MOROCCO › BOTOLA PRO
04.05.2026 18:00
Stade Olympique de Rabat
Referee: M. El Houidri
Yacoub El Mansour
Match Timeline
Renaissance Berkane
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
17'
H. Mrabet ↔ Y. Noussir
Yacoub El Mansour
⚽
20'
I. Kandouss
Yacoub El Mansour
🟨
39'
M. Chouiar
Renaissance Berkane
🔄
46'
H. Boussefiane ↔ Y. Legnibi
Yacoub El Mansour
🟨
60'
N. Azzoubairi
Yacoub El Mansour
🔄
60'
R. Aabid ↔ I. Riahi
Renaissance Berkane
🟨
64'
Y. Legnibi
Yacoub El Mansour
🔄
72'
Z. Fati ↔ M. Balouk
Yacoub El Mansour
🔄
72'
M. El Badoui ↔ Z. Ajoughlal
Yacoub El Mansour
🔄
74'
A. Azri ↔ Z. Machach
Renaissance Berkane
🔄
74'
Y. Mehri ↔ Y. El Kaabi
Renaissance Berkane
🔄
83'
B. Mansouri ↔ M. Nasserallah
Yacoub El Mansour
⚽
84'
I. Riahi · Assist: M. Chouiar
Renaissance Berkane

Yacoub El Mansour vs Renaissance Berkane Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 82.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 23.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 20.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
82.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
23.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
20.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Yacoub El Mansour Win 6.8%
Draw 10.2%
Renaissance Berkane Win 82.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Yacoub El Mansour0.98
Renaissance Berkane1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Yacoub El Mansour Yacoub El Mansour
WWDLW
17 GF / 28 GA
Renaissance Berkane Renaissance Berkane
WLDWL
25 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
11
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Yacoub El Mansour Yacoub El Mansour 17 matches
Renaissance Berkane Renaissance Berkane 17 matches
Yacoub El Mansour Statistic Renaissance Berkane
2 Wins 8
5 Draws 6
10 Losses 3
17 Goals For 25
28 Goals Against 16
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
11 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Renaissance Berkane's more proactive style and Yacoub El Mansour's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Yacoub El Mansour have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Renaissance Berkane having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Renaissance Berkane. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Renaissance Berkane carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 30 points while Yacoub El Mansour sit 16 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Yacoub El Mansour Analysis

With 11 points from 17 games and a place of 16, Yacoub El Mansour still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats with a 17:28 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Z. Fati (5 goals), M. Balouk (4 goals), B. Mansouri (2 goals), with creative support from S. Ahannach (2 assists), J. E. El Khfiyef (1 assists), A. Khalloufi (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Renaissance Berkane Analysis

Placed 5 with 30 points from 17 outings, Renaissance Berkane continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, while the 25:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Chouiar (7 goals), Y. Mehri (6 goals), O. Lamlioui (5 goals), with creative support from H. El Moussaoui (3 assists), M. Chouiar (2 assists), Y. Mehri (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Yacoub El Mansour won 0 times, Renaissance Berkane won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Yacoub El Mansour's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (93.2%)
Predicted formations: Yacoub El Mansour - / Renaissance Berkane 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Yacoub El Mansour wins 0, draws 2, Renaissance Berkane wins 0

Standings

Botola Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 11 3 40:17 23 59
W D W W L
2 30 16 9 5 44:27 17 57
W W L D W
3 30 16 8 6 39:19 20 56
W W D L W
4 30 13 16 1 45:22 23 55
D L D D W
5 30 13 4 13 39:33 6 43
L L L L L
6 30 9 13 8 30:34 -4 40
L D D W W
7 30 9 12 9 27:31 -4 39
W L D L W
8 30 9 10 11 31:36 -5 37
L D W L L
9 30 8 12 10 27:26 1 36
D D D W L
10 30 9 9 12 24:33 -9 36
L W D D L
11 30 8 9 13 28:37 -9 33
D D D D L
12 30 8 9 13 27:39 -12 33
D L D D W
13 30 6 13 11 32:40 -8 31
W D W W D
14 30 7 9 14 34:44 -10 30
W D L W W
15 30 7 9 14 29:40 -11 30
D D L D W
16 30 3 13 14 24:42 -18 22
L D D D L
CAF CL group stage
CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation