ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
29.08.2026 14:00
York Community Stadium
Referee: O. Langford
York
Match Timeline
Exeter City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
A. Newby · Assist: H. Boyes
York
🟨
33'
Reece Cole
Exeter City
🟨
35'
Gwion Edwards
Exeter City
🟨
41'
Morgan Williams
York
🔄
46'
S. Cox ↔ G. Birch
Exeter City
🟨
52'
Ryan Fallowfield
York
🟨
62'
Charlie Cummins
Exeter City
🔄
66'
A. Hunt ↔ A. Read
York
🔄
66'
O. Pearce ↔ J. Malcolm
York
🔄
67'
J. Felix ↔ J. King
York
76'
J. Malcolm · Assist: H. Boyes
York
🔄
77'
H. Boyes ↔ C. Hewitt
York
🔄
77'
E. Sutherland ↔ L. Samuel
Exeter City
🔄
82'
T. Perry ↔ L. Oakes
Exeter City
🔄
82'
R. Cole ↔ A. Oluwabori
Exeter City
🔄
90+1'
A. Newby ↔ Z. Medley
York
90'
J. Fitzwater · Assist: A. Oluwabori
Exeter City

York vs Exeter City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.1%
1.66
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.80
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.62
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
York Win 57.1%
Draw 7.6%
Exeter City Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
York1.36
Exeter City1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
York York
WWDLW
12 GF / 17 GA
Exeter City Exeter City
WLDWL
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1
2.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
7
BTTS Yes
2
6
Over 2.5
1
5
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York York 7 matches
Exeter City Exeter City 6 matches
York Statistic Exeter City
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
12 Goals For 6
17 Goals Against 5
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
7 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 4
6 Over 2.5 1
4 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
5 Shots On Goal 3.5
16.5 Total Shots 13.5
8 Corners 6
64.5% Ball Possession 41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, York won 3 times, Exeter City won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:8 from York's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
Predicted formations: York 3-4-2-1 / Exeter City 5-3-2
H2H summary: York wins 3, draws 4, Exeter City wins 2

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 0 1 12:6 6 12
W W W W L
2 5 3 1 1 8:6 2 10
W W L W D
3 5 2 3 0 12:8 4 9
D D D W W
4 5 2 3 0 9:5 4 9
W D D D W
5 5 2 3 0 8:4 4 9
D D W D W
6 5 2 3 0 6:3 3 9
W D D D W
7 5 2 3 0 5:3 2 9
D D D W W
8 5 2 2 1 10:9 1 8
D W D L W
9
York Home
5 2 2 1 9:8 1 8
D L W D W
10 5 2 1 2 7:5 2 7
L D W L W
11 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D D D W
12 5 2 1 2 6:8 -2 7
L L W W D
13 5 1 3 1 6:6 0 6
W D D D L
14 5 1 3 1 3:3 0 6
W D D L D
15 5 2 0 3 4:6 -2 6
W W L L L
16 5 1 2 2 4:4 0 5
D D L W L
17 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
D D L W L
18 5 1 2 2 6:7 -1 5
L D W D L
19 5 1 2 2 9:11 -2 5
W D L L D
20 5 1 1 3 9:10 -1 4
L L D L W
21 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
L D L W L
22 5 1 0 4 5:10 -5 3
L W L L L
23 5 1 0 4 2:10 -8 3
L L W L L
24 5 0 2 3 2:7 -5 2
L L D D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League