JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
18.04.2026 04:00
Nissan Stadium
Referee: A. Kamimura
Yokohama F. Marinos
Match Timeline
Kawasaki Frontale
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
L. Romanic · Assist: T. Ito
Kawasaki Frontale
🟨
17'
Jordy Croux
Yokohama F. Marinos
45'
J. Amano · Assist: K. Watanabe
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
46'
Marcinho ↔ T. Miyagi
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
60'
Yuri Araujo ↔ T. Kondo
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
77'
L. Romanic ↔ Erison
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
77'
T. Ito ↔ R. Osa
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
81'
J. Croux ↔ H. Asada
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
86'
Y. Yamamoto ↔ S. Kawahara
Kawasaki Frontale
🟨
90+8'
Erison
Kawasaki Frontale
🔄
90+1'
J. Amano ↔ Tevis
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
90+1'
K. Suwama ↔ T. Kida
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
90+1'
K. Tanimura ↔ A. Higuchi
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
90+1'
Y. Wakizaka ↔ S. Kanda
Kawasaki Frontale
90'
Erison · Assist: K. Tachibanada
Kawasaki Frontale

Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Yokohama F. Marinos Win 33.5%
Draw 16.7%
Kawasaki Frontale Win 49.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yokohama F. Marinos1.4
Kawasaki Frontale1.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
WWDLW
13 GF / 19 GA
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
WLDWL
20 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
3
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
6
3
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 11 matches
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 11 matches
Yokohama F. Marinos Statistic Kawasaki Frontale
3 Wins 4
0 Draws 3
8 Losses 4
13 Goals For 20
19 Goals Against 19
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
3 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 4
3 Shots On Goal 3.9
11.1 Total Shots 12.2
4.8 Corners 5.1
45.7% Ball Possession 52.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Yokohama F. Marinos expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Kawasaki Frontale in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kawasaki Frontale having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kawasaki Frontale. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis

Yokohama F. Marinos sit 9 with 9 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 13:18 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Tono (3 goals), J. Amano (3 goals), K. Tanimura (3 goals), with creative support from J. Croux (2 assists), Riku Yamane (2 assists), J. Amano (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kawasaki Frontale Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 14 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 16:19 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Erison (7 goals), Y. Wakizaka (3 goals), L. Romanic (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Wakizaka (2 assists), K. Tachibanada (2 assists), T. Ito (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos won 5 times, Kawasaki Frontale won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:25 from Yokohama F. Marinos's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: Yokohama F. Marinos 4-3-3 / Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Yokohama F. Marinos wins 5, draws 3, Kawasaki Frontale wins 7

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)