27.09.2026 18:00
York Lions Stadium

York United vs Pacific FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
York United Win 69.7%
Draw 6.2%
Pacific FC Win 24.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
York United1.65
Pacific FC1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
York United York United
WWDLW
31 GF / 46 GA
Pacific FC Pacific FC
WLDWL
26 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.18
2.09
Average Goals Conceded
2
17
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
13
2.38
Shots on Goal
2.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

York United York United 22 matches
Pacific FC Pacific FC 22 matches
York United Statistic Pacific FC
6 Wins 1
8 Draws 8
8 Losses 13
31 Goals For 26
46 Goals Against 44
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
2.09 Avg Goals Conceded 2
17 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 18
13 Over 2.5 13
12 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 6
2.38 Shots On Goal 2.59
5.9 Total Shots 7.23
1.71 Corners 2.41
22.6% Ball Possession 27.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Pacific FC. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. York United arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 23 points compared to Pacific FC in 8 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with York United expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Pacific FC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Pacific FC having the stronger overall control.

York United Analysis

So far, York United have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 23 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 29:42 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Accettola (2 goals), T. Skublak (1 goals), L. Singh (1 goals), with creative support from T. Skublak (1 assists), O. León (1 assists), S. Yeates (1 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pacific FC Analysis

From their first 22 matches, Pacific FC have collected 11 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 26:44 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Toualy (2 goals), M. Bustos (1 goals), R. Kratt (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Toualy (1 assists), M. Bustos (1 assists), R. Kratt (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, York United won 5 times, Pacific FC won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from York United's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: York United 3-4-3 / Pacific FC 4-4-2
H2H summary: York United wins 5, draws 4, Pacific FC wins 6

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 5 2 42:13 29 50
D W W W W
2 22 14 4 4 34:16 18 46
D W D L W
3 23 10 4 9 34:39 -5 34
L L D W L
4 23 9 4 10 31:29 2 31
D L W L L
5 23 7 5 11 35:38 -3 26
W W L L W
6 22 7 4 11 31:38 -7 25
W L L W D
7 21 5 8 8 30:46 -16 23
L W D D L
8 22 1 8 13 26:44 -18 11
D L D D W