ENGLAND PREMIER LEAGUE
17.05.2026 14:00
Molineux Stadium
Referee: T. Kirk
Wolves
Match Timeline
Fulham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
M. Mane · Assist: Hwang Hee-Chan
Wolves
VAR
45+1'
Timothy Castagne
Fulham
45'
A. Robinson
Fulham
🔄
46'
S. Berge ↔ Kevin
Fulham
🔄
67'
Rodrigo Muniz ↔ R. Jimenez
Fulham
🔄
67'
A. Iwobi ↔ J. King
Fulham
🔄
72'
A. Armstrong ↔ T. Arokodare
Wolves
🔄
79'
Hwang Hee-Chan ↔ J. Bellegarde
Wolves
🔄
79'
E. Smith Rowe ↔ H. Wilson
Fulham
🔄
79'
O. Bobb ↔ S. Chukwueze
Fulham
🔄
85'
D. M. Wolfe ↔ H. Bueno
Wolves
🔄
85'
R. Gomes ↔ Pedro Lima
Wolves
🟨
90+4'
André
Wolves

Wolves vs Fulham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Wolves Win 34%
Draw 12.5%
Fulham Win 53.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wolves1.05
Fulham1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wolves Wolves
WWDLW
33 GF / 70 GA
Fulham Fulham
WLDWL
49 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
17
BTTS Yes
21
19
Over 2.5
21
3.33
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wolves Wolves 39 matches
Fulham Fulham 39 matches
Wolves Statistic Fulham
5 Wins 16
9 Draws 6
25 Losses 17
33 Goals For 49
70 Goals Against 53
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
17 BTTS Yes 21
30 Over 1.5 27
19 Over 2.5 21
11 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 8
19 Failed To Score 12
3.33 Shots On Goal 3.9
9.82 Total Shots 13.05
3.31 Corners 5.23
43.9% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wolves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Fulham in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fulham having the stronger overall control. Fulham carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 48 points while Wolves sit 20 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fulham. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Wolves Analysis

With 18 points from 36 games and a place of 20, Wolves still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 9 draws, and 24 losses, together with goals at 25:66, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. S. Larsen (4 goals), Ladislav Krejčí (3 goals), R. Gomes (3 goals), with creative support from Adam Armstrong (2 assists), Hugo Bueno (2 assists), D. M. Wolfe (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fulham Analysis

With 48 points from 36 games and a place of 11, Fulham still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 14 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 44:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through H. Wilson (10 goals), R. Jimenez (9 goals), A. Iwobi (4 goals), with creative support from H. Wilson (6 assists), S. Chukwueze (4 assists), R. Jimenez (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wolves won 7 times, Fulham won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Wolves's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.6%)
Predicted formations: Wolves 3-4-2-1 / Fulham 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Wolves 3, Fulham 4
H2H summary: Wolves wins 7, draws 4, Fulham wins 4

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship