BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal Barao de Serra Negra
XV de Piracicaba
Match Timeline
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
60'
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
76'
Antonio Gabriel
XV de Piracicaba
🟥
83'
XV de Piracicaba
XV de Piracicaba
🟥
90+6'
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
XV de Piracicaba Win 81.9%
Draw 10.9%
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Win 7.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
XV de Piracicaba1.48
Sampaio Corrêa RJ1
Recent Form (Last 5)
XV de Piracicaba XV de Piracicaba
WWDLW
9 GF / 5 GA
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
WLDWL
5 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

XV de Piracicaba XV de Piracicaba 5 matches
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Sampaio Corrêa RJ 5 matches
XV de Piracicaba Statistic Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2 Wins 2
3 Draws 2
0 Losses 1
9 Goals For 5
5 Goals Against 5
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 1
2 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and XV de Piracicaba's more proactive style and Sampaio Corrêa RJ's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sampaio Corrêa RJ. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sampaio Corrêa RJ having the stronger overall control.

XV de Piracicaba Analysis

XV de Piracicaba arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 9 points after 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 9:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through David Ribeiro (2 goals), Henry (2 goals), Antonio Gabriel (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Analysis

Placed 3 with 8 points from 5 outings, Sampaio Corrêa RJ continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 5:5 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ewerton Potiguar (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, XV de Piracicaba won 1 times, Sampaio Corrêa RJ won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from XV de Piracicaba's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.8%)
H2H summary: XV de Piracicaba wins 1, draws 1, Sampaio Corrêa RJ wins 0
Last matches: XV de Piracicaba
11.07.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Cianorte
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Cianorte
0
4
L
27.06.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
América RJ
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
América RJ
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Nova Iguaçu
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Noroeste
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Velo Clube
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
CFRJ / Maricá
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Velo Clube
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Noroeste
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Nova Iguaçu
4
1
W
Last matches: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
27.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
1
0
W
H2H: XV de Piracicaba vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
09.05.26
H2H
XV de Piracicaba
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
02.05.26
H2H
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
Last matches: XV de Piracicaba
11.07.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Cianorte
0
0
D
27.06.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
América RJ
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Noroeste
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
CFRJ / Maricá
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Velo Clube
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
XV de Piracicaba
Nova Iguaçu
4
1
W
H2H at home: XV de Piracicaba
09.05.26
H2H
XV de Piracicaba
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
W
Last matches: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
27.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Noroeste
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Nova Iguaçu
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
CFRJ / Maricá
2
2
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Velo Clube
0
2
L
H2H away: Sampaio Corrêa RJ
09.05.26
H2H
XV de Piracicaba
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
1
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)