MOROCCO BOTOLA PRO
23.05.2026 16:00
Stade Olympique de Rabat
Referee: J. Jayed
Yacoub El Mansour
Match Timeline
UTS Rabat
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
M. Balouk
Yacoub El Mansour
🟨
25'
I. Badri
Yacoub El Mansour
25'
Y. Dahmani · Assist: H. Regragui
UTS Rabat
32'
M. Ashabi
UTS Rabat
🔄
46'
I. Badri ↔ Y. Noussir
Yacoub El Mansour
🔄
54'
M. Es Sahel ↔ Danny
UTS Rabat
🔄
54'
Y. Akharraz ↔ T. Majni
UTS Rabat
🔄
68'
Z. Ajoughlal ↔ H. Boussefiane
Yacoub El Mansour
🟨
73'
Y. Morsil
Yacoub El Mansour
🔄
73'
M. Balouk ↔ Y. Legnibi
Yacoub El Mansour
🔄
73'
Z. Marour ↔ M. El Badoui
Yacoub El Mansour
🟨
76'
N. Moustaghfir
UTS Rabat
🔄
77'
M. Fouzair ↔ Y. Zraa
UTS Rabat
🟨
78'
Danny
UTS Rabat
🔄
86'
B. Mansouri ↔ M. Boussanane
Yacoub El Mansour
🔄
86'
Y. Dahmani ↔ Y. Kajai
UTS Rabat
🔄
86'
O. Arjoune ↔ K. Konan
UTS Rabat
🟨
89'
H. Regragui
UTS Rabat
🟨
90+4'
Y. Legnibi
Yacoub El Mansour

Yacoub El Mansour vs UTS Rabat Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 37.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
37.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Yacoub El Mansour Win 37.1%
Draw 29.6%
UTS Rabat Win 33.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yacoub El Mansour1.27
UTS Rabat1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yacoub El Mansour Yacoub El Mansour
WWDLW
21 GF / 31 GA
UTS Rabat UTS Rabat
WLDWL
20 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
14
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yacoub El Mansour Yacoub El Mansour 20 matches
UTS Rabat UTS Rabat 20 matches
Yacoub El Mansour Statistic UTS Rabat
3 Wins 1
7 Draws 10
10 Losses 9
21 Goals For 20
31 Goals Against 32
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
14 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 0
5 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward UTS Rabat having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. UTS Rabat arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring UTS Rabat. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Yacoub El Mansour Analysis

Yacoub El Mansour sit 14 with 16 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 21:31, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Balouk (6 goals), Z. Fati (5 goals), J. E. El Khfiyef (4 goals), with creative support from S. Ahannach (3 assists), Z. Marour (2 assists), J. E. El Khfiyef (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

UTS Rabat Analysis

UTS Rabat approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 13 points from 20 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 10 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 20:32, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Y. Dahmani (7 goals), N. Moustaghfir (3 goals), M. Ashabi (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Dahmani (2 assists), N. Moustaghfir (2 assists), M. Essahel (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Yacoub El Mansour won 0 times, UTS Rabat won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Yacoub El Mansour's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.4%)
Predicted formations: Yacoub El Mansour - / UTS Rabat 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Yacoub El Mansour wins 0, draws 1, UTS Rabat wins 1

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation