Login Register
ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
17.10.2026 14:00
Adams Park
Wycombe
Match Timeline
Notts County
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Jack Grimmer
Wycombe
⚽
44'
Max Sanders
Wycombe
🔄
45'
Lucas Ness ↔ Ishé Samuels-Smith
Notts County
🔄
61'
Max Sanders ↔ Scott Robertson
Notts County
🔄
62'
Jack Evans ↔ Conor·Grant
Notts County
🔄
62'
lee ndlovu ↔ D. Kanu
Notts County
🔄
62'
Rory Finneran ↔ Matt Palmer
Notts County
🔄
70'
Jamie Mullins ↔ Junior Quitirna
Wycombe
🟨
77'
Scott Robertson
Notts County
🔄
83'
Cauley Woodrow ↔ Ewan Henderson
Wycombe
⚽
86'
Fred Onyedinma · Assist: Daniel Harvie
Wycombe
🔄
89'
Caolan Boyd-Munce ↔ Luke Leahy
Wycombe
🟨
90+4'
James Gibbons
Notts County

Wycombe vs Notts County Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.2%
Odds 1.22
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.70
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.84
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.2%
1.22 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.70 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.84 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wycombe Win 46.2%
Draw 23%
Notts County Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wycombe1.59
Notts County1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wycombe Wycombe
WWDLW
26 GF / 28 GA
Notts County Notts County
WLDWL
14 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
12
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
5
5.22
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wycombe Wycombe 15 matches
Notts County Notts County 13 matches
Wycombe Statistic Notts County
5 Wins 2
4 Draws 5
6 Losses 6
26 Goals For 14
28 Goals Against 18
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
12 BTTS Yes 7
13 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 5
8 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 5
5.22 Shots On Goal 3.25
12.89 Total Shots 11.88
5.33 Corners 4.5
50.6% Ball Possession 45%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Notts County. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wycombe expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Notts County in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Notts County having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Wycombe arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 12 with 10 points compared to Notts County in 20 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Wycombe Analysis

So far, Wycombe have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 10 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 13:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Wareham (3 goals), D. Casey (2 goals), E. Henderson (1 goals), with creative support from E. Henderson (4 assists), F. Onyedinma (1 assists), C. Woodrow (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Notts County Analysis

With 7 points from 7 games and a place of 20, Notts County still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 7:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through O. Cooper (2 goals), L. Smyth (2 goals), C. Roberts (1 goals), with creative support from N. Tsaroulla (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Wycombe won 1 times, Notts County won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:13 from Wycombe's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.56 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77%)
Predicted formations: Wycombe 3-1-4-2 / Notts County 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Wycombe wins 1, draws 4, Notts County wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 10:5 5 20
W D D W W
2 10 6 1 3 21:11 10 19
W W W D L
3 10 5 4 1 18:9 9 19
W D W L D
4 11 6 1 4 18:14 4 19
L W W L W
5 10 5 4 1 16:12 4 19
W W D D W
6 9 5 3 1 20:8 12 18
W D D D W
7 10 4 3 3 22:12 10 15
L W D D W
8 8 4 3 1 16:9 7 15
D W D W W
9 10 4 2 4 15:11 4 14
W D L W L
10 11 3 4 4 16:18 -2 13
D L L W D
11 10 3 4 3 16:20 -4 13
W L D W W
12 9 3 3 3 12:10 2 12
L W L W W
13 9 3 3 3 13:15 -2 12
D W D D L
14 9 3 3 3 12:15 -3 12
W L D W L
15 10 3 3 4 7:15 -8 12
L L D D W
16 9 3 2 4 17:17 0 11
L W L L D
17 9 2 3 4 10:11 -1 9
L W W L L
18 9 1 6 2 11:16 -5 9
W L D D D
19 10 2 3 5 9:16 -7 9
D W L L D
20 9 2 2 5 13:16 -3 8
L L L D L
21 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L L D L L
22 9 2 2 5 9:21 -12 8
L L W D L
23 9 1 4 4 8:13 -5 7
L L L L D
24 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
W L L D L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two