ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
02.05.2026 14:00
Adams Park
Referee: H. Blair
Wycombe
Match Timeline
Rotherham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
1'
Dru Yearwood
Rotherham
⚽
11'
T. Allen · Assist: J. Mullins
Wycombe
⚽
17'
J. Holmes · Assist: J. Rafferty
Rotherham
⚽
22'
J. Holmes · Assist: H. Gray
Rotherham
⚽
25'
B. Fink · Assist: A. Quitirna
Wycombe
🟨
45+9'
Ewan Henderson
Wycombe
🔄
59'
E. Henderson ↔ A. Morley
Wycombe
🔄
68'
F. Onyedinma ↔ A. Vidigal
Wycombe
🔄
68'
C. Taylor ↔ J. Matton
Wycombe
🔄
68'
A. Martha ↔ J. Benson
Rotherham
🟨
76'
Harry Gray
Rotherham
🔄
78'
A. Quitirna ↔ M. Olabiyi
Wycombe
🔄
78'
T. Allen ↔ M. Keita
Wycombe
🔄
90+3'
J. Rafferty ↔ J. Hugill
Rotherham
🔄
90+4'
J. Holmes ↔ J. Clarke
Rotherham
⚽
90'
M. Olabiyi · Assist: D. Skura
Wycombe

Wycombe vs Rotherham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
29.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
34.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Wycombe Win 87.5%
Draw 6.5%
Rotherham Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wycombe1.48
Rotherham1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wycombe Wycombe
WWDLW
68 GF / 60 GA
Rotherham Rotherham
WLDWL
40 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
0.87
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
23
BTTS Yes
19
24
Over 2.5
24
4.45
Shots on Goal
3.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wycombe Wycombe 47 matches
Rotherham Rotherham 46 matches
Wycombe Statistic Rotherham
17 Wins 10
12 Draws 11
18 Losses 25
68 Goals For 40
60 Goals Against 70
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
23 BTTS Yes 19
38 Over 1.5 31
24 Over 2.5 24
13 Over 3.5 10
15 Clean Sheets 10
12 Failed To Score 20
4.45 Shots On Goal 3.07
12.47 Total Shots 10
5.13 Corners 4.46
51.5% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Wycombe's more proactive style and Rotherham's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rotherham. Wycombe arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 60 points compared to Rotherham in 23 on 41, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Wycombe Analysis

With 60 points from 45 games and a place of 12, Wycombe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 16 wins, 12 draws, and 17 defeats with a 66:56 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Fred Onyedinma (10 goals), C. Woodrow (9 goals), A. Quitirna (6 goals), with creative support from L. Leahy (6 assists), C. Woodrow (4 assists), J. Mullins (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 12 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Rotherham Analysis

Rotherham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 23 with 41 points from 45 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 11 draws, and 24 defeats, and the 39:68 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Nombe (12 goals), J. Rafferty (4 goals), M. Sherif (4 goals), with creative support from Joe Powell (4 assists), Daniel Gore (3 assists), J. Benson (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 16 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Wycombe won 6 times, Rotherham won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:10 from Wycombe's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)
Predicted formations: Wycombe 4-2-3-1 / Rotherham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Wycombe wins 6, draws 4, Rotherham wins 1

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two