NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
30.08.2026 12:30
Koning Willem II Stadion
Referee: Jannick van der Laan, Netherlands
Willem II
Match Timeline
Heerenveen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
J. Hoogma ↔ M. Lemmens
Willem II
61'
U. van Aalst · Assist: N. Tjoe a On
Willem II
🔄
62'
E. Gurbuz ↔ P. van Loon
Willem II
64'
J. Trenskow · Assist: D. Vente
Heerenveen
🔄
69'
N. Courtens ↔ L. Brouwers
Heerenveen
🔄
69'
R. Meerveld ↔ L. Smans
Heerenveen
77'
O. Braude · Assist: L. Smans
Heerenveen
82'
D. Haen · Assist: C. Twigt
Willem II
🔄
85'
N. Tjoe a On ↔ A. Ciranni
Willem II
🔄
85'
C. Twigt ↔ A. Et Taibi
Willem II
🔄
85'
M. Rivera ↔ L. Oyen
Heerenveen
🔄
87'
K. Boogaard ↔ T. Verheydt
Willem II

Willem II vs Heerenveen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50%
Odds 1.80
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50%
1.80
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.46
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83.9%
1.42
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Willem II Win 34.3%
Draw 15.7%
Heerenveen Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Willem II1.6
Heerenveen2.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Willem II Willem II
WWDLW
8 GF / 13 GA
Heerenveen Heerenveen
WLDWL
20 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.86
2.17
Average Goals Conceded
2
5
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
1.5
Shots on Goal
5.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Willem II Willem II 6 matches
Heerenveen Heerenveen 7 matches
Willem II Statistic Heerenveen
2 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 1
8 Goals For 20
13 Goals Against 14
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.86
2.17 Avg Goals Conceded 2
5 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
1.5 Shots On Goal 5.67
11 Total Shots 13
1.5 Corners 3.67
31.5% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Willem II won 3 times, Heerenveen won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:30 from Willem II's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Willem II 4-2-3-1 / Heerenveen 4-4-2
Missing players: Willem II 7, Heerenveen 2
H2H summary: Willem II wins 3, draws 2, Heerenveen wins 9

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 22:7 15 16
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 17:6 11 16
D W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 20:7 13 14
W W D W D
4 6 4 1 1 12:5 7 13
W W D W W
5 5 3 1 1 14:6 8 10
W L W D W
6 6 3 1 2 13:7 6 10
L D W W L
7 6 3 1 2 12:14 -2 10
L W W L W
8 6 2 3 1 15:13 2 9
D D L W D
9 6 2 2 2 12:13 -1 8
D D L L W
10 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L D L W W
11 6 1 3 2 7:9 -2 6
D L D L D
12 6 1 2 3 10:13 -3 5
L D L D W
13 6 1 2 3 5:11 -6 5
D L D L L
14 6 1 2 3 11:19 -8 5
W D L D L
15 6 1 1 4 9:18 -9 4
W D L L L
16 6 1 1 4 6:17 -11 4
L D L W L
17 5 0 2 3 5:14 -9 2
D L D L L
18 6 0 1 5 6:16 -10 1
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie