JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Nissan Stadium
Referee: Y. Sutani
Yokohama F. Marinos
Match Timeline
Kashima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
56'
S. Morooka ↔ H. Hayashu
Kashima
58'
K. Tanimura · Assist: J. Amano
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
67'
Y. Matsumura ↔ A. Cavric
Kashima
🔄
67'
Y. Higuchi ↔ K. Misao
Kashima
🔄
67'
G. Shibasaki ↔ R. Araki
Kashima
🔄
69'
T. Kondo ↔ J. Croux
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
69'
Yuri Araujo ↔ H. Asada
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
79'
K. Anzai ↔ M. Yoshida
Kashima
🔄
84'
K. Tanimura ↔ D. David
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
84'
J. Amano ↔ A. Higuchi
Yokohama F. Marinos
🔄
90+3'
R. Yamane ↔ T. Kida
Yokohama F. Marinos
90'
Leo Ceara · Assist: R. Araki
Kashima

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
72.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Yokohama F. Marinos Win 30.8%
Draw 3.6%
Kashima Win 65.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yokohama F. Marinos1.05
Kashima1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
WWDLW
21 GF / 28 GA
Kashima Kashima
WLDWL
29 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.65
7
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
6
3.13
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 matches
Kashima Kashima 17 matches
Yokohama F. Marinos Statistic Kashima
5 Wins 12
1 Draws 4
10 Losses 1
21 Goals For 29
28 Goals Against 11
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65
7 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 0
3.13 Shots On Goal 4.2
10.6 Total Shots 12.47
4 Corners 5.67
46.5% Ball Possession 56.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Kashima's more proactive style and Yokohama F. Marinos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Yokohama F. Marinos expected to line up in 4-2-2-2 and Kashima in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kashima having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kashima. Kashima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 37 points while Yokohama F. Marinos sit 8 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Kashima look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis

Yokohama F. Marinos sit 8 with 16 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 21:28, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Tanimura (6 goals), J. Amano (4 goals), D. Tono (3 goals), with creative support from J. Croux (4 assists), K. Tanimura (2 assists), Riku Yamane (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kashima Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 37 points from 15 games, Kashima bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 26:10, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Leo Ceara (9 goals), Yuma Suzuki (6 goals), A. Cavric (2 goals), with creative support from Yuma Suzuki (4 assists), G. Shibasaki (3 assists), Leo Ceara (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Yokohama F. Marinos won 6 times, Kashima won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:29 from Yokohama F. Marinos's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Yokohama F. Marinos 4-2-2-2 / Kashima 4-4-2
H2H summary: Yokohama F. Marinos wins 6, draws 1, Kashima wins 8
Stats
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima Kashima
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
3
9 Corner Kicks 3
15 Fouls 4
1 Offsides 6
35% Ball Possession 65%
16 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 3
8 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 5
8 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
262 Total passes 513
183 Passes accurate 419
1.41 expected_goals 0.54
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Kashima
Formation
Yokohama F. Marinos
T. Hayakawa
T. Hayakawa
K. Nono
K. Nono
N. Ueda
N. Ueda
Kim Tae-Hyeon
Kim Tae-Hyeon
K. Anzai
K. Anzai
Y. Matsumura
Y. Matsumura
Y. Higuchi
Y. Higuchi
G. Shibasaki
G. Shibasaki
Y. Suzuki
Y. Suzuki
S. Morooka
S. Morooka
Leo Ceara
Leo Ceara
Park Il-gyu
Park Il-gyu
R. Miyaichi
R. Miyaichi
T. Inoue
T. Inoue
J. Quinones
J. Quinones
R. Kato
R. Kato
R. Yamane
R. Yamane
K. Watanabe
K. Watanabe
T. Kondo
T. Kondo
J. Amano
🎯
J. Amano
Yuri Araujo
Yuri Araujo
K. Tanimura
K. Tanimura
Kashima 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
T. Hayakawa
G
22
K. Nono
D
55
N. Ueda
D
3
Kim Tae-Hyeon
D
2
K. Anzai
↓ 79'
D
27
Y. Matsumura
↓ 67'
M
14
Y. Higuchi
↓ 67'
M
10
G. Shibasaki
↓ 67'
M
40
Y. Suzuki
M
19
S. Morooka
↓ 56'
F
9
Leo Ceara
⚽ 90'
F
Substitutes
29
Y. Kajikawa
G
77
A. Cavric
↑ 67'
F
6
K. Misao
↑ 67'
M
7
R. Ogawa
D
23
K. Tsukui
D
25
R. Koike
D
71
R. Araki
🎯 90' ↑ 67'
M
30
M. Yoshida
↑ 79'
F
24
H. Hayashu
↑ 56'
M
Yokohama F. Marinos 4-5-1 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Park Il-gyu
G
23
R. Miyaichi
D
13
T. Inoue
D
17
J. Quinones
D
2
R. Kato
D
28
R. Yamane
↓ 90+3'
M
6
K. Watanabe
M
24
T. Kondo
↓ 69'
M
40
J. Amano
🎯 58' ↓ 84'
M
30
Yuri Araujo
↓ 69'
M
9
K. Tanimura
⚽ 58' ↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
21
H. Iikura
G
11
J. Croux
↑ 69'
F
33
K. Suwama
D
19
Tevis
F
8
T. Kida
↑ 90+3'
M
26
D. David
↑ 84'
F
46
H. Asada
↑ 69'
F
35
K. Sekitomi
D
29
A. Higuchi
↑ 84'
M
Last matches: Yokohama F. Marinos
19.07.26
Fri
Yokohama F. Marinos
Roasso Kumamoto
3
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1
1
D
06.06.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulse
3
0
W
31.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
24.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
6
0
W
16.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
06.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
0
2
L
02.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JEF United Chiba
3
2
W
25.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa
3
2
W
18.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
1
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
05.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
5
0
W
18.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
0
1
L
14.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
0
3
L
28.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
3
2
W
21.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa
0
2
L
14.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
0
1
L
Last matches: Kashima
15.07.26
Fri
Kashima
Vegalta Sendai
5
0
W
06.06.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
2
0
W
30.05.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
0
5
L
23.05.26
J1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
0
W
17.05.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
06.05.26
J1
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
3
0
W
03.05.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
24.04.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
18.04.26
J1
Kashima
Urawa
1
0
W
12.04.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
22.03.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
1
W
18.03.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
14.03.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
1
0
W
07.03.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Kashima
Urawa
3
2
W
21.02.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
2
0
W
14.02.26
J1
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
W
07.02.26
J1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
H2H: Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima
10.05.26
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
1
1
D
14.02.26
H2H
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
0
L
06.12.25
H2H
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
2
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
3
1
W
14.07.24
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
4
1
W
01.06.24
H2H
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
3
2
L
24.09.23
H2H
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
1
2
W
18.03.23
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
2
1
W
30.07.22
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
2
0
W
10.04.22
H2H
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
0
3
W
28.08.21
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
0
2
L
15.05.21
H2H
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
5
3
L
03.11.20
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
2
3
L
18.07.20
H2H
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
4
2
L
25.09.19
H2H
Kashima
Yokohama F. Marinos
4
1
L
Last matches: Yokohama F. Marinos
19.07.26
Fri
Yokohama F. Marinos
Roasso Kumamoto
3
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1
1
D
06.06.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Shimizu S-pulse
3
0
W
16.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashiwa Reysol
0
1
L
02.05.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kawasaki Frontale
1
2
L
11.04.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
FC Tokyo
1
3
L
14.03.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Tokyo Verdy
3
2
W
21.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Urawa
0
2
L
06.02.26
J1
Yokohama F. Marinos
Machida Zelvia
2
3
L
22.01.26
Fri
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kanazawa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Yokohama F. Marinos
10.05.26
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
1
1
D
25.05.25
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
3
1
W
14.07.24
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
4
1
W
18.03.23
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
2
1
W
30.07.22
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
2
0
W
28.08.21
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
0
2
L
03.11.20
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
2
3
L
Last matches: Kashima
30.05.26
J1
Kashima
Vissel Kobe
0
5
L
17.05.26
J1
Kashima
JEF United Chiba
2
0
W
29.04.26
J1
Kashima
Tokyo Verdy
1
2
L
24.04.26
J1
Kashima
Kashiwa Reysol
1
0
W
12.04.26
J1
Kashima
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Kashima
Mito Hollyhock
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Kashima
Machida Zelvia
3
0
W
28.02.26
J1
Kashima
Urawa
3
2
W
07.02.26
J1
Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Kashima
Avispa Fukuoka
3
3
D
H2H away: Kashima
10.05.26
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
1
1
D
25.05.25
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
3
1
L
14.07.24
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
4
1
L
18.03.23
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
2
1
L
30.07.22
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
2
0
L
28.08.21
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
0
2
W
03.11.20
H2H
Yokohama F. Marinos
Kashima
2
3
W

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6 18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)