CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
05.09.2026 11:00
Wuhan Sports Centre
Referee: D. Wang
Wuhan Three Towns
Match Timeline
Qingdao Youth Island
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
Davidson
Qingdao Youth Island
19'
K. Bevis
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
21'
Jingchao Meng
Qingdao Youth Island
22'
K. Bevis
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
38'
Samir Memisevic
Qingdao Youth Island
VAR
45+1'
Aziz
Qingdao Youth Island
VAR
51'
Davidson
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
57'
Yu Dong
Qingdao Youth Island
🟨
62'
Yu Dong
Qingdao Youth Island
🟥
62'
Yu Dong
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
68'
Meng Jingchao ↔ He Longhai
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
73'
He Guan ↔ Zheng Kaimu
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
73'
Zhang Xiaobin ↔ J. Xiong
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
82'
Zhang Chengdong ↔ Wang Peng
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
82'
Wang Gengrui ↔ Lohman Elnizar
Qingdao Youth Island
83'
Davidson
Qingdao Youth Island
🔄
86'
Xu Haofeng ↔ Chen Zhechao
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
90+1'
A. Yakubu ↔ Nan Song
Qingdao Youth Island

Wuhan Three Towns vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds 3.16
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 2.33
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.9%
3.16
BTTS No
56%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
2.33
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Wuhan Three Towns Win 31%
Draw 15%
Qingdao Youth Island Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wuhan Three Towns1.4
Qingdao Youth Island1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
WWDLW
35 GF / 39 GA
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island
WLDWL
30 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.52
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
15
BTTS Yes
16
12
Over 2.5
8
4.57
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 23 matches
Qingdao Youth Island Qingdao Youth Island 27 matches
Wuhan Three Towns Statistic Qingdao Youth Island
5 Wins 8
9 Draws 14
9 Losses 5
35 Goals For 30
39 Goals Against 33
1.52 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
15 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 21
12 Over 2.5 8
11 Over 3.5 6
4 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 7
4.57 Shots On Goal 3.48
13.04 Total Shots 10.88
4.83 Corners 4.28
46.1% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Qingdao Youth Island carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 36 points while Wuhan Three Towns sit 15 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wuhan Three Towns expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Qingdao Youth Island in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Qingdao Youth Island having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Qingdao Youth Island.

Wuhan Three Towns Analysis

With 16 points from 22 games and a place of 15, Wuhan Three Towns still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 30:38 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Qingdao Youth Island Analysis

Qingdao Youth Island approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 36 points after 24 outings. They have recorded 8 wins, 12 draws, and 4 losses, with a 28:29 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Davidson (1 goals), Nelson Luz (1 goals), Samir Memisevic (1 goals), with creative support from Davidson (1 assists), Nelson Luz (1 assists), Yu Dong (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Wuhan Three Towns won 1 times, Qingdao Youth Island won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Wuhan Three Towns's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
Predicted formations: Wuhan Three Towns 4-4-2 / Qingdao Youth Island 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Wuhan Three Towns wins 1, draws 2, Qingdao Youth Island wins 2

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation