Login Register
CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
24.10.2026 07:30
Wuhan Sports Centre

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shandong Luneng Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
88%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Wuhan Three Towns Win 29.4%
Draw 18.3%
Shandong Luneng Win 52.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wuhan Three Towns1.5
Shandong Luneng1.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
WWDLW
41 GF / 50 GA
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng
WLDWL
52 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.86
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
20
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
19
4.57
Shots on Goal
4.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 28 matches
Shandong Luneng Shandong Luneng 28 matches
Wuhan Three Towns Statistic Shandong Luneng
5 Wins 14
12 Draws 5
11 Losses 9
41 Goals For 52
50 Goals Against 44
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.86
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
20 BTTS Yes 20
24 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 19
14 Over 3.5 12
4 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 4
4.57 Shots On Goal 4.93
13.57 Total Shots 14.14
4.75 Corners 4.21
47% Ball Possession 49.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Shandong Luneng's more proactive style and Wuhan Three Towns's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wuhan Three Towns expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Shandong Luneng in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shandong Luneng having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Shandong Luneng. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Shandong Luneng carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 38 points while Wuhan Three Towns sit 15 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Wuhan Three Towns Analysis

With 22 points from 27 games and a place of 15, Wuhan Three Towns still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats with a 40:47 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jhonder Cádiz (14 goals), Gustavo Sauer (5 goals), Kilian Bevis (5 goals), with creative support from Jhonder Cádiz (4 assists), Gustavo Sauer (4 assists), Kilian Bevis (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shandong Luneng Analysis

Shandong Luneng arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 38 points after 27 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 47:44 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Cryzan (14 goals), Wenneng Xie (4 goals), Zeca (4 goals), with creative support from Cryzan (6 assists), Valeri Qazaishvili (6 assists), Yuanyi Li (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 times, Shandong Luneng won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:26 from Wuhan Three Towns's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.15 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.7%)
Predicted formations: Wuhan Three Towns 4-4-2 / Shandong Luneng 3-4-3
H2H summary: Wuhan Three Towns wins 1, draws 6, Shandong Luneng wins 6

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation