CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
06.09.2026 11:35
Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium
Referee: W. Wang
Yunnan Yukun
Match Timeline
Shenyang Urban
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Wang-Kit Tsui
Yunnan Yukun
32'
Cleber · Assist: Abdusalam Bunyamin
Yunnan Yukun
40'
O. Taty Maritu · Assist: A. Ionita II
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
46'
Yi Teng ↔ Hu Ruibao
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
46'
Tian Yinong ↔ Zang Yifeng
Shenyang Urban
🟨
59'
Tixiang Li
Shenyang Urban
64'
Cleber · Assist: O. Taty Maritu
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
71'
D. Mawlanniyaz ↔ Tian Deao
Shenyang Urban
🔄
71'
Li Tixiang ↔ Yan Dinghao
Shenyang Urban
🔄
76'
Duan Liuyu ↔ Zhang Chenliang
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
76'
Tsui Wang-Kit ↔ Zhao Yuhao
Yunnan Yukun
77'
Abdusalam Bunyamin
Yunnan Yukun
🟨
80'
Zang Yifeng
Shenyang Urban
🔄
82'
A. Ionita II ↔ Ye Chugui
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
83'
Li Haoran ↔ Chen Binbin
Shenyang Urban
🔄
90'
Abdusalam Bunyamin ↔ Sun Xuelong
Yunnan Yukun
🔄
90'
H. Zhang ↔ Pan Ximing
Shenyang Urban
90'
Cleber · Assist: O. Taty Maritu
Yunnan Yukun

Yunnan Yukun vs Shenyang Urban Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.36
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
1.78
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.36
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Yunnan Yukun Win 68.3%
Draw 4%
Shenyang Urban Win 27.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yunnan Yukun1.88
Shenyang Urban1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun
WWDLW
54 GF / 58 GA
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban
WLDWL
34 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.42
2.15
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
20
BTTS Yes
14
22
Over 2.5
16
5.24
Shots on Goal
3.79

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yunnan Yukun Yunnan Yukun 27 matches
Shenyang Urban Shenyang Urban 24 matches
Yunnan Yukun Statistic Shenyang Urban
10 Wins 7
6 Draws 4
11 Losses 13
54 Goals For 34
58 Goals Against 41
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
2.15 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
20 BTTS Yes 14
24 Over 1.5 18
22 Over 2.5 16
15 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 8
5.24 Shots On Goal 3.79
15.64 Total Shots 11.96
5.12 Corners 4.38
51.1% Ball Possession 52.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Yunnan Yukun expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Shenyang Urban in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shenyang Urban having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Shenyang Urban. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Shenyang Urban arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Yunnan Yukun Analysis

Yunnan Yukun sit 6 with 35 points after 25 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, while the 49:51 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Oscar Taty Maritu (7 goals), Bunyamin Abdusalam (3 goals), Caio Vinícius (2 goals), with creative support from Oscar Taty Maritu (2 assists), Caio Vinícius (2 assists), Alexandru Ioniță (2 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shenyang Urban Analysis

With 25 points from 24 games and a place of 13, Shenyang Urban still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 34:41, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jeffinho (4 goals), Takahiro Kunimoto (3 goals), Zhang Hongfu (1 goals), with creative support from Takahiro Kunimoto (1 assists), Binbin Chen (1 assists), Felipe (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Yunnan Yukun won 2 times, Shenyang Urban won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Yunnan Yukun's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: Yunnan Yukun 4-3-3 / Shenyang Urban 3-4-3
H2H summary: Yunnan Yukun wins 2, draws 0, Shenyang Urban wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation