.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
1
0
W
07.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Arka Gdynia
1
3
L
20.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Motor Lublin
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
07.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Piast Gliwice
3
1
W
02.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Wisla Plock
2
0
W
23.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Lechia Gdansk
2
0
W
14.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Raków Częstochowa
0
0
D
06.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
Last matches: Pogon Szczecin
24.07.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
15.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Fenerbahçe
0
4
L
08.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Chrobry Głogów
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
BFC Dynamo
3
0
W
23.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
1
1
D
09.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
2
3
L
03.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
3
0
W
25.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
1
2
L
13.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
0
2
L
21.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
1
2
L
16.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
2
1
W
08.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
28.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
1
0
W
21.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
15.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
1
0
W
08.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
1
1
D
H2H: Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin
04.07.26
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
15.05.26
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
24.11.25
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
5
1
L
01.02.25
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
L
04.12.24
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
4
3
L
28.07.24
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
2
D
10.03.24
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
W
03.09.23
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
11.03.23
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
27.08.22
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
3
0
L
13.02.22
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
2
1
L
15.08.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
25.06.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
3
L
07.05.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D
19.12.20
H2H
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
1
0
L
Last matches: Zaglebie Lubin
18.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Chrobry Głogów
3
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Bohemians 1905
0
2
L
08.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Baník Ostrava
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Podbrezová
3
2
W
26.06.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Miedz Legnica
3
0
W
03.05.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
0
0
D
24.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Nieciecza
1
2
L
11.04.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Radomiak Radom
1
0
W
15.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Lech Poznan
0
1
L
02.03.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Wisla Plock
2
0
W
14.02.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Raków Częstochowa
0
0
D
30.01.26
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Podbrezová
2
3
L
16.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Qarabag
1
3
L
13.01.26
Fri
Zaglebie Lubin
Karviná
2
2
D
06.12.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
30.11.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Jagiellonia
0
0
D
07.11.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Gornik Zabrze
2
0
W
19.10.25
Eks
Zaglebie Lubin
Legia Warszawa
3
1
W
H2H at home: Zaglebie Lubin
04.07.26
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
15.05.26
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
28.07.24
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
2
D
03.09.23
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
W
11.03.23
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
L
15.08.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
W
25.06.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
3
L
07.05.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D
Last matches: Pogon Szczecin
15.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Sturm Graz
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Fenerbahçe
0
4
L
04.07.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
0
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
BFC Dynamo
3
0
W
09.05.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Jagiellonia
2
3
L
25.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow
1
1
D
13.04.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Piast Gliwice
2
0
W
21.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lechia Gdansk
1
2
L
08.03.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Raków Częstochowa
0
2
L
21.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Gornik Zabrze
1
0
W
01.02.26
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Motor Lublin
1
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
Pogon Szczecin
FK Jablonec
0
0
D
29.11.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice
0
2
L
03.11.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Wisla Plock
0
2
L
19.10.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Lech Poznan
2
2
D
28.09.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Legia Warszawa
0
1
L
13.09.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
0
1
L
22.08.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Widzew Łódź
2
1
W
09.08.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Arka Gdynia
1
2
L
02.08.25
Eks
Pogon Szczecin
Nieciecza
1
1
D
H2H away: Pogon Szczecin
04.07.26
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
L
15.05.26
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
W
28.07.24
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
2
D
03.09.23
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1
0
L
11.03.23
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
1
W
15.08.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
2
0
L
25.06.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
0
3
W
07.05.21
H2H
Zaglebie Lubin
Pogon Szczecin
1
1
D

Standings

Ekstraklasa
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 16 12 6 62:45 17 60
D W D W W
2 34 16 8 10 50:38 12 56
W W D L W
3 34 15 11 8 56:41 15 56
W D W W L
4 34 16 7 11 51:40 11 55
W W L W W
5 34 14 8 12 51:45 6 50
D D D W D
6 34 12 13 9 42:37 5 49
W W W W L
7 34 13 9 12 45:38 7 48
L L W D L
8 34 12 10 12 34:38 -4 46
D L L L L
9 34 13 6 15 47:49 -2 45
D W L W D
10 34 11 11 12 52:53 -1 44
L L D W W
11 34 11 10 13 40:40 0 43
D W L D D
12 34 10 13 11 46:53 -7 43
L D W L L
13 34 9 15 10 39:42 -3 42
D D D D D
14 34 12 6 16 41:41 0 42
W L W L W
15 34 11 8 15 42:46 -4 41
L L D D W
16 34 12 7 15 62:65 -3 38
L L L L L
17 34 9 9 16 34:61 -27 36
L L D D L
18 34 9 7 18 43:65 -22 34
W W L L W
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation