CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
York Lions Stadium
Referee: M. Souare
York United
Match Timeline
Vancouver FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
S. Jimoh
York United
6'
G. Bitar
York United
🟨
45+4'
M. Ferrari
York United
🟨
55'
T. Skublak
York United
🔄
59'
S. Jimoh ↔ J. Costa
York United
🔄
63'
E. Fotsing ↔ N. Mezquida
Vancouver FC
🔄
63'
E. Bah ↔ T. Campbell
Vancouver FC
🔄
67'
J. Cordova ↔ L. Accettola
York United
🔄
73'
A. Traore ↔ K. Proctor
Vancouver FC
🟨
75'
J. Altobelli
York United
🔄
75'
G. Bitar ↔ B. Badibanga
York United
🔄
75'
T. Skublak ↔ O. Bassett
York United
🔄
80'
D. Pecile ↔ A. Ouattara
Vancouver FC
🔄
81'
M. Doner ↔ L. Toomey
Vancouver FC
🟨
88'
S. Yeates
York United

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
52.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.4%
-
Probability Distribution
York United Win 87.9%
Draw 12.1%
Vancouver FC Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.9
Vancouver FC0.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
3 GF / 2 GA
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WLDWL
0 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0
1
Average Goals Conceded
2.5
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 2 matches
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 4 matches
York United Statistic Vancouver FC
1 Wins 0
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 4
3 Goals For 0
2 Goals Against 10
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2.5
1 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 2.25
0 Total Shots 6.5
0 Corners 1.5
0% Ball Possession 28.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vancouver FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Vancouver FC. York United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 1 points compared to Vancouver FC in 7 on 0, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

York United Analysis

Placed 5 with 1 points from 1 outings, York United continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, while the 2:2 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Altobelli (2 goals), with creative support from M. Ferrari (1 assists), S. Yeates (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Vancouver FC sit 7 with 0 points after 2 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, while the 0:2 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, York United won 10 times, Vancouver FC won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:14 from York United's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: York United - / Vancouver FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: York United wins 10, draws 2, Vancouver FC wins 3

Lineups

York United
Formation
Vancouver FC
D. Urtiaga
D. Urtiaga
F. Sturing
F. Sturing
C. Guzman
C. Guzman
L. Singh
L. Singh
M. Ferrari
M. Ferrari
J. Cordova
J. Cordova
S. Yeates
S. Yeates
S. Jimoh
S. Jimoh
T. Skublak
T. Skublak
J. Altobelli
J. Altobelli
G. Bitar
G. Bitar
C. Irving
C. Irving
M. Doner
M. Doner
M. Campagna
M. Campagna
T. Field
T. Field
P. Gee
P. Gee
M. Polisi
M. Polisi
E. Bah
E. Bah
D. Pecile
D. Pecile
E. Fotsing
E. Fotsing
A. Traore
A. Traore
M. Amissi
M. Amissi
York United 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
D. Urtiaga
5
F. Sturing
8
C. Guzman
3
L. Singh
16
M. Ferrari
🟨 45+4'
23
J. Cordova
↓ 67'
7
S. Yeates
🟨 88'
19
S. Jimoh
↓ 59' 🟨 5'
77
T. Skublak
↓ 75' 🟨 55'
18
J. Altobelli
🟨 75'
20
G. Bitar
⚽ 6' ↓ 75'
Substitutes
12
I. Pavela
13
L. Accettola
↑ 67'
28
J. Costa
↑ 59'
39
B. Badibanga
↑ 75'
10
O. Bassett
↑ 75'
2
A. Bergman
31
A. Morano
Vancouver FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
C. Irving
3
M. Doner
↓ 81'
5
M. Campagna
30
T. Field
2
P. Gee
21
M. Polisi
7
E. Bah
↓ 63'
6
D. Pecile
↓ 80'
17
E. Fotsing
↓ 63'
11
A. Traore
↓ 73'
10
M. Amissi
Substitutes
33
H. Regitnig
20
N. Mezquida
↑ 63'
14
T. Campbell
↑ 63'
8
L. Toomey
↑ 81'
23
K. Proctor
↑ 73'
15
A. Ouattara
↑ 80'
18
T. Powell
Last matches: York United
04.07.26
Can
York United
Vancouver FC
0
4
L
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
29.05.26
Can
York United
Supra du Quebec
1
3
L
23.05.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Can
York United
Pacific FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
25.04.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
Last matches: Vancouver FC
04.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
W
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
14.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
2
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
2
1
W
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
23.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Supra du Quebec
1
1
D
18.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Cavalry FC
0
2
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
12.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
0
1
L
04.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
05.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
3
L
H2H: York United vs Vancouver FC
04.07.26
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
4
0
L
19.04.26
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
21.09.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
2
1
L
19.07.25
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
4
0
W
25.05.25
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
06.04.25
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
0
2
W
07.09.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
0
1
W
20.07.24
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
1
D
09.06.24
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
2
2
D
26.04.24
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
3
0
W
07.10.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
2
W
25.08.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
2
1
W
02.07.23
H2H
Vancouver FC
York United
1
2
W
22.04.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
20.04.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
Last matches: York United
10.06.26
Can
York United
Cavalry FC
1
5
L
07.06.26
Can
York United
Forge
1
4
L
01.05.26
Can
York United
Atlético Ottawa
4
1
W
11.04.26
Can
York United
HFX Wanderers FC
2
2
D
27.02.26
Fri
York United
Las Vegas Lights
1
0
W
H2H at home: York United
19.04.26
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
19.07.25
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
4
0
W
25.05.25
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
09.06.24
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
2
2
D
26.04.24
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
3
0
W
25.08.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
2
1
W
22.04.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
20.04.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
Last matches: Vancouver FC
01.07.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Forge
2
3
L
30.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
HFX Wanderers FC
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Pacific FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Vancouver FC
Atlético Ottawa
1
1
D
13.02.26
CON
Vancouver FC
Cruz Azul
0
5
L
H2H away: Vancouver FC
19.04.26
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
19.07.25
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
4
0
L
25.05.25
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
L
09.06.24
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
2
2
D
26.04.24
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
3
0
L
25.08.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
2
1
L
22.04.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
2
W
20.04.23
H2H
York United
Vancouver FC
1
0
L

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 1 1 20:7 13 31
W W W W W
2 11 8 2 1 22:5 17 26
W W W L W
3 12 5 2 5 18:22 -4 17
L W W L D
4 13 4 3 6 17:20 -3 15
W L W L L
5 12 4 2 6 15:14 1 14
W L W W L
6 10 3 3 4 13:21 -8 12
L L L L D
7 10 3 2 5 14:16 -2 11
L L D W D
8 12 0 3 9 13:27 -14 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)