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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
17.10.2026 14:00
DW Stadium
Wigan
Match Timeline
Reading
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Andy Rinomhota
Reading
🟨
52'
Charlie Gray
Wigan
🔄
67'
Reggie Walsh ↔ Christian Saydee
Wigan
⚽
71'
Scott Hogan
Wigan
🟨
74'
James Carragher
Wigan
🟨
74'
Haydon Roberts
Reading
🔄
77'
Jamie Reid ↔ Jacob Brown
Reading
🔄
77'
Andy Rinomhota ↔ Charlie Savage
Reading
🔄
78'
Bradley Burrowes ↔ Jon Mellish
Wigan
🔄
78'
Scott Hogan ↔ Sonny Tufail Perkins
Wigan
🔄
82'
Haydon Roberts ↔ Randell Williams
Reading
🔄
85'
Connor Barrett ↔ Fraser Murray
Wigan

Wigan vs Reading Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77.8%
Odds 1.89
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77.8%
1.89 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
1.69 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.22 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wigan Win 16.6%
Draw 5.7%
Reading Win 77.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wigan0.8
Reading1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wigan Wigan
WWDLW
9 GF / 18 GA
Reading Reading
WLDWL
34 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
2.27
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.87
3
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
9
2.88
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wigan Wigan 12 matches
Reading Reading 15 matches
Wigan Statistic Reading
2 Wins 9
2 Draws 3
8 Losses 3
9 Goals For 34
18 Goals Against 13
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 2.27
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.87
3 BTTS Yes 7
7 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 2
2.88 Shots On Goal 5.33
13.63 Total Shots 16.33
5.88 Corners 5.67
54.6% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Reading's more proactive style and Wigan's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Reading. Reading carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 12 points while Wigan sit 24 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Wigan have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Wigan Analysis

Wigan sit 24 with 4 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 5:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Weir (2 goals), M. Power (1 goals), with creative support from M. Power (1 assists), B. Burrows (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Reading Analysis

Reading sit 7 with 12 points after 8 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 17:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Marriott (5 goals), J. Brown (3 goals), George Earthy (2 goals), with creative support from K. Lisbie (2 assists), J. Brown (1 assists), L. Wing (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wigan won 3 times, Reading won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:23 from Wigan's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Wigan 4-2-3-1 / Reading 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Wigan wins 3, draws 2, Reading wins 10

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 10:5 5 20
W D D W W
2 10 6 1 3 21:11 10 19
W W W D L
3 10 5 4 1 18:9 9 19
W D W L D
4 11 6 1 4 18:14 4 19
L W W L W
5 10 5 4 1 16:12 4 19
W W D D W
6 9 5 3 1 20:8 12 18
W D D D W
7 10 4 3 3 22:12 10 15
L W D D W
8 8 4 3 1 16:9 7 15
D W D W W
9 10 4 2 4 15:11 4 14
W D L W L
10 11 3 4 4 16:18 -2 13
D L L W D
11 10 3 4 3 16:20 -4 13
W L D W W
12 9 3 3 3 12:10 2 12
L W L W W
13 9 3 3 3 13:15 -2 12
D W D D L
14 9 3 3 3 12:15 -3 12
W L D W L
15 10 3 3 4 7:15 -8 12
L L D D W
16 9 3 2 4 17:17 0 11
L W L L D
17 9 2 3 4 10:11 -1 9
L W W L L
18 9 1 6 2 11:16 -5 9
W L D D D
19 10 2 3 5 9:16 -7 9
D W L L D
20 9 2 2 5 13:16 -3 8
L L L D L
21 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L L D L L
22 9 2 2 5 9:21 -12 8
L L W D L
23 9 1 4 4 8:13 -5 7
L L L L D
24
Wigan Home
9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
W L L D L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two