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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
27.09.2025 11:30
Racecourse Ground
Referee: Tom Nield, England
Wrexham
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Lewis O'Brien
Wrexham
🟨
13'
Matthew Clarke
Derby
🟨
36'
Ebou Adams
Derby
🟨
49'
Lewis Travis
Derby
⚽
59'
L. O'Brien · Assist: I. Kabore
Wrexham
🔄
63'
E. Adams ↔ D. Ozoh
Derby
🔄
63'
A. Weimann ↔ B. Clark
Derby
⚽
72'
B. Brereton Diaz · Assist: P. Agyemang
Derby
🔄
74'
B. Sheaf ↔ M. James
Wrexham
🔄
74'
P. Agyemang ↔ K. Jackson
Derby
🔄
80'
I. Kabore ↔ R. Barnett
Wrexham
🔄
80'
J. Windass ↔ N. Broadhead
Wrexham
🟨
85'
David Ozoh
Derby
🟨
90+1'
Carlton Morris
Derby
🔄
90+3'
K. Moore ↔ S. Smith
Wrexham

Wrexham vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Wrexham Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wrexham1.9
Derby1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wrexham Wrexham
WWDLW
11 GF / 12 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
8 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
3
4.67
Shots on Goal
2.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wrexham Wrexham 6 matches
Derby Derby 6 matches
Wrexham Statistic Derby
2 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
11 Goals For 8
12 Goals Against 12
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 4
5 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
4.67 Shots On Goal 2.17
12.33 Total Shots 7
4.67 Corners 3.17
43.7% Ball Possession 40.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Wrexham won 1 times, Derby won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Wrexham's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Wrexham 3-4-2-1 / Derby 4-4-2
H2H summary: Wrexham wins 1, draws 1, Derby wins 0

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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