ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
02.05.2026 14:00
Molineux Stadium
Referee: P. Tierney
Wolves
Match Timeline
Sunderland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
N. Mukiele · Assist: G. Xhaka
Sunderland
VAR
23'
Daniel Ballard
Sunderland
🟥
24'
Daniel Ballard
Sunderland
🟨
45+2'
Brian Brobbey
Sunderland
🔄
46'
Pedro Lima ↔ R. Gomes
Wolves
54'
S. Bueno · Assist: H. Bueno
Wolves
🟨
56'
Granit Xhaka
Sunderland
🔄
72'
R. Mandava ↔ D. Cirkin
Sunderland
🔄
72'
N. Sadiki ↔ H. Diarra
Sunderland
🔄
72'
B. Brobbey ↔ W. Isidor
Sunderland
🔄
78'
H. Bueno ↔ A. Gomes
Wolves
🟨
81'
Dennis Cirkin
Sunderland
🟨
90+2'
Robin Roefs
Sunderland
🔄
90+3'
T. Arokodare ↔ T. Edozie
Wolves

Wolves vs Sunderland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 44.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
44.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wolves Win 25.2%
Draw 16.4%
Sunderland Win 58.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wolves1.02
Sunderland1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wolves Wolves
WWDLW
32 GF / 66 GA
Sunderland Sunderland
WLDWL
38 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
16
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
15
3.3
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wolves Wolves 37 matches
Sunderland Sunderland 37 matches
Wolves Statistic Sunderland
5 Wins 13
8 Draws 11
24 Losses 13
32 Goals For 38
66 Goals Against 47
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
16 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 11
18 Failed To Score 13
3.3 Shots On Goal 3.68
9.68 Total Shots 10.68
3.3 Corners 3.84
43.9% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sunderland. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sunderland carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 46 points while Wolves sit 20 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wolves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sunderland in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sunderland having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Wolves Analysis

Wolves sit 20 with 17 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 23 defeats with a 24:62 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. S. Larsen (4 goals), Ladislav Krejčí (3 goals), R. Gomes (3 goals), with creative support from Adam Armstrong (2 assists), D. M. Wolfe (2 assists), J. S. Larsen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sunderland Analysis

With 46 points from 34 games and a place of 12, Sunderland still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats with a 36:45 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Brobbey (6 goals), W. Isidor (5 goals), C. Talbi (4 goals), with creative support from E. Le Fee (5 assists), Granit Xhaka (5 assists), N. Mukiele (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Alese unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Wolves 3-4-2-1 / Sunderland 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Wolves 0, Sunderland 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship