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24.10.2026 16:45
Koning Willem II Stadion
Referee: Dennis Higler
Willem II
Match Timeline
Cambuur
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
Nicolas Binder · Assist: Morgan Costarelli
Cambuur
⚽
13'
Ilyes Hamache · Assist: Morgan Costarelli
Cambuur
⚽
18'
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
Cambuur
VAR
19'
Ismaël Baouf
Cambuur
🟨
45+2'
Jaden Slory
Willem II
🔄
45'
Tonny Vilhena ↔ Anass Zarrouk
Willem II
🔄
45'
Maxim Dekker ↔ Thomas Verheydt
Willem II
🔄
45'
Vito van Crooy ↔ Armin Culum
Willem II
🟨
53'
Hidde ter Avest
Willem II
⚽
58'
Nicolas Binder · Assist: Ilyes Hamache
Cambuur
⚽
62'
Rafik El Arguioui
Cambuur
🔄
65'
Mathieu Maertens ↔ Iwan Henstra
Cambuur
🔄
65'
Morgan Costarelli ↔ Lucas Jetten
Cambuur
🔄
65'
Billy van Duijl ↔ Jorn Berkhout
Cambuur
🔄
68'
Jaden Slory ↔ Mats Lemmens
Willem II
🔄
72'
Rik Mulders ↔ Wiebe Kooistra
Cambuur
🔄
77'
Nicolas Binder ↔ Skye Vink
Cambuur
⚽
82'
Anass Zarrouk · Assist: Devin Haen
Willem II
⚽
89'
Jason Ceka · Assist: Wiebe Kooistra
Cambuur

Willem II vs Cambuur Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
75.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Willem II Win 24.9%
Draw 25.9%
Cambuur Win 49.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Willem II1.55
Cambuur1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Willem II Willem II
L L L L D
5 GF / 13 GA
Cambuur Cambuur
D W D W D
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.43
2.38
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
11
2.78
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Willem II Willem II 13 matches
Cambuur Cambuur 14 matches
Willem II Statistic Cambuur
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 7
15 Goals For 20
31 Goals Against 30
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.43
2.38 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
10 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 11
7 Over 3.5 8
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
2.78 Shots On Goal 4.33
11.78 Total Shots 11.78
3.89 Corners 3.78
40.2% Ball Possession 45.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cambuur. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Willem II have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Cambuur carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 8 points while Willem II sit 18 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Willem II Analysis

Willem II sit 18 with 2 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 7:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Haen (3 goals), Uriel van Aalst (1 goals), J. Slory (1 goals), with creative support from Uriel van Aalst (2 assists), N. Tjoe-A-On (2 assists), H. ter Avest (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cambuur Analysis

So far, Cambuur have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 8 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 11:19 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. El Arguioui (4 goals), I. Hamache (3 goals), N. Binder (2 goals), with creative support from N. Binder (2 assists), I. Hamache (1 assists), N. Souren (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Willem II won 2 times, Cambuur won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Willem II's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (75.1%)
Predicted formations: Willem II 4-2-3-1 / Cambuur 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Willem II 5, Cambuur 4
H2H summary: Willem II wins 2, draws 5, Cambuur wins 3

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 4 0 33:12 21 25
D D W W W
2 11 7 3 1 30:13 17 24
W W W D D
3 11 7 2 2 35:13 22 23
W D L W L
4 11 7 2 2 28:10 18 23
W W L D W
5 11 6 2 3 20:13 7 20
L L D L W
6 11 5 4 2 18:18 0 19
D W D D W
7 11 5 3 3 19:13 6 18
W W W L W
8 11 4 3 4 26:24 2 15
L D L W W
9 11 4 3 4 23:22 1 15
W W D W D
10 11 3 5 3 23:27 -4 14
L W L D D
11 11 3 3 5 20:26 -6 12
W L W D L
12 11 3 3 5 19:31 -12 12
L D W W L
13 11 2 5 4 17:19 -2 11
L D D D D
14 11 3 2 6 12:23 -11 11
W D W L L
15 11 3 2 6 16:28 -12 11
L L L L D
16 11 2 3 6 16:23 -7 9
W L L D L
17 11 1 3 7 13:24 -11 6
L L W D D
18 11 0 2 9 10:39 -29 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie