NETHERLANDS EREDIVISIE
05.09.2026 19:00
Koning Willem II Stadion
Referee: Robin Hensgens, Netherlands
Willem II
Match Timeline
Excelsior
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
D. Garden · Assist: I. Yegoian
Excelsior
34'
R. Meissen · Assist: S. Janssen
Excelsior
🔄
46'
M. Lemmens ↔ M. Dekker
Willem II
🔄
46'
E. Gurbuz ↔ T. Vilhena
Willem II
🟨
51'
Kasper Boogaard
Willem II
🔄
63'
K. Boogaard ↔ T. Verheydt
Willem II
🔄
64'
A. Sliti ↔ I. Silva Timas
Excelsior
🔄
65'
E. da Silva Moreira ↔ D. van Vianen
Excelsior
🔄
70'
A. Thorsteinsson ↔ N. Groen
Excelsior
🟨
81'
Jaden Slory
Willem II
🔄
82'
J. Slory ↔ C. Obi
Willem II
🔄
82'
D. Garden ↔ G. Cairo
Excelsior
85'
I. Yegoian · Assist: S. van Gassel
Excelsior
🟨
87'
Nesto Groen
Excelsior

Willem II vs Excelsior Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds 2.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.65
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.5%
2.27
BTTS Yes
86%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.65
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74%
1.32
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Willem II Win 27.7%
Draw 3.8%
Excelsior Win 68.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Willem II1.36
Excelsior2.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Willem II Willem II
WWDLW
10 GF / 15 GA
Excelsior Excelsior
WLDWL
25 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
3.13
2.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
6
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
7
2.67
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Willem II Willem II 7 matches
Excelsior Excelsior 8 matches
Willem II Statistic Excelsior
2 Wins 7
2 Draws 0
3 Losses 1
10 Goals For 25
15 Goals Against 10
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 3.13
2.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
6 BTTS Yes 6
6 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 0
2.67 Shots On Goal 5.33
11.33 Total Shots 12.67
4 Corners 5
34% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Willem II won 4 times, Excelsior won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from Willem II's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Willem II 4-2-3-1 / Excelsior 5-4-1
Missing players: Willem II 7, Excelsior 1
H2H summary: Willem II wins 4, draws 6, Excelsior wins 4

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 22:7 15 16
W W W W W
2 6 5 1 0 17:6 11 16
D W W W W
3 6 4 2 0 20:7 13 14
W W D W D
4 6 4 1 1 12:5 7 13
W W D W W
5 5 3 1 1 14:6 8 10
W L W D W
6 6 3 1 2 13:7 6 10
L D W W L
7 6 3 1 2 12:14 -2 10
L W W L W
8 6 2 3 1 15:13 2 9
D D L W D
9 6 2 2 2 12:13 -1 8
D D L L W
10 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L D L W W
11 6 1 3 2 7:9 -2 6
D L D L D
12 6 1 2 3 10:13 -3 5
L D L D W
13 6 1 2 3 5:11 -6 5
D L D L L
14 6 1 2 3 11:19 -8 5
W D L D L
15 6 1 1 4 9:18 -9 4
W D L L L
16 6 1 1 4 6:17 -11 4
L D L W L
17 5 0 2 3 5:14 -9 2
D L D L L
18 6 0 1 5 6:16 -10 1
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie