ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Adams Park
Referee: H. Blair
Wycombe
Match Timeline
Rotherham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Dru Yearwood
Rotherham
11'
T. Allen · Assist: J. Mullins
Wycombe
17'
J. Holmes · Assist: J. Rafferty
Rotherham
22'
J. Holmes · Assist: H. Gray
Rotherham
25'
B. Fink · Assist: A. Quitirna
Wycombe
🟨
45+9'
Ewan Henderson
Wycombe
🔄
59'
E. Henderson ↔ A. Morley
Wycombe
🔄
68'
F. Onyedinma ↔ A. Vidigal
Wycombe
🔄
68'
C. Taylor ↔ J. Matton
Wycombe
🔄
68'
A. Martha ↔ J. Benson
Rotherham
🟨
76'
Harry Gray
Rotherham
🔄
78'
A. Quitirna ↔ M. Olabiyi
Wycombe
🔄
78'
T. Allen ↔ M. Keita
Wycombe
🔄
90+3'
J. Rafferty ↔ J. Hugill
Rotherham
🔄
90+4'
J. Holmes ↔ J. Clarke
Rotherham
90'
M. Olabiyi · Assist: D. Skura
Wycombe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
29.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
34.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wycombe Win 87.5%
Draw 6.5%
Rotherham Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wycombe1.48
Rotherham1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wycombe Wycombe
WWDLW
68 GF / 60 GA
Rotherham Rotherham
WLDWL
40 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
23
BTTS Yes
19
24
Over 2.5
24
4.45
Shots on Goal
3.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wycombe Wycombe 47 matches
Rotherham Rotherham 46 matches
Wycombe Statistic Rotherham
17 Wins 10
12 Draws 11
18 Losses 25
68 Goals For 40
60 Goals Against 70
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
23 BTTS Yes 19
38 Over 1.5 31
24 Over 2.5 24
13 Over 3.5 10
15 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 20
4.45 Shots On Goal 3.07
12.47 Total Shots 10
5.13 Corners 4.46
51.5% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Wycombe's more proactive style and Rotherham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rotherham. Wycombe arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 60 points compared to Rotherham in 23 on 41, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Wycombe Analysis

With 60 points from 45 games and a place of 12, Wycombe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 16 wins, 12 draws, and 17 defeats with a 66:56 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Fred Onyedinma (10 goals), C. Woodrow (9 goals), A. Quitirna (6 goals), with creative support from L. Leahy (6 assists), C. Woodrow (4 assists), J. Mullins (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Rotherham Analysis

Rotherham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 23 with 41 points from 45 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 11 draws, and 24 defeats, and the 39:68 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Nombe (12 goals), J. Rafferty (4 goals), M. Sherif (4 goals), with creative support from Joe Powell (4 assists), Daniel Gore (3 assists), J. Benson (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 16 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Wycombe won 6 times, Rotherham won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:10 from Wycombe's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Wycombe 4-2-3-1 / Rotherham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Wycombe wins 6, draws 4, Rotherham wins 1
Stats
Wycombe Wycombe
Rotherham Rotherham
Shots on Goal
9
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
1
14 Corner Kicks 1
14 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 4
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
392 Total passes 344
304 Passes accurate 251
2.96 expected_goals 0.71
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Wycombe
Formation
Rotherham
M. van Sas
M. van Sas
D. Skura
🎯
D. Skura
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
D. Harvie
D. Harvie
A. Quitirna
🎯
A. Quitirna
J. Scowen
J. Scowen
E. Henderson
E. Henderson
T. Allen
T. Allen
J. Mullins
🎯
J. Mullins
F. Onyedinma
F. Onyedinma
B. Fink
B. Fink
T. Cann
T. Cann
J. Rafferty
🎯
J. Rafferty
J. Baptiste
J. Baptiste
Z. Jules
Z. Jules
R. James
R. James
D. Gore
D. Gore
D. Yearwood
D. Yearwood
A. Martha
A. Martha
J. Holmes
⚽ 2
J. Holmes
H. Gray
🎯
H. Gray
S. Nombe
S. Nombe
Wycombe 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
M. van Sas
G
25
D. Skura
🎯 90'
D
26
C. Taylor
↓ 68'
D
3
D. Harvie
D
7
A. Quitirna
🎯 25' ↓ 78'
M
4
J. Scowen
M
20
E. Henderson
↓ 59' 🟨 45+9'
M
6
T. Allen
⚽ 11' ↓ 78'
M
21
J. Mullins
🎯 11'
F
44
F. Onyedinma
↓ 68'
F
9
B. Fink
⚽ 25'
F
Substitutes
50
W. Norris
G
10
L. Leahy
M
5
A. Morley
↑ 59'
M
77
A. Vidigal
↑ 68'
M
34
J. Matton
↑ 68'
D
67
M. Olabiyi
⚽ 90' ↑ 78'
61
M. Keita
↑ 78'
D
Rotherham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
13
T. Cann
G
2
J. Rafferty
🎯 17' ↓ 90+3'
D
15
J. Baptiste
D
3
Z. Jules
D
6
R. James
D
44
D. Gore
M
16
D. Yearwood
🟨 1'
M
11
A. Martha
↓ 68'
M
23
J. Holmes
⚽ 17' ⚽ 22' ↓ 90+4'
M
24
H. Gray
🎯 22' 🟨 76'
M
10
S. Nombe
F
Substitutes
50
B. Childs
G
19
J. Benson
↑ 68'
M
28
B. Cover
M
9
J. Hugill
↑ 90+3'
F
39
H. Duncan
37
J. Clarke
↑ 90+4'
51
C. Lee
Last matches: Wycombe
21.07.26
Fri
Wycombe
Farnham Town
1
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Wycombe
QPR
0
1
L
11.07.26
Fri
Wycombe
Ebbsfleet United
4
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Wycombe
Lincoln
3
4
L
18.04.26
Lea
Wycombe
Blackpool
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lea
Wycombe
Huddersfield
3
3
D
06.04.26
Lea
Wycombe
Bradford
1
2
L
03.04.26
Lea
Wycombe
Stockport County
0
3
L
28.03.26
Lea
Wycombe
Port Vale
4
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Wycombe
Leyton Orient
0
2
L
17.03.26
Lea
Wycombe
Cardiff
2
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Wycombe
Luton
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Wycombe
Bolton
2
3
L
03.03.26
Lea
Wycombe
Barnsley
1
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Wycombe
Burton Albion
3
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Wycombe
Stevenage
3
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Wycombe
Exeter City
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Wycombe
Reading
2
3
L
07.02.26
Lea
Wycombe
Doncaster
4
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Wycombe
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
Last matches: Rotherham
21.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Matlock Town
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
AFC Emley
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Parkgate
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
03.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Mansfield Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
1
0
W
24.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bradford
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Doncaster
1
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
0
1
L
H2H: Wycombe vs Rotherham
02.05.26
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
3
2
W
29.11.25
H2H
Rotherham
Wycombe
1
1
D
18.03.25
H2H
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
W
24.08.24
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
2
0
W
12.03.22
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
0
0
D
19.10.21
H2H
Rotherham
Wycombe
0
0
D
05.04.21
H2H
Rotherham
Wycombe
0
3
W
12.09.20
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
0
1
L
04.04.20
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
0
0
D
26.10.19
H2H
Rotherham
Wycombe
0
1
W
12.03.13
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
2
2
D
20.11.12
H2H
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
W
Last matches: Wycombe
11.07.26
Fri
Wycombe
Ebbsfleet United
4
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Wycombe
Blackpool
0
1
L
06.04.26
Lea
Wycombe
Bradford
1
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Wycombe
Port Vale
4
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Wycombe
Luton
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Wycombe
Burton Albion
3
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Wycombe
Stevenage
3
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Wycombe
Doncaster
4
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Wycombe
Wigan
2
0
W
24.01.26
Lea
Wycombe
Peterborough
0
2
L
04.01.26
Lea
Wycombe
AFC Wimbledon
2
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Wycombe
Cardiff
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Wycombe
Bolton
2
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Wycombe
Plymouth
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lea
Wycombe
Lincoln
3
2
W
08.11.25
Lea
Wycombe
Leyton Orient
4
1
W
01.11.25
FA
Wycombe
Plymouth
2
0
W
25.10.25
Lea
Wycombe
Huddersfield
3
0
W
04.10.25
Lea
Wycombe
Barnsley
2
2
D
20.09.25
Lea
Wycombe
Northampton
2
0
W
H2H at home: Wycombe
02.05.26
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
3
2
W
24.08.24
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
2
0
W
12.03.22
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
0
0
D
12.09.20
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
0
1
L
04.04.20
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
0
0
D
12.03.13
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
2
2
D
Last matches: Rotherham
21.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Matlock Town
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
AFC Emley
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Parkgate
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bradford
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Exeter City
4
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stockport County
2
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Blackpool
0
4
L
26.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
1
2
L
13.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
0
1
L
22.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
15.11.25
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
0
D
25.10.25
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
0
W
H2H away: Rotherham
02.05.26
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
3
2
L
24.08.24
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
2
0
L
12.03.22
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
0
0
D
12.09.20
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
0
1
W
04.04.20
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
0
0
D
12.03.13
H2H
Wycombe
Rotherham
2
2
D

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two