BRAZIL SERIE C
09.08.2026 19:00
Referee: M. Martins
Ypiranga-RS
Match Timeline
Floresta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Garraty
Floresta
21'
Alex Goncalves
Ypiranga-RS
34'
Mago
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
36'
Matheus Martins
Floresta
39'
Mago
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
41'
Danrley ↔ Jhony Douglas
Floresta
🔄
41'
Garraty ↔ Buga
Floresta
🟨
51'
Afonso
Floresta
🔄
62'
↔ Thalisson
Floresta
62'
Nicolas
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
68'
Dionisio
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
68'
Nicolas ↔ Dudu
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
68'
Cleiton ↔ Ranisson
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
68'
Dionisio ↔ Robson Lopes
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
68'
Lucas Ramos ↔ Nathan Zamith
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
68'
Rafinha ↔ Gustavinho
Floresta
🔄
68'
Matheus Martins ↔ M. Lima
Floresta
70'
M. Lima
Floresta
🔄
75'
Mago ↔ Felipe Ferreira
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
82'
Joao Victor
Floresta
🟨
86'
Marcelinho
Ypiranga-RS

Ypiranga-RS vs Floresta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
-
BTTS Yes
50%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ypiranga-RS Win 60.2%
Draw 15.4%
Floresta Win 24.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ypiranga-RS1.15
Floresta1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
WWDLW
20 GF / 19 GA
Floresta Floresta
WLDWL
16 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 16 matches
Floresta Floresta 15 matches
Ypiranga-RS Statistic Floresta
7 Wins 5
3 Draws 6
6 Losses 4
20 Goals For 16
19 Goals Against 15
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 8
1 Over 3.5 1
6 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Floresta's more proactive style and Ypiranga-RS's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Floresta. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Floresta having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ypiranga-RS Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Ypiranga-RS have collected 21 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 18:19 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Floresta Analysis

From their first 15 matches, Floresta have collected 21 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 16:15 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Ypiranga-RS won 2 times, Floresta won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Ypiranga-RS's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.6%)
H2H summary: Ypiranga-RS wins 2, draws 1, Floresta wins 2

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation