ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
29.09.2026 18:45
Huish Park

Yeovil Town vs Worthing Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.4%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Yeovil Town Win 48.4%
Draw 15.8%
Worthing Win 35.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yeovil Town1.66
Worthing1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yeovil Town Yeovil Town
WWDLW
29 GF / 23 GA
Worthing Worthing
WLDWL
30 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
1.88
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
13
BTTS Yes
11
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yeovil Town Yeovil Town 15 matches
Worthing Worthing 16 matches
Yeovil Town Statistic Worthing
6 Wins 8
5 Draws 5
4 Losses 3
29 Goals For 30
23 Goals Against 20
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
13 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 5
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Worthing having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Worthing. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Yeovil Town Analysis

Yeovil Town sit 7 with 15 points after 9 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 18:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Worthing Analysis

Worthing sit 11 with 14 points after 9 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 17:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Yeovil Town won 1 times, Worthing won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Yeovil Town's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
H2H summary: Yeovil Town wins 1, draws 0, Worthing wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 23:11 12 23
W W D W W
2 9 6 2 1 23:12 11 20
W W D W D
3 9 5 3 1 13:7 6 18
D W W W D
4 9 5 2 2 20:13 7 17
L W W D W
5 9 5 1 3 20:16 4 16
L L W W W
6 9 5 1 3 10:10 0 16
D W L L L
7 9 4 3 2 18:14 4 15
W D L L W
8 9 4 3 2 10:7 3 15
L D W W D
9 9 5 0 4 11:12 -1 15
W L L L W
10 9 5 0 4 12:15 -3 15
W W L W W
11 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 14
W W D D L
12 9 4 2 3 11:10 1 14
W L D L D
13 9 4 1 4 14:11 3 13
D W W L W
14 9 4 1 4 13:14 -1 13
L D W W L
15 9 3 2 4 13:13 0 11
W D L D L
16 9 2 4 3 16:14 2 10
L D D L W
17 9 2 3 4 11:12 -1 9
W L D W D
18 9 2 3 4 10:12 -2 9
D D W L D
19 9 3 0 6 7:11 -4 9
L L L W L
20 9 2 2 5 11:15 -4 8
L L W L W
21 9 2 2 5 16:23 -7 8
W L L D L
22 9 2 1 6 11:15 -4 7
L L W L L
23 9 1 1 7 9:23 -14 4
L W L D L
24 9 1 1 7 6:20 -14 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation