NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

09.05.2026 14:30

Willem II

Waalwijk

Koning Willem II Stadion

Willem II vs Waalwijk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 61.9%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 74.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 69.6%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	61.9%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	74.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	69.6%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Willem II Win 61.9%

Draw 0%

Waalwijk Win 38.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Willem II1.51

Waalwijk1.44

Recent Form (Last 5)

Willem II

WWDLW

61 GF / 42 GA

Waalwijk

WLDWL

75 GF / 65 GA

Key Stats

1.53

Average Goals Scored

1.7

1.05

Average Goals Conceded

1.48

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.38

Shots on Goal

5.34

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Willem II 40 matches

Waalwijk 44 matches

Willem II	Statistic	Waalwijk
22	Wins	16
8	Draws	14
10	Losses	14
61	Goals For	75
42	Goals Against	65
1.53	Avg Goals Scored	1.7
1.05	Avg Goals Conceded	1.48
21	BTTS Yes	33
30	Over 1.5	39
21	Over 2.5	27
8	Over 3.5	18
14	Clean Sheets	7
5	Failed To Score	5
5.38	Shots On Goal	5.34
14.28	Total Shots	14.73
5.59	Corners	4.85
46.9%	Ball Possession	49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Willem II won 9 times, Waalwijk won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from Willem II's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (100%)

Predicted formations: Willem II 4-2-3-1 / Waalwijk 4-4-2

H2H summary: Willem II wins 9, draws 3, Waalwijk wins 2

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L