BRAZIL SERIE C
16.05.2026 20:00
Referee: F. Martins
Ypiranga-RS
Match Timeline
Maringá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
Estevao
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
18'
Maringá
Maringá
22'
Kelvi Gomes
Maringá
🟨
34'
Ypiranga-RS
Ypiranga-RS
45'
Gabriel Santos
Maringá
🔄
46'
Guilherme Pira ↔ Lucas Bonifacio
Maringá
🔄
54'
Gabriel Souza ↔ Caua Tavares
Maringá
55'
Lucas Bonifacio
Maringá
🔄
57'
Nicolas ↔ Dudu
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
57'
Walce ↔ Bryam
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
71'
Maringá
Maringá
🔄
71'
Caique Calito ↔ Ronald Camarao
Maringá
🔄
71'
Giovane Gomez ↔ Rai Natalino
Maringá
🔄
74'
Dionisio ↔ Lucas Ramos
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
74'
Estevao ↔ Marcelinho
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
74'
Vini Charopem ↔ Renan Gorne
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
75'
Maringá
Maringá
🔄
76'
Kelvi Gomes ↔ Danielzinho
Maringá
🟨
82'
Ypiranga-RS
Ypiranga-RS
84'
Ronald Camarao
Maringá

Ypiranga-RS vs Maringá Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ypiranga-RS Win 68.3%
Draw 5.8%
Maringá Win 25.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ypiranga-RS2.07
Maringá1.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
WWDLW
11 GF / 7 GA
Maringá Maringá
WLDWL
13 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
2.17
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.83
3
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 7 matches
Maringá Maringá 6 matches
Ypiranga-RS Statistic Maringá
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
11 Goals For 13
7 Goals Against 17
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.83
3 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Maringá. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maringá having the stronger overall control.

Ypiranga-RS Analysis

Ypiranga-RS approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 10 points after 6 outings. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 9:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Danielzinho (2 goals), Leo Rafael (2 goals), Bryam (1 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Maringá Analysis

So far, Maringá have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 9 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 13:12 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Edison Negueba (3 goals), Guilherme Pira (2 goals), Rafinha (2 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ypiranga-RS won 0 times, Maringá won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:4 from Ypiranga-RS's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
H2H summary: Ypiranga-RS wins 0, draws 1, Maringá wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation