ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Molineux Stadium
Referee: P. Tierney
Wolves
Match Timeline
Sunderland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
N. Mukiele · Assist: G. Xhaka
Sunderland
VAR
23'
Daniel Ballard
Sunderland
🟥
24'
Daniel Ballard
Sunderland
🟨
45+2'
Brian Brobbey
Sunderland
🔄
46'
Pedro Lima ↔ R. Gomes
Wolves
54'
S. Bueno · Assist: H. Bueno
Wolves
🟨
56'
Granit Xhaka
Sunderland
🔄
72'
R. Mandava ↔ D. Cirkin
Sunderland
🔄
72'
N. Sadiki ↔ H. Diarra
Sunderland
🔄
72'
B. Brobbey ↔ W. Isidor
Sunderland
🔄
78'
H. Bueno ↔ A. Gomes
Wolves
🟨
81'
Dennis Cirkin
Sunderland
🟨
90+2'
Robin Roefs
Sunderland
🔄
90+3'
T. Arokodare ↔ T. Edozie
Wolves

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 44.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 36.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
58.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
44.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
36.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wolves Win 25.2%
Draw 16.4%
Sunderland Win 58.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wolves1.02
Sunderland1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wolves Wolves
WWDLW
32 GF / 66 GA
Sunderland Sunderland
WLDWL
38 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
16
BTTS Yes
16
18
Over 2.5
15
3.3
Shots on Goal
3.68

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wolves Wolves 37 matches
Sunderland Sunderland 37 matches
Wolves Statistic Sunderland
5 Wins 13
8 Draws 11
24 Losses 13
32 Goals For 38
66 Goals Against 47
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
16 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 11
18 Failed To Score 13
3.3 Shots On Goal 3.68
9.68 Total Shots 10.68
3.3 Corners 3.84
43.9% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sunderland. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Sunderland carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 46 points while Wolves sit 20 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wolves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sunderland in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sunderland having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Wolves Analysis

Wolves sit 20 with 17 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 23 defeats with a 24:62 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. S. Larsen (4 goals), Ladislav Krejčí (3 goals), R. Gomes (3 goals), with creative support from Adam Armstrong (2 assists), D. M. Wolfe (2 assists), J. S. Larsen (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sunderland Analysis

With 46 points from 34 games and a place of 12, Sunderland still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats with a 36:45 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Brobbey (6 goals), W. Isidor (5 goals), C. Talbi (4 goals), with creative support from E. Le Fee (5 assists), Granit Xhaka (5 assists), N. Mukiele (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with A. Alese unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Wolves won 3 times, Sunderland won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:10 from Wolves's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Wolves 3-4-2-1 / Sunderland 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Wolves 0, Sunderland 1
H2H summary: Wolves wins 3, draws 3, Sunderland wins 2
Stats
Wolves Wolves
Sunderland Sunderland
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
5
6 Corner Kicks 3
11 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 5
13 Shots insidebox 8
7 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
438 Total passes 327
377 Passes accurate 249
1.72 expected_goals 0.66
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Wolves
Formation
Sunderland
D. Bentley
D. Bentley
Y. Mosquera
Y. Mosquera
S. Bueno
S. Bueno
Toti
Toti
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima
Andre
Andre
Joao Gomes
Joao Gomes
H. Bueno
🎯
H. Bueno
M. Mane
M. Mane
A. Armstrong
A. Armstrong
T. Arokodare
T. Arokodare
R. Roefs
R. Roefs
N. Mukiele
N. Mukiele
D. Ballard
D. Ballard
O. Alderete
O. Alderete
R. Mandava
R. Mandava
G. Xhaka
🎯
G. Xhaka
N. Sadiki
N. Sadiki
T. Hume
T. Hume
E. Le Fee
E. Le Fee
C. Talbi
C. Talbi
B. Brobbey
B. Brobbey
Wolves 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
25
D. Bentley
G
15
Y. Mosquera
D
4
S. Bueno
⚽ 54'
D
24
Toti
D
17
Pedro Lima
↓ 46'
M
7
Andre
M
8
Joao Gomes
M
3
H. Bueno
🎯 54' ↓ 78'
M
36
M. Mane
F
9
A. Armstrong
F
14
T. Arokodare
↓ 90+3'
F
Substitutes
70
J. Gracey
G
2
M. Doherty
D
11
Hwang Hee-Chan
F
27
J. Bellegarde
M
6
D. M. Wolfe
D
21
R. Gomes
↑ 46'
D
47
A. Gomes
↑ 78'
M
38
J. Tchatchoua
D
74
T. Edozie
↑ 90+3'
Sunderland 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
R. Roefs
🟨 90+2'
G
20
N. Mukiele
⚽ 17'
D
5
D. Ballard
🟥 24'
D
15
O. Alderete
D
17
R. Mandava
↓ 72'
D
34
G. Xhaka
🎯 17' 🟨 56'
M
27
N. Sadiki
↓ 72'
M
32
T. Hume
M
28
E. Le Fee
M
7
C. Talbi
M
9
B. Brobbey
↓ 72' 🟨 45+2'
F
Substitutes
31
M. Ellborg
G
3
D. Cirkin
↑ 72' 🟨 81'
D
11
C. Rigg
M
19
H. Diarra
↑ 72'
M
37
J. T. Bi
F
13
L. O'Nien
M
6
L. Geertruida
D
18
W. Isidor
↑ 72'
F
12
E. Mayenda
F
Last matches: Wolves
24.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Burnley
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Fulham
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Brighton
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pre
Wolves
Tottenham
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Wolves
Leeds
0
3
L
10.04.26
Pre
Wolves
West Ham
0
4
L
16.03.26
Pre
Wolves
Brentford
2
2
D
06.03.26
FA
Wolves
Liverpool
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Wolves
Liverpool
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Aston Villa
2
0
W
22.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Crystal Palace
0
1
L
18.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Arsenal
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Wolves
Grimsby
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Nottingham Forest
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Chelsea
1
3
L
31.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Bournemouth
0
2
L
24.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Manchester City
0
2
L
18.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Newcastle
0
0
D
10.01.26
FA
Wolves
Shrewsbury
6
1
W
07.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Everton
1
1
D
Last matches: Sunderland
24.05.26
Pre
Sunderland
Chelsea
2
1
W
17.05.26
Pre
Sunderland
Everton
3
1
W
09.05.26
Pre
Sunderland
Manchester United
0
0
D
24.04.26
Pre
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
0
5
L
19.04.26
Pre
Sunderland
Aston Villa
3
4
L
12.04.26
Pre
Sunderland
Tottenham
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pre
Sunderland
Newcastle
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Sunderland
Brighton
0
1
L
08.03.26
FA
Sunderland
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.03.26
Pre
Sunderland
Leeds
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Bournemouth
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Fulham
1
3
L
15.02.26
FA
Sunderland
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Liverpool
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Arsenal
0
3
L
02.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Burnley
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
West Ham
1
3
L
17.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
2
1
W
10.01.26
FA
Sunderland
Everton
1
1
D
07.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
Brentford
0
3
L
H2H: Wolves vs Sunderland
02.05.26
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
1
1
D
18.10.25
H2H
Sunderland
Wolves
2
0
L
06.05.18
H2H
Sunderland
Wolves
3
0
L
09.12.17
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
0
0
D
14.04.12
H2H
Sunderland
Wolves
0
0
D
04.12.11
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
2
1
W
14.05.11
H2H
Sunderland
Wolves
1
3
W
27.11.10
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
3
2
W
Last matches: Wolves
17.05.26
Pre
Wolves
Fulham
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
Wolves
Tottenham
0
1
L
06.03.26
FA
Wolves
Liverpool
1
3
L
03.03.26
Pre
Wolves
Liverpool
2
1
W
27.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Aston Villa
2
0
W
18.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Arsenal
2
2
D
07.02.26
Pre
Wolves
Chelsea
1
3
L
31.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Bournemouth
0
2
L
18.01.26
Pre
Wolves
Newcastle
0
0
D
10.01.26
FA
Wolves
Shrewsbury
6
1
W
03.01.26
Pre
Wolves
West Ham
3
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Wolves
Brentford
0
2
L
08.12.25
Pre
Wolves
Manchester United
1
4
L
03.12.25
Pre
Wolves
Nottingham Forest
0
1
L
22.11.25
Pre
Wolves
Crystal Palace
0
2
L
26.10.25
Pre
Wolves
Burnley
2
3
L
05.10.25
Pre
Wolves
Brighton
1
1
D
20.09.25
Pre
Wolves
Leeds
1
3
L
30.08.25
Pre
Wolves
Everton
2
3
L
16.08.25
Pre
Wolves
Manchester City
0
4
L
H2H at home: Wolves
02.05.26
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
1
1
D
09.12.17
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
0
0
D
04.12.11
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
2
1
W
27.11.10
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
3
2
W
Last matches: Sunderland
17.05.26
Pre
Sunderland
Everton
3
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
Sunderland
Aston Villa
3
4
L
22.03.26
Pre
Sunderland
Newcastle
2
1
W
08.03.26
FA
Sunderland
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.03.26
Pre
Sunderland
Leeds
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Bournemouth
1
1
D
15.02.26
FA
Sunderland
Oxford United
1
0
W
07.02.26
Pre
Sunderland
Arsenal
0
3
L
24.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
West Ham
1
3
L
10.01.26
FA
Sunderland
Everton
1
1
D
07.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
Brentford
0
3
L
04.01.26
Pre
Sunderland
Tottenham
1
1
D
20.12.25
Pre
Sunderland
Brighton
0
0
D
06.12.25
Pre
Sunderland
Manchester City
0
3
L
03.12.25
Pre
Sunderland
Liverpool
1
1
D
22.11.25
Pre
Sunderland
Fulham
0
1
L
25.10.25
Pre
Sunderland
Chelsea
2
1
W
04.10.25
Pre
Sunderland
Manchester United
0
2
L
27.09.25
Pre
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pre
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
0
0
D
H2H away: Sunderland
02.05.26
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
1
1
D
09.12.17
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
0
0
D
04.12.11
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
2
1
L
27.11.10
H2H
Wolves
Sunderland
3
2
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship

Missing Players

Wolves 0 missing
No missing players data
Sunderland 1 missing
-
A. Alese
Missing Fixture Shoulder injury
OUT