Wrexham vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
68.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
21.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Wrexham
48 matches
Middlesbrough
46 matches
| Wrexham | Statistic | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 22 |
| 14 | Draws | 13 |
| 14 | Losses | 11 |
| 73 | Goals For | 71 |
| 70 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.54 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
| 31 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.79 | Shots On Goal | 4.96 |
| 11.44 | Total Shots | 16.04 |
| 4.67 | Corners | 6.8 |
| 47.6% | Ball Possession | 59.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Middlesbrough. Wrexham have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wrexham expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and Middlesbrough in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Middlesbrough having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Wrexham sit 6 with 70 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 19 wins, 13 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 67:63 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Windass (15 goals), K. Moore (11 goals), N. Broadhead (7 goals), with creative support from L. O'Brien (6 assists), I. Kabore (6 assists), J. Windass (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Middlesbrough arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 79 points after 45 matches. The record of 22 wins, 13 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 70:45 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Whittaker (14 goals), Tommy Conway (12 goals), D. Strelec (7 goals), with creative support from M. Whittaker (7 assists), H. Hackney (7 assists), Tommy Conway (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Wrexham won 0 times, Middlesbrough won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Wrexham's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 |
Middlesbrough
Away
|
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 |
Wrexham
Home
|
46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|