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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
24.10.2026 14:00
York Community Stadium

York vs Port Vale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
83.6%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
York Win 83.6%
Draw 4.4%
Port Vale Win 12.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
York1.35
Port Vale1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
York York
WWDLW
26 GF / 26 GA
Port Vale Port Vale
WLDWL
15 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
0.77
12
BTTS Yes
3
10
Over 2.5
3
4.7
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York York 15 matches
Port Vale Port Vale 13 matches
York Statistic Port Vale
5 Wins 7
5 Draws 2
5 Losses 4
26 Goals For 15
26 Goals Against 10
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 0.77
12 BTTS Yes 3
15 Over 1.5 6
10 Over 2.5 3
6 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 4
4.7 Shots On Goal 3.33
15.9 Total Shots 10.56
5.8 Corners 4.56
62.9% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around York's more proactive style and Port Vale's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with York expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Port Vale in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Port Vale having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Port Vale. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Port Vale arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. York arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 15 points compared to Port Vale in 22 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

York Analysis

York come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 15 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 17:11 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Newby (5 goals), O. Pearce (3 goals), J. Malcolm (2 goals), with creative support from H. Boyes (5 assists), O. Pearce (3 assists), J. King (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Port Vale Analysis

Port Vale approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 22 with 8 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:9 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Byers (2 goals), K. Dempsey (1 goals), with creative support from J. Headley (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, York won 0 times, Port Vale won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from York's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: York 3-4-2-1 / Port Vale 3-5-2
H2H summary: York wins 0, draws 1, Port Vale wins 1

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 1 3 17:11 6 22
W W W W W
2 9 6 3 0 22:12 10 21
W W W W D
3 11 5 6 0 15:9 6 21
W W W D D
4
York Home
10 4 4 2 18:12 6 16
D D W L W
5 10 3 7 0 13:7 6 16
D D D W D
6 11 4 4 3 16:13 3 16
L W D L W
7 11 4 3 4 17:15 2 15
L D W L W
8 11 4 3 4 17:20 -3 15
L L L W D
9 11 5 0 6 15:18 -3 15
L L L W L
10 11 3 5 3 16:15 1 14
W D W D D
11 11 3 5 3 14:13 1 14
D W D W D
12 11 3 5 3 12:11 1 14
W D L L L
13 11 4 2 5 13:15 -2 14
L D W W W
14 11 4 2 5 10:15 -5 14
W L W D D
15 11 3 4 4 13:13 0 13
L L L L W
16 11 3 4 4 6:6 0 13
D W W L D
17 11 2 6 3 14:15 -1 12
L D L D D
18 11 3 3 5 10:15 -5 12
D L L D L
19 10 3 2 5 13:14 -1 11
W D L L L
20 10 2 5 3 10:13 -3 11
D L D D D
21 9 3 2 4 5:9 -4 11
W W L W L
22 9 2 4 3 6:7 -1 10
W D L L W
23 11 2 4 5 12:18 -6 10
L L L D W
24 9 1 2 6 9:17 -8 5
L D L L L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League