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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
17.10.2026 14:00
Racecourse Ground
Referee: Simon Hooper

Wrexham vs Preston Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 78.3%
Odds 1.69
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.90
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
78.3%
1.69 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.90 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wrexham Win 78.3%
Draw 7.8%
Preston Win 14%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wrexham1.4
Preston1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wrexham Wrexham
WWDLW
12 GF / 15 GA
Preston Preston
WLDWL
16 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
2
7
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
11
3.5
Shots on Goal
2.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wrexham Wrexham 12 matches
Preston Preston 16 matches
Wrexham Statistic Preston
3 Wins 2
6 Draws 1
3 Losses 13
12 Goals For 16
15 Goals Against 32
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2
7 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 11
1 Over 3.5 7
4 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 7
3.5 Shots On Goal 2.7
10.8 Total Shots 12.2
4.9 Corners 4.9
48.5% Ball Possession 41.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wrexham expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Preston in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Preston having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Preston. Wrexham arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 14 with 10 points compared to Preston in 23 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Preston arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Wrexham Analysis

Wrexham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 10 points from 8 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats with a 9:12 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on K. Moore (2 goals), Daniel Edward Peter Imray (1 goals), C. Doyle (1 goals), with creative support from Daniel Edward Peter Imray (1 assists), B. Whiteman (1 assists), L. O'Brien (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Preston Analysis

Preston approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 23 with 4 points from 8 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 8:15, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Lang (3 goals), J. Kenny (2 goals), J. Erabi (1 goals), with creative support from J. Thompson (1 assists), A. Vukčević (1 assists), D. Burgzorg (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Wrexham won 2 times, Preston won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Wrexham's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Wrexham 3-4-2-1 / Preston 5-3-2
Missing players: Wrexham 7, Preston 7
H2H summary: Wrexham wins 2, draws 1, Preston wins 0

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:7 9 23
W W W W L
2 10 6 3 1 20:14 6 21
W W D D W
3 10 5 4 1 29:12 17 19
W D D W W
4 10 4 5 1 17:11 6 17
W W D W L
5 10 4 5 1 15:9 6 17
W D D D D
6 10 5 2 3 12:10 2 17
W L L D W
7 10 6 2 2 21:10 11 16
W W L W W
8 10 5 1 4 17:16 1 16
L W W W D
9 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
W W D W L
10 9 4 2 3 16:14 2 14
L L W W D
11 10 4 2 4 16:16 0 14
L W D D L
12 10 4 2 4 12:14 -2 14
L D W L L
13 10 3 5 2 10:13 -3 14
D D L D D
14 10 4 1 5 15:18 -3 13
W L W W L
15 10 3 3 4 14:14 0 12
L W L L W
16 9 3 2 4 12:13 -1 11
W L D D W
17 10 2 5 3 11:15 -4 11
L D W L D
18 10 3 2 5 7:17 -10 11
L L L W W
19 10 2 4 4 16:15 1 10
W L W L D
20 10 3 0 7 17:20 -3 9
L L L L W
21 10 1 5 4 15:19 -4 8
D W D L D
22 10 2 2 6 8:19 -11 8
L L L L W
23 10 1 3 6 9:19 -10 6
L D D L L
24 10 1 1 8 8:20 -12 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One